‘Yes’ leads by 2%. First lead for ‘Yes’ since November 2022. Scotland Independence Referendum Voting Intention (6-7 April): Yes 44% (+1) No 42% (-4) Don’t Know 14% (+3) Changes +/- 10-11 March
by slapbang
‘Yes’ leads by 2%. First lead for ‘Yes’ since November 2022. Scotland Independence Referendum Voting Intention (6-7 April): Yes 44% (+1) No 42% (-4) Don’t Know 14% (+3) Changes +/- 10-11 March
by slapbang
20 comments
Great news that support finally seems to be separating from the SNP.
Criticism of one isn’t necessarily criticism of the other.
We might be able to have more sensible discussions about government failings without all the negativity that usually follows it.
More a decrease in support for the union than a call to get the muskets out of the thatched roof and march on Edinburgh with battle flags fluttering. 🪖🪖🪖🏴🏴🏴
Still better than nowt I suppose 🥳🥳🥳
Michael Gove will be nervous 🫣🫣🫣
Interesting to see Yes hold up so strongly despite the SNP drop. More evidence that the Yes coalition and the SNP electoral coalition cannot be used interchangeably. I wonder what it would take for it to fall at this stage. I imagine if Labour produce a new constitutional settlement it’d finally budge the numbers but there’s no indication that they intend to revisit devolution at all.
First by Redfield and Wilton, there have been other companies showing a Yes lead in that timeframe.
This changes everything.
Humza for the win
Along with the rest of the monthly Redfield and Wilton poll results:
> Altogether the results (with changes from 10-11 March in parentheses) are as follows:
> Labour 33% (-1)
> Scottish National Party 32% (-2)
> Conservative 17% (+1)
> Liberal Democrat 8% (+2)
> Reform UK 5% (+1)
> Green 2% (-2)
> Alba Party 2% (+1)
And:
> 15% of respondents cite Scottish Independence/The Union as one of the three issues that would most determine their vote if a General Election was held tomorrow, **the lowest percentage of voters ever in our Scottish polling to name it as one of their top three issues,** and making it only the seventh most commonly selected overall issue.
So, fewer people rate independence as a top priority, but overall more people say they’re in support of it when asked.
At the same time the key party of independence, who are saying winning* the next election would be a mandate to, uh, do something, are falling further in the same poll.
Make of that what you will.
*Even if this means losing their current majority of Scottish seate
Meh.
I’ve written numerous times about the fact that unionism can not sell London rule anymore.
No matter the argument on the short term pain independence may bring, the current status quo is bringing nothing but pain to Scotland.
With the death of the Labour Party who are selling out to the tory ticket for power, the Scottish opposition just a marionette coalition of pro union resistance, and promises of more austerity to come, people are weighing the decision by that clear circumstance.
The belligerent attitude from London re devolution, the constant narrative of shrieked traducement and hyperbolised claims of failure, the danger to devolution itself through London irritation, and two decades of rejection of unionist branch office puppetry, it feels like Scots are seeing independence as the only exit door from it all.
Despite the howling, devolution has been a great success and has made a difference, financially and otherwise, to Scots in comparison to the neglect and harm imposed on the rest of the UK.
Nobody is saying it’s all land of honey under devolution, but at almost every measure, we seem to have it better than the rest of the UK.
The most crucial period in regards to the whole argument is the coming Labour Premiership.
If Labour can’t provide optimism for Scots in regards to the union and continue the pain of national downfall and bankruptcy, Brexit ideology, austerity for appeasement to capitalist greed profit harvesting and the feeling of most that it is that the government represents over ordinary families, then the decision for Scots leans towards the only viable escape from it.
I always say independence has already started under devolved powers and the much desired and success of self governance. Scotlands foot seems to be rising to take what is a final inevitable step.
Over to you Keir, no pressure.
We have literally learned nothing from Brexit. Nothing at all.
A continuous alternation between ‘Yes in the lead, labour dominance’ and ‘no in the lead SNP dominance’ would be incredibly funny.
Good stuff. Surprised this is a R&W poll, they always seemed to weigh against Indy.
There won’t be a referendum again for a long time so it’s fine
I’m honestly surprised they still track this ten years on.
I was, and remain, a Yes supporter (though as I emigrated I can’t vote next time out) but realistically there’s no chance of another run at this for maybe twenty years.
The winds are blowing in another direction, other issues are top of people’s minds and the SNP currently have less leverage than a marshmallow crowbar.
There’s no other pro independence party with a sniff of enough seats to become relevant to the discourse on their own and the Greens have already seen the SNP for the politically toxic iceberg they have become and steered clear of a pact.
Really is interesting that Yes is consistently at 2014 levels. At the same time more devolution and full fiscal autonomy are very popular.
It’s also amusing that while Yousaf and the SNP approval ratings are dismal and they would probably be voted out in an election tomorrow, people still want them to have more powers. (I understand their two separate theoretical questions but in immediate practice it would mean taking powers from the incredibly unpopular Conservative run Westminster to at the very least bruised SNP Holyrood.)
Aye, but Humza eats babies and Nicola stole that money to buy a Motorhome say posts on r/Scotland twice daily.
I’m not scottish or even from the UK… But what do you think would be beneficial for the Scots when being independent? Just curious, im from across the sea 🙂
So still a bit off equal, a fair bit off of a slim majority and a long way from a strong majority…
We need to wrap this referendum pish rapid and begin creating the institutions which will make it possible for Scotland to simply declare independence.
No arrests for a few months, Indy’s on!
Mental😂