With the way people have been driving since covid it’s no surprise. I witness far more dangerous chancers than I used to.
This analysis isn’t ideal I’m afraid – data sample too small given your looking at yearly data. Ideally you would get a measure of historical volatility and create an equation to incorporate a time series with road deaths as an input with volatility as the modifier. Test the model (after training it on an 80/20 training/tes split) using a confusion matrix or the likes then apply it to this current year if the model is reasonably accurate for historical time series.
This is something you could also do using GLS modelling in R given you would be working with non normalised data. Of course you could take logs and diffs and see if this normalises the data and do OLS regression from there perhaps too.
TLDR; OP’s made an effort but you cannot reliably make inferences based on this approach and I mean that with no offense OP.
I hate how similar the colours are on this graph.
Also in 2022(?), the one with 155 total, its kinda crazy how the data stayed consistent throughout the year, unlike the others. Like it makes sense there is highs and lows, like more people drink driving around christmas and other bank holidays, st Patricks day maybe that kind of thing. What caused that year to be so much more of a straight line? Anyone got an insight?
Ever since COVID people have lost the run of themselves on the road. Everyday now I see multiple instances of dangerous and stupid behaviour
Massively decreasing the investment in roads is going to have an impact on road fatalities.
Our population has increased dramatically while our investment in roads isn’t.
Huge increase in spending needed across the country on smaller roads.
The standard of roads connecting large rural towns is not up to scratch unfortunately.
Get the Gardai off roadside checks for tax and insurance, which can be better done by IT and ANPR technology, and put them on speed checks and traffic violation (breaking lights, using mobile phones, etc.) duty.
There’s been very little enforcement and a noticeable slippage in driver behaviour.
I’m surprised the number pedestrians killed isn’t higher given the endemic red light running that happens here.
Every second driver has their eyes down looking at their phone. It’s bedlam out there and the Gardai are all retiring. But sure throw a high-viz vest on and you’ll be grand /s
For those looking to see more years and also change the colours, here you go.
Not surprised it’s rising, more and more people can be seen on their phones while driving, and more and more people don’t bother indicating when turning which tells me they’re likely less disciplined and focused behind the wheel in general.
People are getting worse at driving, the advances in car safety systems, and laws are covering for their worsening skill levels.
Getting a bad driver to just drive slower may help reduce some of the risk but it doesn’t make them better drivers.
People have no idea what to do if anything untoward happens and they end up doing all the wrong things. Most people in this country are trained how to operate a car but nothing else. No training for adverse conditions and no road etiquette.
The government will keep bringing in useless laws that achieve nothing because they never get enforced and tell us they are making things better.
Wonder have they done research into the new lights on the cars. When they are coming past me on a country road at night I physically can’t see anything until they pass.
The UK done an investigation into it and found their lights to be a contributing factor to road accidents. Bet you won’t see that done over here!!
I know there are many issue for sure, but can we please acknowledge that the roads are literally unfit for purpose in some rural areas. My village has pot holes from all the trucks and i have to get new tires 2 times in 18 months and I popped one in one of the newer holes. This causes a huge issue and only due to my years of driving was i able to correct it and safely stop, not everyone is so experienced.
What does the line chart look like when road fatalities are calculated as a percentage of the population? Is it possible that increases in fatalities correspond to increases in population size?
I still think the issue are the roads themselves, then alcohol, then the fucking phone, and finally speed.
But if you combine either alcohol, phone or speed with bad driving on a shitty road where a car does not fit in its lane, then you get an accident
I’m WFH so I don’t drive much other than at weekends but from what I see at those weekends, there is a big issue.
I commonly see:
* Risky overtaking
* Risky tailgating
* Risky entrances onto main roads from side roads
* Ignorance of roundabouts and continuous white lines
* Phone usage
* Excessive differences in motorway speeds (some vehicles going <100Kph and some going >150Kph)
Is it me or sre there more gbbshites in 10+ year old audis/BMWs/passats with their fog lights on, overtaking multiple cars on bends and continuous white lines?
I drove about 300 miles over the weekend and saw no traffic enforcement across motorways, national roads or in towns
The lack of instruction regarding motorway driving, merging, changing lanes, what lane to be in on the motorway etc. is also a problem.
It is crazy that people have to do a certain number of lessons and none of this is included.
Scrolling scrolling scrolling .. all day long by thick cunts that can’t put a phone down for 2 seconds in case they miss the post that Sharon put up about her new teeth .Fuck off.
And I include the Gardai in that too .
How does this rate compare to the growth in population and use of the roads?
Why do they not give reasons for the crashes? You’d think being intoxicated or using phone would be easy to tell? This may help hit home the reasons?
I was always curious how much of a contributing factor the engineering of or roads is to these fatalities. There was 3 kids killed outside of ballon, Carlow, early this year on a notoriously bad bend, the following day another person was nearly killed on the same bend, there has been a series of fatalities on that bend, yet nothing has even been done about it, why?
So many people on the phone while driving. It’s crazy.
Try closing your eyes for three seconds while you drive, same thing.
a lorry tried to pass me when i was indicating to turn right the other day (granted he probably didn’t see it because he was basically inside my boot), the swerve he did to get back onto the actual road, im actually shocked he didn’t clip my car
One of the main reasons I don’t drive, I enjoy living
People are more stressed and more wound up than ever.
You also have increasing number of young assholes driving at silly speeds.
27 comments
With the way people have been driving since covid it’s no surprise. I witness far more dangerous chancers than I used to.
