Russia Looks to Be Shifting Its Strategy in Ukraine!

Russian forces appear stuck in hardke but is this all part of the Russian strategy across the entire front line I’m Paul US Army Combat veteran let’s talk about it okay so taking a look at the control map the couple of things to know as we’ve talked about Russian forces is pretty stuck in this like vens offensive you can see them kind of moving and occupying the remainder of this small Hamlet of bu vka uh but this is again something that’s probably a strategic Choice by the ukrainians as we’ve talked about the denk river is a great boundary and barrier to use um and there’s not really much of a reason to fight to hold this Hamlet with the river at your back when you’re better off crossing the river and forcing the Russians to engage in a dangerous river crossing under Fire in the rest of the front line though you can see very little uh has changed Russian forces unable to cross this small Creek here and of course the fighting Chens is a you know it’s somewhat evolving um but Russian forces again are contained in the northern part of the city and as we’ve talked about I won’t be shocked if they end up seizing the city in kind of that slow attritional uh way that Russian forces do but it’s not going to expand into some kind of larger deeper offensive um you can see here that while Russian forces are trying to contest a larger open area here they still are very much much it’s still very much contested and it involves Russian forces Crossing open ground something that frankly tends to go really badly for them um but what I thought was more interesting is that the situation on the Eastern Front is also uh exper evolving somewhat you can see here natova uh Russian forces likely trying to again they’ve identified that their forces here have to pause their offensive efforts and that they have to Sees at least one of the flanks before they push into this kind of um this sort of two L um formation here uh there’s not really a name for Two Lakes kind of meeting if you know what that terrain is called let me know uh but you could see them trying to expand out here and secure this flank um and likely you’ll see them maybe try to push into umansky next um but this has been a much harder fight for them again it’s kind of hard to Advance when you’ve got to choose either to go on one side or another um of this River and these offensive actions by Russia can’t mutually support because there’s a lake in the way um so they can’t really like maneuver in support of one another uh they can do a little bit of fire support but it’s going to be a tougher tougher fight and we’ve seen that Ukrainian forces in umansky uh have really done a good job of of holding onto this position there’s also though been some Russian progress uh south of Novo miva you could see them here again this is not super valuable terrain but this small artificial Pond and this small portion this corner of a Windbreak also occupied by Russian forces I’m not sure that this is part of any kind of larger campaign um again they they may R you may see Russia try to like push out here and do like little bitty envelopments um but I think this looks more like just kind of Russia seizing terrain to seize terrain and that’s kind of what I wanted to talk about right when we look over at the combat map you can see that across the front line uh you can see both Russia and Ukrainian forces are engaging in a number of attacks you you also notice the reporting seems to have changed these symbols aren’t individual attacks now they reflect more about um clashes or combat happening with Russian forces across certain axes you can see them here uh and this see this uh denotes right that there was a Russian assault in the hor uh region uh it’s a little bit more it’s a little bit easier now to see kind of the Russian strategic thinking of launching offensive actions across the front lines you can see Ukraine is out here counterattacking um in a number of key strategic points particularly in the north and in the in the Northeast but this is what I wanted you guys to take away from this is that Russia is trying to pin Ukraine in really all the entire axis of this front line Russia is trying to fix Ukrainian forces in place and we’re going to talk about what their overall strategy is here in a second but I did want to mention strike gum you guys know it’s available on strike gum.com we just launched our five pack but the five pack also for sale now on Amazon so if you go to Amazon search for strike gum or come energy you’ll see the five pack for sale um so now you can if you don’t want this uh the the best deal which is the $7 tray which gets you 75 pieces of gum the equivalent of 75 energy drinks worth of caffeine um but you also don’t want to order one pack and pay for all that shipping just for five pieces of gum you can get this Middle Ground here $25 for five packs of five um it’s the perfect way to try strike gum gives you enough to throw in your car your gym bag in the house um and that way you always have access to the ener the sugar-free energy boost that strike gum gives you so check it out strike cum.com or Amazon okay so the Russian strategy is what things look like you can we can see the Russian forces are only making incremental gains of marginal tactical value but that itself is the strategy it sounds crazy but it’s actually not that crazy right Siri self stated that Russian forces have expanded the area of active hostilities by about 70 kilom right so there’s 70 more kilometers that Ukrainian forces have to defend and that’s a function of the northern harke oblast uh offensive that Russia has launched and so what they do is that Russia’s trying to force Ukraine to commit many of its Reserve brigades to the front lines those reserves are normally held well in reserve to stay stabilize breakthroughs or to provide relief for Ukrainian units so the idea of Russia is that simply they want to force Ukraine to fight all over the front now by tying down all Ukrainian units they’re going to their goal is not to Stage a tactical breakthrough I think even they realize they cannot make that happen right they they the closest they came was in Ultra datina but that ended up really only granting them a pretty limited amount of uh territory gained right it never became a big stunning envelopment Ukrainian forces were able to withdraw and eventually contain the offensive um so Russia I think has realized they said listen we too have to Pivot to a strategy of attrition and what we’re going to do is simply just like your if your goal was to sand down a piece of wood right the larger the area of contact with the sander the the faster the wood gets ground down that is Russia’s basic strategy they’re like listen we want to use the largest piece of sandpaper possible to sand down the Ukrainian forces that’s why they’re opening this arke o blast or I think they opened it because I really thought they could take arke but it seems more like they are now saying oh this is about attrition this is about forcing another Ukrainian brigades to fight in yet another front line right you could see ukrainians have to hold the region around kinky they have to hold Zep aesia they have to hold denet luhansk oblast all the way up here and now Haro blast so the idea is that Russia is simply going to try to win this war of attrition continually put it because it has more troops it has more forces and it believes it can ramp up its defense industrial base so that it will have not just more troops but more material as well and it’s simply going to increase the rate of contact and the rate of attrition until the ukrainians don’t lose uh on the battlefield because of territorial losses Russia’s strategy is simply to cause Ukraine to lose because they do not have the manpower to replace their losses so now it seems like both sides are accepting a version of win by attrition anyway guys that is all I had for today um if you want check us out combit news.com thanks to the colonel tier members thanks to the lieutenant tier members could not do this without you guys appreciate you so much be sure to like the video and I’ll see you guys in the next one cheers

