⚡️The Defence Intelligence of Ukraine reported on the estimated stockpiles of Zircon, Oniks, Kalibr and X-69 missiles in russia. In particular, as of the end of April 2024, the following were in service in russia:



by Orcasystems99

10 comments

  1. The Defence Intelligence of Ukraine reported on the estimated stockpiles of Zircon, Oniks, Kalibr and X-69 missiles in russia.

    In particular, as of the end of April 2024, the following were in service in russia:

    About 40 units of hypersonic anti-ship missiles 3M22 “Zircon”. The production rate of these missiles is up to 10 units per month;

    The number of cruise missiles 3M55/3M55M Oniks/Oniks-M is 400 units. The production rate is up to 10 units per month;

    Cruise missiles 3M-14 “Kalibr” – 270 units. The production rate is 30-40 units per month;

    Guided aircraft X-69 missiles – 45 units. The production rate is 1-3 units per month.

  3. Some of these numbers are higher than they used to be, but some are actually in the same “ballpark” range as they were a year ago.

    It seems that there is some Russian policy to keep a “do not touch” reserve of certain of its missile types. In the range of a few dozen, mostly, for the ones they have in this deep reserve. Perhaps they are the nuclear-capable types, and this is Russia’s strategic defensive reserve that not even Putin can easily access or throw onto the bonfire of the Ukrainian invasion.

    So, there will always be a “bottom of the barrel,” it seems. The Russian invasion will falter before those will all be used. Indeed the Russian state itself may collapse before they are used, if they are the nuclear ones. At least we can hope.

  4. Russia is a petromafia kleptocratic barbarian slave state that runs on cruelty.

    It’s industrial base is very similar to Mexican drug cartels, who seize control of primary industries of resource extraction and agriculture. In the Mexican example, let’s say avocado production. These don’t require a high degree of technical precision, and you can generally run the business with unskilled labour mass pushed forward by a few corrupt overseers who rule by fear.

    These Goon Companies are inefficient, corrupt, and depend critically on the competence of a few technicians and engineers. When you murder or otherwise drive away those specialists, then the entire enterprise falls apart.

    That is what will neuter Russia’s precision weapons industry – punishing the competent people for the failure over their overhyped weapons systems, or otherwise driving them to flee Russia due to the orgy of abuse, corruption and dysfunction in the country. They can’t easily replace competent people in a political system that rewards brutal obedience over basic competence.

    If not for Chinese support, they probably would already have suffered fatal damage to their precision manufacturing capabilities. Remains to be seen how long China will be interested in making Russia more and more dependent on them for their terroristic war.

    Probably a while yet, as Xi’s vanity project of stealing Taiwan is tied to Russia achieving something – anything really – out of their stupid genocidal invasion.

    These numbers, if correct, are really low for a vast state that has delusions of projecting global power. Russia probably had many other plans for restoring the empire, but given their shattered army and degraded capabilities, there’s absolutely no way that will happen during Putin’s remaining lifetime.

    And when he dies, there will be a power struggle of corporatist ethnomafia warlords, as there always are during transfers of power in their brutalist barbarian shit hole

  5. Geez 40 Kalibrs a month is a crazy amount. Wonder how long they can keep that going

  6. Some missing but role-related weapons would be Kh-55/101 and the Iskander cruise missile. I wonder what their production rates are. I also wonder how much these have increased from the previous estimates Reznikov gave.

    Side note, as an example of the unpreparedness of western forces, the UK has about 65 Tomahawk missiles. Russia’s making that many Kalibr every 2 months.

  7. On the positive side of matters Ukraine has many ways to defend against cruise missiles like Kalibr that do not require Patriot or IRIS-T expense missiles. Kalibr shoot down rates are very high – well above 90% and in some attacks 100%.

    But supersonic and hypersonic missiles require the advanced systems for defense. And Russia is using these missiles against targets such as Kharkiv & Dnipro that lack these defenses.

    The addition of more Patriot and IRIS-T cannot come to soon.

  9. 40 Zircon and 10 built a month is not comforting. Those things got to Kyiv in like 6 minutes from Crimea, explosions went off seconds after the air raid sirens.

    Hopefully they have good Intel and can hit them before they launch, because otherwise I don’t have a lot of confidence they’ll be able to be shot down before reaching a major city.

  10. Russia pushing itself to its knees and leaping into its own checkmate. Yeah it’s going to splinter and fracture the moment somone gets ambitious and succeeds or putin keels over.

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