Prediction is still prediction. Just like how SWE job was predicted to grow exponentially 3 years ago. We never know.
This is the prediction for every overhyped technology from NFTs to VR and there’s only a handful of cases where this actually happens. Even then, something like Amazon’s ecommerce took almost 20 years of huge investment in over a hundred warehouses and datacenters to build out a brick and mortar infrastructure to back the software to dominate the market.
Robotics has much more of an upside where there’s some startups that can get assembly line units down to $120k or less which is just about at the breakeven for each one to replace two to three human workers in exchange for some routine maintenance and an engineer split between many of those units to fix them. That’s also a big advantage for smaller startups trying to churn out goods without having to sell out early, hope to find a Chinese firm, or just go out of business.
Calling it now: AI will actually perform better than expected and be more ingrained into society than we’ll ever realize today.
This seems like a stretch. Remember also how true self driving cars and trucks were supposed to everywhere by now?
5 comments
source: https://www.statista.com/forecasts/1424021/ai-market-size-divide-by-segment-worldwide
Prediction is still prediction. Just like how SWE job was predicted to grow exponentially 3 years ago. We never know.
This is the prediction for every overhyped technology from NFTs to VR and there’s only a handful of cases where this actually happens. Even then, something like Amazon’s ecommerce took almost 20 years of huge investment in over a hundred warehouses and datacenters to build out a brick and mortar infrastructure to back the software to dominate the market.
Robotics has much more of an upside where there’s some startups that can get assembly line units down to $120k or less which is just about at the breakeven for each one to replace two to three human workers in exchange for some routine maintenance and an engineer split between many of those units to fix them. That’s also a big advantage for smaller startups trying to churn out goods without having to sell out early, hope to find a Chinese firm, or just go out of business.
Calling it now: AI will actually perform better than expected and be more ingrained into society than we’ll ever realize today.
This seems like a stretch. Remember also how true self driving cars and trucks were supposed to everywhere by now?