Tories are dropping…but they’re bleeding to Reform, so when the time comes for the election, they will vote Tory – or Reform will make a backroom deal with the Tories again.
Labour seems capped at ~40%, LibDems rising is good but it depends on whether they can translate that to winning Tory seats.
FPTP systems are horrible. Nationwide vote and a list (like Netherlands) or at least a mixed system like Germany is a far superior system.
I thought centrism wasn’t popular
If there was an election today, the Conservative party will win it. Don’t be fooled by these polls
Largely off confected stories about lockdown parties that are all over the headlines now but have been known about for a couple of years. (Hint: “they have a large number of invitees” and “they are a closely guarded secret” cannot both be true about a drinks event.) The troubling aspect is that it shows the press zeitgeist is susceptible to foreign influence campaigns. You can have a news story that is practically inconsequential and already well known, but given enough coordination around how it’s pushed you can swamp the headlines and push the polls by about 6 points for a period.
bout time they dropped the EP groupings…
The reality of this situation is that Tories are in power because of old people plus some support from working people. It’s simple as that. It’s now gotten to the point where an absolute majority of working people absolutely despise him. Yeah he has old people (Even Major did in 1997) but that support from some working people (that enabled him to win the north) has absolutely collapsed.
He would lose all the North, many blue wall seats ESPECIALLY Wycombe. A shit ton of London, including perhaps his own seat. All of Scotland. Lib Dems would eat into the wealthy areas like Surrey.
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Tories are dropping…but they’re bleeding to Reform, so when the time comes for the election, they will vote Tory – or Reform will make a backroom deal with the Tories again.
Labour seems capped at ~40%, LibDems rising is good but it depends on whether they can translate that to winning Tory seats.
FPTP systems are horrible. Nationwide vote and a list (like Netherlands) or at least a mixed system like Germany is a far superior system.
I thought centrism wasn’t popular
If there was an election today, the Conservative party will win it. Don’t be fooled by these polls
Largely off confected stories about lockdown parties that are all over the headlines now but have been known about for a couple of years. (Hint: “they have a large number of invitees” and “they are a closely guarded secret” cannot both be true about a drinks event.) The troubling aspect is that it shows the press zeitgeist is susceptible to foreign influence campaigns. You can have a news story that is practically inconsequential and already well known, but given enough coordination around how it’s pushed you can swamp the headlines and push the polls by about 6 points for a period.
bout time they dropped the EP groupings…
The reality of this situation is that Tories are in power because of old people plus some support from working people. It’s simple as that. It’s now gotten to the point where an absolute majority of working people absolutely despise him. Yeah he has old people (Even Major did in 1997) but that support from some working people (that enabled him to win the north) has absolutely collapsed.
He would lose all the North, many blue wall seats ESPECIALLY Wycombe. A shit ton of London, including perhaps his own seat. All of Scotland. Lib Dems would eat into the wealthy areas like Surrey.
He’d lose 150-200 seats easily.