>Under Curtice’s analysis, this would mean Labour becoming the largest party with 40 MSPs, compared with 38 for the SNP, 24 Conservatives, ten Greens, nine Lib Dems **and eight Reform parliamentarians.**
!
ITT : Unhappy nats
Reform getting 6% leading to 8 MSPs and alba getting 4% leading to zero. Yikes.
Hey all, Im Irish myself and a fan of Scottish politics but Im unsure of the situation on the ground, whats up with Labour in Scotland? policies etc? also the SNP, are they goosed or?
– 42% say there should be an election once Yousaf has been replaced (no details for DK or no election)
– 25% of people say SNP should be minority government / 15% say SNP should negotiate new power-sharing deal with Greens
**Best FM (SNP candidates)**
– 23% Swinney (33% 2019 SNP voters)
– 23% Forbes (22% 2019 SNP voters)
– 7% Stephen Flynn (11% 2019 SNP voters)
– 2% Jenny Gilruth (2% 2019 SNP voters)
**Liklihood to vote SNP with SWINNEY leadership**
– 18% more likely (28% 2019 SNP voters)
– 26% less likely (12% 2019 SNP voters)
– _no difference not detailed_
**Liklihood to vote SNP with FORBES leadership**
– 19% more likely (24% 2019 SNP voters)
– 25% less likely (23% 2019 SNP voters)
– _no difference not detailed_
I’d be curious as to what seats the poll thinks the Tories would gain in Westminster.
9 comments
>Under Curtice’s analysis, this would mean Labour becoming the largest party with 40 MSPs, compared with 38 for the SNP, 24 Conservatives, ten Greens, nine Lib Dems **and eight Reform parliamentarians.**
!
ITT : Unhappy nats
Reform getting 6% leading to 8 MSPs and alba getting 4% leading to zero. Yikes.
Hey all, Im Irish myself and a fan of Scottish politics but Im unsure of the situation on the ground, whats up with Labour in Scotland? policies etc? also the SNP, are they goosed or?
“secures”, “poll”
lol
Archive link: https://archive.ph/pPlaf
Polling details: Norstat, 1,086 people aged 16+, Fieldwork: April 30th- May 3rd
#Westminster Polling
– SNP: 29% (**15 Seats**)
– Labour: 34% (**28 seats**)
– Tory: 16% (**9 seats**)
– Lib Dem: 8% (**5 seats**)
#Independence Polling
– Yes: 48%
– No: 52%
#Holyrood Polling
_(Constituency/Regional)_
– SNP: 34% / 26% (**38 seats**)
– Labour: 33% / 27% (**40 seats**)
– Tory: 14% / 17% (**24 seats**)
– Lib Dem: 9% / 8% (**9 seats**)
– Green: 5% / 9% (**10 seats**)
– Reform: not listed / 6% (**8 seats**)
– Alba: not listed / 4% (0 seats)
#Other Polling
– 42% say there should be an election once Yousaf has been replaced (no details for DK or no election)
– 25% of people say SNP should be minority government / 15% say SNP should negotiate new power-sharing deal with Greens
**Best FM (SNP candidates)**
– 23% Swinney (33% 2019 SNP voters)
– 23% Forbes (22% 2019 SNP voters)
– 7% Stephen Flynn (11% 2019 SNP voters)
– 2% Jenny Gilruth (2% 2019 SNP voters)
**Liklihood to vote SNP with SWINNEY leadership**
– 18% more likely (28% 2019 SNP voters)
– 26% less likely (12% 2019 SNP voters)
– _no difference not detailed_
**Liklihood to vote SNP with FORBES leadership**
– 19% more likely (24% 2019 SNP voters)
– 25% less likely (23% 2019 SNP voters)
– _no difference not detailed_
I’d be curious as to what seats the poll thinks the Tories would gain in Westminster.
The only poll that counts is an election.
🟥🟧 Minority government ?