This analysis isn’t ideal I’m afraid – data sample too small given your looking at yearly data. Ideally you would get a measure of historical volatility and create an equation to incorporate a time series with road deaths as an input with volatility as the modifier. Test the model (after training it on an 80/20 training/tes split) using a confusion matrix or the likes then apply it to this current year if the model is reasonably accurate for historical time series.
This is something you could also do using GLS modelling in R given you would be working with non normalised data. Of course you could take logs and diffs and see if this normalises the data and do OLS regression from there perhaps too.
TLDR; OP’s made an effort but you cannot reliably make inferences based on this approach and I mean that with no offense OP.
I hate how similar the colours are on this graph.
Also in 2022(?), the one with 155 total, its kinda crazy how the data stayed consistent throughout the year, unlike the others. Like it makes sense there is highs and lows, like more people drink driving around christmas and other bank holidays, st Patricks day maybe that kind of thing. What caused that year to be so much more of a straight line? Anyone got an insight?
Ever since COVID people have lost the run of themselves on the road. Everyday now I see multiple instances of dangerous and stupid behaviour
Massively decreasing the investment in roads is going to have an impact on road fatalities.
Our population has increased dramatically while our investment in roads isn’t.
Huge increase in spending needed across the country on smaller roads.
The standard of roads connecting large rural towns is not up to scratch unfortunately.
Get the Gardai off roadside checks for tax and insurance, which can be better done by IT and ANPR technology, and put them on speed checks and traffic violation (breaking lights, using mobile phones, etc.) duty.
There’s been very little enforcement and a noticeable slippage in driver behaviour.
I’m surprised the number pedestrians killed isn’t higher given the endemic red light running that happens here.
Every second driver has their eyes down looking at their phone. It’s bedlam out there and the Gardai are all retiring. But sure throw a high-viz vest on and you’ll be grand /s
For those looking to see more years and also change the colours, here you go.
https://preview.redd.it/i1wxgpt172sc1.png?width=1297&format=png&auto=webp&s=48d2d9b764572aa98997c56df7a9fcb82f0b3b93
Not surprised it’s rising, more and more people can be seen on their phones while driving, and more and more people don’t bother indicating when turning which tells me they’re likely less disciplined and focused behind the wheel in general.
People are getting worse at driving, the advances in car safety systems, and laws are covering for their worsening skill levels.
Getting a bad driver to just drive slower may help reduce some of the risk but it doesn’t make them better drivers.
People have no idea what to do if anything untoward happens and they end up doing all the wrong things. Most people in this country are trained how to operate a car but nothing else. No training for adverse conditions and no road etiquette.
The government will keep bringing in useless laws that achieve nothing because they never get enforced and tell us they are making things better.
Wonder have they done research into the new lights on the cars. When they are coming past me on a country road at night I physically can’t see anything until they pass.
The UK done an investigation into it and found their lights to be a contributing factor to road accidents. Bet you won’t see that done over here!!
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/01/11/led-headlights-blinding-causing-crashes-rac/#:~:text=%E2%80%9CBetween%202013%20and%202022%2C%20there,affairs%20officer%20at%20the%20RAC.
I know there are many issue for sure, but can we please acknowledge that the roads are literally unfit for purpose in some rural areas. My village has pot holes from all the trucks and i have to get new tires 2 times in 18 months and I popped one in one of the newer holes. This causes a huge issue and only due to my years of driving was i able to correct it and safely stop, not everyone is so experienced.
What does the line chart look like when road fatalities are calculated as a percentage of the population? Is it possible that increases in fatalities correspond to increases in population size?
I still think the issue are the roads themselves, then alcohol, then the fucking phone, and finally speed.
But if you combine either alcohol, phone or speed with bad driving on a shitty road where a car does not fit in its lane, then you get an accident
I’m WFH so I don’t drive much other than at weekends but from what I see at those weekends, there is a big issue.
I commonly see:
* Risky overtaking
* Risky tailgating
* Risky entrances onto main roads from side roads
* Ignorance of roundabouts and continuous white lines
* Phone usage
* Excessive differences in motorway speeds (some vehicles going <100Kph and some going >150Kph)
Is it me or sre there more gbbshites in 10+ year old audis/BMWs/passats with their fog lights on, overtaking multiple cars on bends and continuous white lines?
I drove about 300 miles over the weekend and saw no traffic enforcement across motorways, national roads or in towns
The lack of instruction regarding motorway driving, merging, changing lanes, what lane to be in on the motorway etc. is also a problem.
It is crazy that people have to do a certain number of lessons and none of this is included.
Scrolling scrolling scrolling .. all day long by thick cunts that can’t put a phone down for 2 seconds in case they miss the post that Sharon put up about her new teeth .Fuck off.
And I include the Gardai in that too .
How does this rate compare to the growth in population and use of the roads?
Why do they not give reasons for the crashes? You’d think being intoxicated or using phone would be easy to tell? This may help hit home the reasons?
I was always curious how much of a contributing factor the engineering of or roads is to these fatalities. There was 3 kids killed outside of ballon, Carlow, early this year on a notoriously bad bend, the following day another person was nearly killed on the same bend, there has been a series of fatalities on that bend, yet nothing has even been done about it, why?
So many people on the phone while driving. It’s crazy.
Try closing your eyes for three seconds while you drive, same thing.
a lorry tried to pass me when i was indicating to turn right the other day (granted he probably didn’t see it because he was basically inside my boot), the swerve he did to get back onto the actual road, im actually shocked he didn’t clip my car
One of the main reasons I don’t drive, I enjoy living
People are more stressed and more wound up than ever.
You also have increasing number of young assholes driving at silly speeds.