– Sinn Féin 23 (-4 in a month)
– Fine Gael 22 (+2)
– Fianna Fáil 15 (+1)
– Social Democrats 5 (-1)
– Greens 4 (+1)
– Labour 4 (+1)
– Aontú 3 (-1)
– PBP-Solidarity 3 (+1)
– Independents/others 19
I have to say I’ve been Impressed with Simon Harris’s performance as Taoiseach so far.
I’m clearly not the only one.
Ha!
Sinn Fein were on my road canvassing today and were pretty much told to clear off.
Whether it be losing their traditional supporter base, people who were “anybody but Varadkar” and now he’s gone or Anonymous Mary-Lou, they’ve really fucked up the mantra of “the most effective opposition ever” title that they were telling us about. When it was the easiest time ever to be opposition.
there is nobody i want to vote for in my local council elections. I don’t know what to do.
While they will gain seats in the Local and European elections given their 2019 outing was soooo bad, it’s a concern for their General Election run.
Feck sake, people are falling for fine gaels rubbish again. Anybody but them, I know Sinn Fein haven’t been great in opposition but this government needs to go
Thank fuck. Simon you’re going to win this election
Oh fuck off. Wait till the votes come in
Sinn Féin got caught between 3 stools.
1.) The older more traditional cold face of republican politics. This doea not have mainstream popularity and the IRA was a stick used to beat Gerry Adams when he was leader.
2.) The broadly left-wing party of Ireland. Largely popular and a breath of fresh air as Fine Gaels and Fianna Fáil’s neo-liberalism has become stale or perceived as ineffective in the eyes of the electorate. However, this veered into populism, and given the size of their in the polls may not have stood the test of government.
3.) Mary Lou the stateman. Toned down rhetoric so they could be perceived as conciliation and level headed, capable of effective governance. This alienates previous supporters as they now resemble a government party while not actually having any policy wins because they aren’t in government.
All this has led to previous voters feeling let down, and look for alternatives. Left-wing parties, like pbp and soc-dems, to a far lesser degree labour, while the old nationalist core go similar ways, but are also being courted by the overtly nationalistic rhetoric of far-right groups.
Were I a betting man, I’d say they’ll try to harden their rhetoric, maybe jump on the anti-immigration bandwagon (though if they’re smart they’ll double down on housing instead) so they can try re-gain lost voters. If Fianna Fáil are smart, they’ll try to manoeuvre back into being “the Republican Party,” though noises from their backbench suggest their racing Fine Gael for the centre-right vote.
Perhaps if they cared more about people of Ireland instead of supporting the People’s Front of Judea and make plans for importation of half of the Middle Eastern young male population here
Vote for Ivana
Seems like ~ ~ We will have to finish the 1916, Rebellion/ Revolution.
Well,they really fucked that one up
I Love Simon 18 other Covids Yarris hes bleedin Deadly!!
Not too shocked, most of their candidates in the Cork County region for local elections are dire too
Worked with one a few years back and she’d be hopeless never did a bit of work in politics or anything local and somehow she’s their best candidate.
While FF/FG have a few decent heads at least iny area that are liked and well known.
Probably throw my vote to SD though.
Looks like the country is in for an extended period of governmental deadlock judging by these polls.
The simple reality is they went all in on housing and (and I realise I’ll be crucified on reddit for saying this), but, and now people approximately realise that housing delivery is going to continue to grow to substantial levels – so the main risk is actually an untested opposition party coming in and messing it up. Not least because they were caught out objecting to just about every major property development in Dublin.
I want to make this post not seem anti-SF, as its not intended as that. I’m just assessing what the population are thinking. My thinking is – they need a pivot at this stage, to move away from the housing thing as its only going to harm them. Housing is cold hard operations and why would a party with no experience be capable at that.
They should instead pivot towards the general disaffectedness of people and the sense of anger that some people feel that things are really quite hard and haven’t been getting better for certain people. They should focus on that idea of ‘bringing people into decision making’ – people who’ve never really been included. Thats probably a substantial group of people. I think Mary Lou’s natural empathy would work well with a strategy like this.
All that said, I think they’ll do grand at the local elections. (I’ll personally not be voting for them as they tend to be against green and public transport policies, which is my absolute priority at local level – I’ll be voting for a few active transport, making areas nice and liveable, candidates in a few parties.).
Anyone else thinking that their strategy to run two candidates in Europe in each constituency will fuck them out of a guaranteed seat somewhere?
Regardless of how I feel about Sinn Fein it is incredibly depressing to see the country coming apart at the seams in so many ways, housing, healthcare, law and order. Everything for years and years completely out of control of this Government, and yet they are getting more popular. How can people not want better for Ireland?
