“Russians will capture the Baltic States in 7 days. NATO’s reaction time is 10 days.” — Ukraine’s military intelligence service (GUR) deputy chief Vadym Skibitsky.



by Baysdarby

39 comments

  3. Finland enters the chat and captures St. Petersburg in the same time and probably moscow.

  4. After watching these dumbf*cks in Ukraine for almost 5 years I can confidently say I doubt it.

  5. Even if this is completely true, what would the Russians imagine happens _after_ ten days. Russians sitting looking pretty, celebrating their run for three days, when NATO’s 3 million soldiers and 22,000 aircraft turn up…

  6. What an idiotic statement to make, when these countries are giving up considerable amount of equipment of their active army and some are heading into election year. Maybe they should rethink their commitments and look after their own defense?

  7. I’d be surprised if it took NATO ten minutes to respond to that.

  8. Okay this is just a dumb take from a guy who’s not in NATO

  10. One positive thing NATO has definitely learnt from this war is that defence is far easier than offence. If Russia sets foot in any NATO country, there will be a shit load of stealth F35s and also Eurofighters unloading their ordnance on Russians very very quickly.

  12. Yeah, if Russia could surprise NATO, which it can’t.

  14. These comments are like based off a RAND Corporation study from several years ago that said the same thing. I’ll have to dig it up.

  15. Fuck you Russia and every russian. What the fuck is your problem?!

  16. It would take them more than 10 days to prep and move troops there. NATO would be ready to tango…

  17. Lol right. I don’t think it takes much time to scramble a jet fighter considering it happens often enough due to Ruzzias bad behavior.

  18. So if it takes them 7 days, but it took them 3 days to take Kyiv, does that mean they could actually take the Baltics in 5 years?

  19. Kyiv in 3 days – remember that promise? Lol. So 7 days that’ll be a decade long grind where they will lose millions of soldiers? Yeah that’d be hilarious.

  20. I don’t think NATO’s reaction time would be ten days. That would require a surprise attack. In practice, there would be a noticeable Russian buildup. So, NATO would almost certainly see the invasion coming and prepare for it.

  22. How does Russia amass a massive assault army on a Baltic border without being noticed that there’s a massive assault army being established on the Baltic border?

    There is no stealth technology for troop, artillery and tank movements, which are all visible from space. It is IMPOSSIBLE for Russia to even begin an assault in mere 10 days without NATO catching on.

    Maybe Russia is going to rush a Protoss Nexus near the Estonian border, mass all the troops and vehicles underground with a pylon and then uses the Mass Recall to the frontline Nexus on the entire Russian army for a surprise attack. Maybe add a Warp Prism and couple Pylons too, so they can warp in some reinforcements. Just gotta make sure to build some extra pylons not to get supply capped!

  23. The thing is, the Baltics have been training and preparing for a Russian invasion. They’ve also had years (since 2014) to observe Russian tactics in a modern war. If Ukraine is able to kick Russias ass after over a decade of fighting them, the Baltics would whoop them. Russian army really isn’t anything to write home about.

  24. Ok soooo no. NATO would immediately notice Russian troop build ups near the Baltic states using satellites. We would then respond accordingly.

  25. NATO knew what Russia was doing before they did it so I doubt they could invade anyone else at this point without the billions in assets that are constantly looking at the country, could detect something was going on.

  26. He is not wrong. Boots on ground and planned defenses are needed, yesterday.

  27. Lol.

    Russia couldn’t get from Kursk to Kyiv, not even on an empty highway with nothing in their way. Not in 3 days, not in 7 days. It’s been 800 days and they’re still trying.

    Meanwhile, St Petersburg to Vilnius is twice the distance, 3 times the distance if you have to get through Estonia and Latvia on the way there.

    I’m all in favor of discussing the threat that Russia poses, but the idea that Russia has some proven track record of blitzing through Eastern European countries and no one can stop them is a bit … disproven?

    Even if NATO’s response time to Russian invasion were 40 days and nights plus a dead cat, I would still bet on the Baltics.

  28. The main army takes time to gear up and mobilise. Intelligence is supposed to do their job predicting the buildup and movements of enemy forces.

    NATO has an Allied Rapid Reaction Corp. Troops on call. Bergen packed. Report to their base and get their weapons and orders organized. Fly down to a staging point, fly to before combat zone. Get into vehicles and drive to meet the enemy. 24-48hrs max. They “should” be able to stall the enemy enough until other forces move up.

    This guy doesn’t understand how NATO operates. Wants his 15 minutes of fame. Or it’s redirection.

    Edit: link for reading

    https://arrc.nato.int/about-us#:~:text=Headquarters%20Allied%20Rapid%20Reaction%20Corps,for%20operations%20and%20crisis%20response.

  29. This guy obviously hasn’t heard of Satellite surveillance

  33. And the Ruzzians were going to achieve victory in 3 days during their “special military operation”…

  35. Except that Russia would have to assemble forces before invasion…and we would see them doing it.
    So NATO reaction time from a surprise attack might be 10 days, but there’s no such thing as a surprise attack these days.

  36. To do this they would have to pull large numbers of forces out of Ukraine and ship them north. Pretty sure folks would notice.

  37. While I totally support Ukraine, I can’t help but feel this is political statement aiming at European public:

    – Where is Russia going to gather such force in the first place? If they had such reserve, why haven’t they use it on Ukraine already?

    – Russian with career soldiers, airborne spearhead, and T-90 tanks couldn’t take Kyiv against 3 national guard brigade and militia in 2022, what makes current Russian force with prison troops and T-62 able to overrun much larger NATO positions that’s support by real air force and navies?

    – Even if Russia really has such force in reserve, how many days it would take them stage it? Why wouldn’t NATO stage their force in response as well in the same time?

  38. They haven’t managed to capture more than a few square miles of territory since 2022. What is this analysis based on in reality?

  39. His motives are understandable but the US has practiced and exercised deployments to NATO since long before he was born. REFORGER was the most famous early Cold War exercise.

    If the US is run by a patriot at the time it would respond, but if not they’re SOL. They need organic defense at decisive scale and those who can afford it need nuclear weapons for the same reasons England and France do.

    Only nukes backed by credible will to use them can deter Russia. Poland in particular (having been invaded by Russia more than one) should build a credible countervalue deterrent because Russians can ignore military losses. OTOH a credible threat of losing every major city in Russia would deter the Kremlin from invasion. Russia is a permanent enemy of Western civilization to which it was never part so the goal should be perpetually improving and comprehensive deterrence in Europe and use of proxy conflicts to drain enemy resources.

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