Voting Intention: Con 18%, Lab 44% (30 Apr – 1 May 2024)

21 comments

1. If only the general election vote would be 18% Tory. I know it will be higher.

   An opinion poll from a company founded by a Tory MP ironically.

2. Tories are trying to give as many gov’t deals to their supporters before relinquishing power. PM is probably also working behind the scenes to maneuver contracts to his father in-law’s companies. Yep this is the sad state of a party fighting for scraps.

3. As long as the Tories lose today I’ll cope with the maddening wait for the GE……where they will also lose. Hopefully.

4. I’d love to know what exactly is going so right for the 18% voting Conservative, Rishi Sunak may as well be stood outside your burning home with a box of matches and a shit-eating grin. What possible reason can people have to vote for them other than “I’ve always voted for them” or “everyone around here votes for them”, anyone who votes like this for any political party is a grade-A fucking moron, an absolute child incapable of weighing up those who govern them and making their own decision.

5. The fact that the majority of voters are still going to vote for the two main parties after 60 years of incompetence at best and outright betrayal at worst tells me that democracy was a mistake, that the majority of people shouldn’t have the right to vote and that there’s no hope for the future of this country.

6. There was a time when this would excite me, sadly not anymore.

   Whilst seeing the tories get a well deserved kicking is going to be gratifying, the red/blue merry-go-round just doesn’t really interest me anymore, nothing ever seems to change, just the same dumb mistakes repeated for decades now.

7. Reform on 15%

   Not sure if it would be a good thing or bad thing if they took over he Tories in the polls. It would be funny but worrying at the same time.

8. Where does this leave predictions for when a GE is held?

   There is now objectively nothing the Tories can do that seems to move the dial at ALL in terms of support. Even whatever performative shenanigans that was around last week with the Rwanda policy, making people stay and vote late into the night. That has done nothing.

   It’s inexplicable to me why they want to wait for a GE as late as autumn. Sure, they get to roll out some last-minute contracts for their mates, but even that takes time to get over the line, more than they have, surely? If they have such a drubbing between now and then that there’s like 30 of them left in Parliament, what’s the point? Will they even be the first Parliamentary opposition with numbers that low? There won’t be enough of them to even mount a complaint against anything Labour does.

   Given the way 2024 has gone so far, there’s a non-zero possibility that even more Tories are jumping ship before the end, and even MORE by-elections that Labour hoover up before a GE. And they’re giving more time for Reform to hoover up some as well. If self-preservation means anything to them, I think they’ll have a June-July election. They’re out of leadership candidates because they’re out of leaders so that’s not going to work either for the 6th time in 8 years..

9. Well, i tried voting (first time). The boomers at the ballot box wouldn’t accept my valid Citizencard. I left after trying to explain that it was a valid PASS card. They thought it was a bus pass.

10. Would love a decent alternative who actually listened to the people & got stuff done! Huge opportunity for a new party to emerge…. all the current options don’t fill me with any confidence at all!

11. I can see turnout for this being quite low with the amount of policy u turns and shifting to the right labour has done

12. #Reform UK are only three points behind the Tories.

    I think if Nigel Farage were to announce his comeback into politics, replace Richard Tice as leader and run as MP, he’d eclipse the Conservative Party. I almost hope he does.

13. I’ve lost complete faith in our political system.

    The conservatives are hardly conservative and I fear labour will govern exactly the same as the current Tory party do.

    Too much corruption and corporate interests in parliament.

    Id love to think differently though and be offered a better solution but I can’t see one right now.

    I think I’ll be sitting this election out.

14. The trend of “people start voting tory when they get older” has started to break. Millennials who have been shafted in every way over the past 15 years are not turning colour to blue as they reach their 30-40s.

    Right now I believe the crossover age between labour and Conservative is 70-75ish.

    I just can’t see a long term future for the conservatives unless they make serious changes, and by that I don’t mean “be more racist”

15. Who is voting tory, 14 years they have shown us time and time again they do not give one singular shit about us, yet people still vote for them! Baffles me

16. I don’t care if labour wins, I pray for the downfall of the tories.
    They thought a betrayal this big would be left unanswered 

17. its alright ladies n gentlemen, come July, October, January, whenever big Sunak is doing the GE, i don’t think he’s going to get higher than 20% approval in voting intention on the polls.

    just hang in there.

18. The amount of voter apathy I’ve seen in my circle pissed me off. I’ve convinced a few people to vote, but so many people have the ‘they’re all the same’ and ‘there’s no point voting’ mentality… 

19. Be skeptical is what I would say.

    I remember Corbyn was predicted to slaughter the Tories by a landslide but the opposite happened. We do not live in a society where people are always comfortable (or safe) sharing their political opinions.

    Silent tories have previously proven themselves to be an invisible, but significant, voting block. I’m not suggesting they will win but I would be very suprised if the Tory vote really was this low if only because while disaffected Labour voters could turn Reform, Green, Lib Dem etc….There is no viable alternative for traditional tory voters (Reformers tending to be concerned with social issues more than anything else).

20. Are people so deluded that they think a labour government is going to fix anything

21. God I hope the conservatives lose the next general election. So much vitriol, particularly in the last 2 years.