21 comments
POLL: Business Post/Red C
(May 17-23, MoE 3%)
– Sinn Féin 23 (-4 in a month)
– Fine Gael 22 (+2)
– Fianna Fáil 15 (+1)
– Social Democrats 5 (-1)
– Greens 4 (+1)
– Labour 4 (+1)
– Aontú 3 (-1)
– PBP-Solidarity 3 (+1)
– Independents/others 19
I have to say I’ve been Impressed with Simon Harris’s performance as Taoiseach so far.
I’m clearly not the only one.
Ha!
Sinn Fein were on my road canvassing today and were pretty much told to clear off.
Whether it be losing their traditional supporter base, people who were “anybody but Varadkar” and now he’s gone or Anonymous Mary-Lou, they’ve really fucked up the mantra of “the most effective opposition ever” title that they were telling us about. When it was the easiest time ever to be opposition.
there is nobody i want to vote for in my local council elections. I don’t know what to do.
Before the usual “mArGiN oF eRr0r!!” crowd comes along, this time last year SF was [polling](https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2023/0514/1383552-opinion-poll/) in [the mid-30’s](https://www.rte.ie/news/2023/0527/1386020-opinion-poll/). I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if we see a General Election this year, 24th or 25th October.
SF being found out
While they will gain seats in the Local and European elections given their 2019 outing was soooo bad, it’s a concern for their General Election run.
Feck sake, people are falling for fine gaels rubbish again. Anybody but them, I know Sinn Fein haven’t been great in opposition but this government needs to go
Thank fuck. Simon you’re going to win this election
Oh fuck off. Wait till the votes come in
Sinn Féin got caught between 3 stools.
1.) The older more traditional cold face of republican politics. This doea not have mainstream popularity and the IRA was a stick used to beat Gerry Adams when he was leader.
2.) The broadly left-wing party of Ireland. Largely popular and a breath of fresh air as Fine Gaels and Fianna Fáil’s neo-liberalism has become stale or perceived as ineffective in the eyes of the electorate. However, this veered into populism, and given the size of their in the polls may not have stood the test of government.
3.) Mary Lou the stateman. Toned down rhetoric so they could be perceived as conciliation and level headed, capable of effective governance. This alienates previous supporters as they now resemble a government party while not actually having any policy wins because they aren’t in government.
All this has led to previous voters feeling let down, and look for alternatives. Left-wing parties, like pbp and soc-dems, to a far lesser degree labour, while the old nationalist core go similar ways, but are also being courted by the overtly nationalistic rhetoric of far-right groups.
Were I a betting man, I’d say they’ll try to harden their rhetoric, maybe jump on the anti-immigration bandwagon (though if they’re smart they’ll double down on housing instead) so they can try re-gain lost voters. If Fianna Fáil are smart, they’ll try to manoeuvre back into being “the Republican Party,” though noises from their backbench suggest their racing Fine Gael for the centre-right vote.
Perhaps if they cared more about people of Ireland instead of supporting the People’s Front of Judea and make plans for importation of half of the Middle Eastern young male population here
Vote for Ivana
Seems like ~ ~ We will have to finish the 1916, Rebellion/ Revolution.
Well,they really fucked that one up
I Love Simon 18 other Covids Yarris hes bleedin Deadly!!
Not too shocked, most of their candidates in the Cork County region for local elections are dire too
Worked with one a few years back and she’d be hopeless never did a bit of work in politics or anything local and somehow she’s their best candidate.
While FF/FG have a few decent heads at least iny area that are liked and well known.
Probably throw my vote to SD though.
Looks like the country is in for an extended period of governmental deadlock judging by these polls.
The simple reality is they went all in on housing and (and I realise I’ll be crucified on reddit for saying this), but, and now people approximately realise that housing delivery is going to continue to grow to substantial levels – so the main risk is actually an untested opposition party coming in and messing it up. Not least because they were caught out objecting to just about every major property development in Dublin.
I want to make this post not seem anti-SF, as its not intended as that. I’m just assessing what the population are thinking. My thinking is – they need a pivot at this stage, to move away from the housing thing as its only going to harm them. Housing is cold hard operations and why would a party with no experience be capable at that.
They should instead pivot towards the general disaffectedness of people and the sense of anger that some people feel that things are really quite hard and haven’t been getting better for certain people. They should focus on that idea of ‘bringing people into decision making’ – people who’ve never really been included. Thats probably a substantial group of people. I think Mary Lou’s natural empathy would work well with a strategy like this.
All that said, I think they’ll do grand at the local elections. (I’ll personally not be voting for them as they tend to be against green and public transport policies, which is my absolute priority at local level – I’ll be voting for a few active transport, making areas nice and liveable, candidates in a few parties.).
Anyone else thinking that their strategy to run two candidates in Europe in each constituency will fuck them out of a guaranteed seat somewhere?
Regardless of how I feel about Sinn Fein it is incredibly depressing to see the country coming apart at the seams in so many ways, housing, healthcare, law and order. Everything for years and years completely out of control of this Government, and yet they are getting more popular. How can people not want better for Ireland?