Let’s hope so. If we don’t do something about climate change, our grandchildren are completely fucked.
Are they still anti gmo? They’ll never get my vote until they stop embracing such idiotic views.
“No”.
The lib dems added 1,000,000 votes between 2017 and 2019, is it exciting times for them too? I expect not from the point of view of novara media lol
Although the extra million votes translated into an apparently worse outcome, awesome system that
I know the article dives a lot deeper, but given the headline I thought I should address it. From someone who lives there, the constituency is a bit of a weird one which I think a lot of “outsiders” don’t really consider when talking about things like this.
Partly because of the wide area it covers. The entirety of Bristol city centre, out towards the west as far as Clifton Down and out east as far east as Lawrence Hill. It covers a lot of what people think of as “Bristol”.
Partly because of the diverse economic area it covers. Obviously Clifton is well known for being more well off, but it also has a high number of students and there are other more well off areas in the constituency too like Bishopston. Then you have the less well off areas like St Pauls and Barton Hill. And you have the city centre itself which is a right mix of students, more well off people in expensive harbourside flats and less well off people in council flats.
Partly because of the diverse racial / ethnic backgrounds it covers. Closely linked to economic diversity but not totally the same, the constituency covers areas that have vastly different profiles along these lines (compare say St Pauls with Clifton!).
Partly because it is actually being split as part of the boundary changes. The East side of the city centre is being split off to join the rest of the Bristol East constituency and it is also likely to lose some of its northern parts to Bristol North West.
Parrly because of gentrification in the city (both in areas within the constituency like Easton, but also in other areas of the city like Southville and Bedminster which forces people to look to “cheaper” areas to move to like Lawrence Hill and St Pauls which are within the constituency (and thus starting gentrification in those areas too).
It is true that a lot of Green councilors got elected to the council last year. But it was against the backdrop of a lot of the same people who voted for Green councilors voting Labour for the mayor (including myself).
I’m not really sure what all of that added together means, but it is an interesting one. A local journalist did a Twitter thread on the constituency last night showing how mad it is ([https://twitter.com/TristanCorkPost/status/1486098845104852992](https://twitter.com/TristanCorkPost/status/1486098845104852992)) but basically its gone from a safe Tory seat, to a safe Lib Dem seat to a safe Labour seat to a seat that maybe the Greens could get if they try hard enough (though the majority is large enough that it would be tough to overturn) in all of just 30 years. Add to that the fact the Lib Dems won in it 2010 but didn’t even contest it in 2019 and the upcoming boundary changes – who knows! But from the Greens point of view it would be foolish if they didn’t at least try!
For me their anti-nuclear stance makes them the least “green” party. I wouldn’t be surprised if their uninformed views have resulted in them increasing global warming relative to them not existing.
Never going to vote for them in national elections climate change is a top priority but there so fucking anti science it’s stupid
No.
For them to win they will need an 18% swing in a Labour held seat, Bristol West, something that would be highly improbable given the electoral system we have in the UK. The next that might be interesting is Isle of Wight, which currently has the Greens in 3rd, needing a 20% swing against the Tories to win, which is even less probable as any swing away from the Tories would likely head to Labour. With current polling, the Greens would be an even more distant second in Bristol West in 2023 and a distant third in Isle of Wight.
But this is all moot given that there is a boundary change in 2023, before the next election. The boudary change helps the Greens in the Isle of Wight as it is split in two, and helps them marginally in Bristol, (Bristol West disappears, but many of the wards are taken by Bristol Central) but still not enough to really challenge for a seat.
8 comments
Let’s hope so. If we don’t do something about climate change, our grandchildren are completely fucked.
Are they still anti gmo? They’ll never get my vote until they stop embracing such idiotic views.
“No”.
The lib dems added 1,000,000 votes between 2017 and 2019, is it exciting times for them too? I expect not from the point of view of novara media lol
Although the extra million votes translated into an apparently worse outcome, awesome system that
I know the article dives a lot deeper, but given the headline I thought I should address it. From someone who lives there, the constituency is a bit of a weird one which I think a lot of “outsiders” don’t really consider when talking about things like this.
Partly because of the wide area it covers. The entirety of Bristol city centre, out towards the west as far as Clifton Down and out east as far east as Lawrence Hill. It covers a lot of what people think of as “Bristol”.
Partly because of the diverse economic area it covers. Obviously Clifton is well known for being more well off, but it also has a high number of students and there are other more well off areas in the constituency too like Bishopston. Then you have the less well off areas like St Pauls and Barton Hill. And you have the city centre itself which is a right mix of students, more well off people in expensive harbourside flats and less well off people in council flats.
Partly because of the diverse racial / ethnic backgrounds it covers. Closely linked to economic diversity but not totally the same, the constituency covers areas that have vastly different profiles along these lines (compare say St Pauls with Clifton!).
Partly because it is actually being split as part of the boundary changes. The East side of the city centre is being split off to join the rest of the Bristol East constituency and it is also likely to lose some of its northern parts to Bristol North West.
Parrly because of gentrification in the city (both in areas within the constituency like Easton, but also in other areas of the city like Southville and Bedminster which forces people to look to “cheaper” areas to move to like Lawrence Hill and St Pauls which are within the constituency (and thus starting gentrification in those areas too).
It is true that a lot of Green councilors got elected to the council last year. But it was against the backdrop of a lot of the same people who voted for Green councilors voting Labour for the mayor (including myself).
I’m not really sure what all of that added together means, but it is an interesting one. A local journalist did a Twitter thread on the constituency last night showing how mad it is ([https://twitter.com/TristanCorkPost/status/1486098845104852992](https://twitter.com/TristanCorkPost/status/1486098845104852992)) but basically its gone from a safe Tory seat, to a safe Lib Dem seat to a safe Labour seat to a seat that maybe the Greens could get if they try hard enough (though the majority is large enough that it would be tough to overturn) in all of just 30 years. Add to that the fact the Lib Dems won in it 2010 but didn’t even contest it in 2019 and the upcoming boundary changes – who knows! But from the Greens point of view it would be foolish if they didn’t at least try!
For me their anti-nuclear stance makes them the least “green” party. I wouldn’t be surprised if their uninformed views have resulted in them increasing global warming relative to them not existing.
Never going to vote for them in national elections climate change is a top priority but there so fucking anti science it’s stupid
No.
For them to win they will need an 18% swing in a Labour held seat, Bristol West, something that would be highly improbable given the electoral system we have in the UK. The next that might be interesting is Isle of Wight, which currently has the Greens in 3rd, needing a 20% swing against the Tories to win, which is even less probable as any swing away from the Tories would likely head to Labour. With current polling, the Greens would be an even more distant second in Bristol West in 2023 and a distant third in Isle of Wight.
But this is all moot given that there is a boundary change in 2023, before the next election. The boudary change helps the Greens in the Isle of Wight as it is split in two, and helps them marginally in Bristol, (Bristol West disappears, but many of the wards are taken by Bristol Central) but still not enough to really challenge for a seat.