This is a race that has been widely predicted to be a bellwether for the fall 2024 elections.
Another actual election that disagrees with the current polls that predict Republican victory. I get it. Biden is unpopular. But the 2022 “red wave” never materialized, and dems did better than expected in 2023. If that doesn’t make you start questioning whether polls are even relevant…
Everyone talks about polls this, headlines that.
But when the actual votes are counted? We get results like this.
DeSantis won this district by 12 points. When the polls closed, registered Republicans were out-voting registered Dems by thousands.
But then they counted the actual votes. Turns out Tom Keen persuaded a truly ridiculous number of Republicans and Independents to vote for him, and he got the win.
How’d he do it? He had a winning message (property insurance and abortion), but he also had an army to get it out. Tons of people knocked doors, made phone calls, and sent text messages to voters. Even though Republicans out-spent him, and tried some dirty tricks (like texts from a fake progressive group claiming he was right-wing), Dems talked to enough voters, and they won.
That’s how we’ll win the House, the Senate, and tons of state and local races in November.
And the time to get involved is now. (For example – on February 13th, we can flip George Santos’ old seat!) r/VoteDEM can get you ready to win – come on by!
> Mysterious text messages were also sent to Democrats earlier this month from a supposed progressive group claiming Keen agreed with DeSantis on the controversial Parental Rights in Education Act, called ‘don’t say gay’ by its opponents. Keen has been a vocal critic of the law.
They tried to ratfuck this election and still lost.
Polls keep going red while actual elections are going blue.
I don’t live in or near that district, but I guess they pretty much blanket the state with ads for a special election. In the last few weeks, negative ads (against Keen) were absolutely everywhere. And because of that, I knew this guy’s name, but not his opponent’s.
Yesterday, I happened to be in a hardware store, and they were playing a local radio station over the loudspeakers. On came some commercials, and there was an over-the-top insane anti-Keen spot. “Help defeat Joe Biden’s ***radical, socialist agenda***” “Tom Keen wants to let ***boys play on girls’ sports teams***” “Tom Keen wants to ***disarm the police***” “Tom Keen is in the pocket of insurance lobbyists and lawyers who get rich while your homeowners’ insurance premiums skyrocket!”
I rolled my eyes at all of the crazy claims, but the one that annoyed me the most was the last one. Republicans have controlled the FL legislature and Governorship for like 20 years. *Insurance premiums are high because of Republicans*, not because of this one guy who wasn’t in office and doesn’t belong to the party in power.
I’m glad this false scare-mongering didn’t work.
Yea! Come on people who want to keep the American experiment alive! We can do this!
VOTE BLUE to protect the country from the current Republican fascist movement.💙🇺🇸💙🇺🇸💙🇺🇸💙
News at 11:00,why this is bad for Biden.
NY Times tomorrow: Here’s why this is bad news for Joe Biden
9 comments
This is a race that has been widely predicted to be a bellwether for the fall 2024 elections.
Another actual election that disagrees with the current polls that predict Republican victory. I get it. Biden is unpopular. But the 2022 “red wave” never materialized, and dems did better than expected in 2023. If that doesn’t make you start questioning whether polls are even relevant…
Everyone talks about polls this, headlines that.
But when the actual votes are counted? We get results like this.
DeSantis won this district by 12 points. When the polls closed, registered Republicans were out-voting registered Dems by thousands.
But then they counted the actual votes. Turns out Tom Keen persuaded a truly ridiculous number of Republicans and Independents to vote for him, and he got the win.
How’d he do it? He had a winning message (property insurance and abortion), but he also had an army to get it out. Tons of people knocked doors, made phone calls, and sent text messages to voters. Even though Republicans out-spent him, and tried some dirty tricks (like texts from a fake progressive group claiming he was right-wing), Dems talked to enough voters, and they won.
That’s how we’ll win the House, the Senate, and tons of state and local races in November.
And the time to get involved is now. (For example – on February 13th, we can flip George Santos’ old seat!) r/VoteDEM can get you ready to win – come on by!
> Mysterious text messages were also sent to Democrats earlier this month from a supposed progressive group claiming Keen agreed with DeSantis on the controversial Parental Rights in Education Act, called ‘don’t say gay’ by its opponents. Keen has been a vocal critic of the law.
They tried to ratfuck this election and still lost.
Polls keep going red while actual elections are going blue.
I don’t live in or near that district, but I guess they pretty much blanket the state with ads for a special election. In the last few weeks, negative ads (against Keen) were absolutely everywhere. And because of that, I knew this guy’s name, but not his opponent’s.
Yesterday, I happened to be in a hardware store, and they were playing a local radio station over the loudspeakers. On came some commercials, and there was an over-the-top insane anti-Keen spot. “Help defeat Joe Biden’s ***radical, socialist agenda***” “Tom Keen wants to let ***boys play on girls’ sports teams***” “Tom Keen wants to ***disarm the police***” “Tom Keen is in the pocket of insurance lobbyists and lawyers who get rich while your homeowners’ insurance premiums skyrocket!”
I rolled my eyes at all of the crazy claims, but the one that annoyed me the most was the last one. Republicans have controlled the FL legislature and Governorship for like 20 years. *Insurance premiums are high because of Republicans*, not because of this one guy who wasn’t in office and doesn’t belong to the party in power.
I’m glad this false scare-mongering didn’t work.
Yea! Come on people who want to keep the American experiment alive! We can do this!
VOTE BLUE to protect the country from the current Republican fascist movement.💙🇺🇸💙🇺🇸💙🇺🇸💙
News at 11:00,why this is bad for Biden.
NY Times tomorrow: Here’s why this is bad news for Joe Biden