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Original Video:
https://deepstatemap.live/#10/50.1563/36.5534
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates

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Original Video:
https://deepstatemap.live/#10/50.1563/36.5534
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates

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40 comments

  4. Once again keep in mind folks Russia has not diminished one bit with the need to import 60% of all materials of war. They can not send for example tanks to the front line that literally can not operate with 3 parts that they are waiting on. No matter how small if they do not arrive on schedule and there is suddenly no fixed timeline when they will. Delays are now happening because the supplies are not being paid in a timely way so the suppliers delay the shipping. Russia are robbing Peter to pay Paul. It works but it gets interrupted with Jack and Jill interrupt saying where is our money. In the West the government just takes a line of credit with the lenders so they can cut a cheque as needed. Russia has no lenders left. They have to extort the money from richer Russians. It becomes a complicated mess.

  5. Russians just crossed the Vocha river. Southern volchansk is grey zone. Sumy offensive starting. Zelensky crying about it yesterday on the news. Cry cry cry cry 😢

  8. Just figured I'd give an update. In the last 48 hours I've received detailed responses from my house and senate members about the ukraine bill via email.

  9. Paul, a finger of land surrounded by water is called a Peninsula! haha.
    I know you knew that one, but just didn't have the word handy..
    FYI: An isthmus is a Narrow strip of land connecting a Peninsula with a larger body of land..

  12. Objection! Putin never had a strategy for this or any other war. He is educated as secret bloody police. Listening devices and interrigation techniques is not background for having ability to make military strategies. He says to general ”seize land” and that is it! When general fails he shuffles them around. That is all he can do.

  13. Using deepstate map as a source is questionable at best, especially since they publicly announced they are now under the Ukrainian MoD a couple of months ago. That map is usually a couple of days behind the real state of things, and uses tricks such as marking Russian gains as grey areas for super long amounts of time, even though there is clear video evidence saying otherwise.

    As for the offensive itself, the facts are the following – Russia gained more ground in 4 days, using limited forces, than Ukraine did in 3 months in the overhyped 2023 summer counteroffensive. Calling Russia stuck, just because they will consolidate their gains before pushing forward is delusional. The amount of Ukrainian units rotated to the new front is in itself a victory for Russia, considering the manpower issues Ukraine has. Its time to report more realistically on this conflict.

  14. Yankee merc down!

    Collin Teem, born on March 30 2001, from Orlando, Florida, but lived in Lexington, South Carolina, USA.

    As we wrote before, he was one of many young deluded Yankees who left US marines to play trench games in Ukraine.

    Two days ago Collin took the ticket to Bandera and was eliminated by Russian army in Chasiv Yar. Game is over for Collin.

  19. While Russia keeps feeding the meat grinder, Ukraine may want to try and bring down Russian oil production down close to zero – Let's see how Russia keeps running their war machine, then.

  21. I will order Strike gum if you practice pronouncing Ukrainian city names before making the videos. 🙂

  25. The Russians are going to start probing the Ukrainian lines all across the front looking for week spots and attack from different locations on the border…

  29. It’s funny how YouTube commentators with 10 pages of information know the entire Russian strategy and personnel numbers and resources. Call the pentagon they would like to know too.

  30. Today zelenski himself said that condition of ukrainian soldiers are dire and they are loosing morale. They have lack of troops, (although this baldy says everything opposite)

  31. I think that two lake scenario would best be described as a funnel of death and does not seem to be something Russia should be wasting more soldiers and equipment to take. Since in addition to being in range of Ukrainian artillery, now with lots of shells, and if they do take the whole section of ground, there is basically a cork at the top, just a narrow path out that can be mined and saturated with artillery. So it seems to have no military value but a lot of risks.

  34. Update:
    Russian generals engage in yet more gargantuan efforts to move their drinks cabinets 2 meters closer to Kyiv.

  38. Those two lakes are two dams in series. They will take the area between the two lakes to secure the northern dam or flank around the north so they don’t have to deal with the ukrainians releasing water to disrupt crossing at the south of the dam.

  40. With two rivers the land between/at their meeting is called a point. Im assuming its the same with all confluent bodies of water

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