Ukraine’s HUGE Gamble to Stop Russian Breach!

Ukraine’s HUGE Gamble to Stop Russian Breach!

Ukrainian forces are still fighting
tooth and nail to contain the Russian
breach near Tina but are they relying on
an unconventional strategy I’m Paul US
Army Combat veteran let’s talk about it
so the last 24 hours we’ve seen Russia
continue to expand their breakthrough
here in the ultra datina region um it
seems perhaps a bit more contained or at
least not quite as dramatic a
breakthrough as we’ve seen previously
you can see Russian forces though ADV in
to the Northwest into these Open Fields
here as well as some advances near
caramic um but again we’re looking
primarily at a lot of Open Fields a
little bit in the village of caramic
itself and I think this reflects a
Ukrainian strategic choice we know that
cersi uh is a commander who favors a
Mobile Defense and as we’ve talked about
CI also understands that the aid is
coming but month from now the Ukrainian
forces are going to have a very
different equipping package um again I
operate under the assumption that
Ukraine still had some Reserve stores
that they were trying to sort of um it’s
the word I want uh like ration out and
that once the aid was passed you would
see them reduce their rationing and put
more of their aid their their Munitions
forward but I think I was wrong I think
they actually didn’t have anything I
think they were getting artillery shells
by a trickle and they were shooting them
as soon as they got them um so uh what
that means though is that they
understand Siri that the now is not the
time and place to go toe-to-toe with the
Russian forces instead what they’re
trying to do it seems as conduct a
controlled withdrawal
while getting the diverting the Russian
forces into a Direction that’s favorable
to them now as we’ve talked about right
the berichi Seka umansky Line This is a
a def Ive line that was originally
stretched to ultraa uh and formed a
perimeter that Ukrainian forces were
able to hold for some time until
basically they ran out of Munitions now
I think what you’re seeing is a
controlled withdrawal likely to the so
soil uh
Yanka uh region here you can see in the
map that it is also bordered by a uh
stream or river system um it’s also
elevated along High Ground so for
Ukrainian forces this is a really strong
position to try to conduct defensive
operations and now it’s now the problem
is of course that if the Ukrainian
forces themselves they can’t withdraw
past this point uh if the Russians cut
them off right so if the Russians are
able to turn and flank South then
ukrainians will not be able to get to
this position so what it seems like that
they’re doing is not trying to stop the
Russian advance but by trying to
canalize it by
convincing not even convincing by
creating a situation in which the
easiest and most most productive advance
for Russian commanders looks like the
Northwest but you guys can see that as
you push to the Northwest you realize
one there’s not a lot of high value
terrain here there’s very few major
roadways that pass through this region
you can see just a small just a single
roadway passes through here and this
region has literally no roadways just a
bunch of empty fields and so I think
that’s what the ukrainians are trying to
do divert the Russians into to yield low
value terrain buying time for these
forces here to conduct their their
withdrawal in contact to this defensive
line to the west and then you know and
then time will have passed right we can
they can hold out for a few weeks while
additional air defense missiles uh
additional munition
arrive at the front now if you guys want
to see what the fighting has looked like
on the ground YouTube won’t let me show
you that you guys know I make war
content and YouTube especially in an
election year YouTube doesn’t have a
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covering the news right especially
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sponsors say we’d love to be a part we’d
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combat vet news combat vet news is a way
for you the viewers to directly uh
support me and the team so we can
continue to do this every single day but
what I give you is twice a week I find
the most upto-date current viral videos
of the Frontline combat and we do a deep
dive analysis right so we watch some of
the fighting in ult datina and how the
Russian forces are trying to Stage this
breakthrough and how the ukrainians are
relying on a very drone heavy strategy
to at trit them down um but if you want
access to that right any one of the
membership tiers will get you access but
if you really want to support the
channel and have my eternal gratitude
plus the shout outs at the end of the
videos you can support me with the
Lieutenant tier or the colonel tier uh
so I appreciate all you guys that have
joined us on combat event news and we’re
going to be looking at some of this
fighting footage from ultraa today uh
later today in just a couple of hours
now let’s talk a little bit more in
depth about this situation and what’s
interesting is that you can see just how
many units Russia has poured into this
they really are going all in on this
breakthrough uh the 15th separate motor
rifle Brigade um the 30th separate motor
rifle Brigade The 132nd motor rifle
Brigade uh the 90th tank division uh
132nd I mean just a an eye pooing number
277th uh a just a wild number of Russian
forces of brigades are pushing into this
so you’re looking at probably something
uh in around 20,000 troops uh combat
troops are being poured into this uh
breach and the Ukrainian forces just may
not have the the material to do this
right now by most analysis the
ukrainians are outnumbered in ad diviva
by about 3 to one um possibly more as
Russia throws more troops into this um
and you know 3 to one is a actually a
healthy ratio if you’re the defender but
it especially for Ukrainian forces who
have an edge in technology but without
the Munitions the technological Edge
really doesn’t account uh for much so I
think your going to have to see them
continue to fight this uh fighting
withdrawal uh to better defensive
positions and try to hold off this
massive surge of Russian forces um if
they can do so the upside will be that
Russia has committed a lot of its forces
a lot of its reserves to this fight and
if they can come out the other end uh
the ukrainians may find that other areas
of the front line have been drained of
their Reserve component uh giving
ukrainians an opportunity for a pretty
decisive Counterattack but uh that’s a
long way off again given the scale of
the Russian push in this region um
anyway guys that is well actually
there’s one more interesting story that
I think is you know kind of annoys me uh
isw very very Pro Ukrainian you know and
I I also consider myself Pro Ukrainian
but only in the sense that I would
prefer Ukraine to retain its Sovereign
territory um that does not mean that I
have to I feel obligated to spin a bad
situation as good right because if you
believe that bad situations are actually
good then you’re not going to take them
as seriously as you need to and again as
a US voter you should understand that
your leadership caused this pretty
directly um by delaying Ukrainian Aid uh
for something like 3 months after the
ukrainians said this is our zero day um
that is what resulted in this situation
that we’re looking at now
um now what isw points out even they
have to admit Russian forces now have
What’s called the initiative and in
strategic and tactical planning
initiative means it’s when the enemy is
in react mode uh they are reacting to
what you do you are choosing what you do
right so Russian forces it says have the
opportunity to choose among multiple
tactical directions for future offensive
drives they’re still saying near a
diviva it’s not it’s near ultra datina
um and they say it’s unclear where they
focus their efforts in the future and
that’s kind of what we talked about
right once they took Ultra datina they
could turn South I think that’s what
they probably wanted to do um but the
Ukrainian forces had to have uh be
covered uh so instead I think they were
sort of uh canalized into this
Northeastern or Northwestern push um but
they could also continue to drive in the
caramic direction as we’ve seen so
Russia has the initiative and Ukraine is
indeed stuck in react mode
anyway guys that is all I had for today
thank you guys as always and a huge
thank you to all the members of combat
news.com all of our Colonel tier members
I couldn’t do this without and our
Lieutenant here members I really
appreciate all you guys and your
contributions uh thank you so much and
I’ll see you guys in the next one cheers

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Original Video:
https://deepstatemap.live/#10/50.1563/36.5534
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates

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Original Video:
https://deepstatemap.live/#10/50.1563/36.5534
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates

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