One in 10 Republicans less likely to vote for Trump after guilty verdict, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds

47 comments

1. 9 out of 10 republicans support a convicted felon.

2. That 25% of independents will be killer if it holds

3. Wouldn’t count on it. Vote Blue!

4. How long until he feigns remorse and claims he is „reborn“? It‘s the only sucker card he has left to play.

5. It this plays out, he’s doomed in November. I mean, vote like your life depends on it or like you care about those whose do.

6. Republicans are soft on crime. As a true patriotic American, I support law and order and will be voting Democrat 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸

7. As frustrating as this is, one out of ten is not an insignificant number

8. So 10% are less likely to me that still seems likely to vote for them after a week or two passes. Its independent voters that matter what do they think.

9. That’s like as many dentist who recommend crest….. except it’s like 9 out of ten dentists recommending drinking bleach.

10. Who cares about polling.

    Go vote.

    Because you know the Republicans on the state and national level are going to try and rat fuck your vote away.

11. Another way of looking at this is that the felony convictions have caused Trump to lose 10% of his voters. That’s a very significant number.

12. Previous polls showed 20% “would not” vote for him if he was convicted. He keeps lowering the bar and they happily climb down with him. Before he was president, 72% of Evangelical voter disagreed with the statement: someone can make immoral choices in their personal life, but still be a moral leader. By the end of his term it was %30.

    Hypocrites.

13. Did they see his Presser this morning? The blithering idiot is out of his mind.

14. chip chip chopping away

15. Considering how close the last few elections have been, 10% is a lot. [Trump also has RFK Jr to contend with.](https://www.politico.com/newsletters/politico-nightly/2024/05/28/why-trump-should-be-worried-about-rfk-jr-00160263)

    > Kennedy is biting into the slice of voters for whom opposition to vaccine mandates and lockdowns is central to their political identities. It’s not enough to lead Kennedy to victory, but it could do damage to Trump’s prospects.

16. Depressing, but highly meaningful in a tight election.

17. I would guess the actual number is lower. There is a social desirability bias here where some people might feel uncomfortable saying out loud that they have no issue voting for a convicted felon.

18. 10% is huge! I just hope it’s accurate. I’ve lost my faith in polls.

19. A ten percent drop in votes from his core is pretty significant.

20. 1 in 10 that’s a 10% shift, that’s enough

21. If I’m speculating, a not insignificant number of Republican voters will “stay home”, regardless of stated intent, more so than in recent US Presidential elections; a form of cynical apathy manifest in a desire to sit this one out rather than engage the dissonance.

22. I bet that 10% is higher come Nov 5th, but everyone MUST vote!

23. >“If she were to win, it would create an unprecedented Constitutional crisis that would cripple the operations of our government,” he said. “She is likely to be under investigation for many years, and also it will probably end up – in my opinion – in a criminal trial. I mean, you take a look. Who knows? But it certainly looks that way.”

    >“S[he has no right to be running, you know that,” Trump said. “No right.”](https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/03/politics/kfile-trump-president-indictment-halt-government/index.html)

    >Trump added at a November 5, 2016, rally in Denver that as “the prime suspect in a far-reaching criminal investigation,” Clinton’s controversies would make it “virtually impossible for her to govern.”

24. That one out of 10 is an important shift with how tight margins will be, even if most still vote for him. And the number is likely much higher for independents, where the election will swing.

25. The rest will skip the polls.

26. America has been on such an insane timeline since 2016. Even if he’s kept out of office, Trump has messed up this country in ways I fear we’ll never recover from

27. “Less likely” doesn’t mean no..

28. Well, I guess that guilty verdict didn’t exactly boost his popularity among some Republicans!

29. This is exactly why Democrats are becoming hostile to their republican neighbors. I mean, if you honestly think this man deserves your vote then that says a lot about you. This is why politics is destroying families. Most people expect better of the ones we love.

30. Nothing but trash. How do these shit bags explain this to their kids???? I just don’t get it. Maybe it is our political system and the fact that there are only two parties and you are forced to pick a side. This shows that human nature is tribalistic in nature. I truly now get how people like hitler came to power. People are like sheep! Follow each other and are afraid of the truth. Sad .

31. I had my highly educated sister just text me today how disappointing it is that Biden can bring charges on his opponent like this. I reminded her this was a state trial, nothing to do with the federal government. She was stunned and had no idea. Big Tucker and Fox watcher so completely misinformed.

32. 9/10 Republicans support treason, election interference & textbook narcissism.

33. Remember when Gary Hart dropped out of the race because he had an affair? Back when politicians were only somewhat-skeezy, but at least made an attempt to be of good character?

    Or am I just that old?

34. Doesn’t sounds like much, but a 10% decline in your voter base is a huge deal.

35. Attempting to overthrow the will of the people wasn’t enough, but now that he’s been convicted of a felony, well that’s just a bridge too far. Whatever, but glad a small number of people in the GOP have half a brain.

36. While on the surface that may not seem like a big deal, but in a close race that number is fucking huge. If ten thousand people in each state change their minds or don’t vote…Trump is fucked.

37. 9 out of 10 republicans support criminals that cheat in elections.

    Fuck those people.

38. I like how this is their jump off point. But ok. Whatever works.

39. Good. That’s more than enough to make him lose.

40. I’ve been arguing that the never ending shit show is making moderate GOP lose interest. That’s all it takes. MAGA nutjobs would cut their junk off if he asked them. I’m not talking about those creatures. I’m betting he loses by a much larger margin.

41. maga is a cult

42. No matter what, the GOP and Trump will whine about how rigged the election is, so a landslide is needed to make them look truly pathetic when they do so.

43. “Less likely” = “Will still vote for Trump, but with a slightly disappointed look.”

44. Man, what an utterly depressing number… Not only because I don’t want Trump to win in November, but mainly because it’s just sad that a huge portion of this country is willing to vote for a criminal, rapist, insurrectionist moron.

    This year’s election is a test of patriotism. Do better America.

45. Every single vote shaved off his desperate vote hungry campaign is good. Even if 1-3% of Republicans stay home or vote libertarian this election as a result of this that is devastating and potentially game changing.

    For comparison you remember those voter ID laws Republicans push so hard? The reason they fight so much for those is that they believe those ID laws can shave off 1-3% of black voter participation.

    Might seem like small %s but in a race with tens of millions of voters a small % is a lot of people.

46. There’s some serious rot in America, the party that claims they have Christian values wants to elect a criminal traitor who cheats on his wife. The same people who criticized Obama for wearing a tan suit but won’t criticize Trump for coup attempts, you can’t even negotiate with these cult member lunatics.

47. Bet it’s higher than that too

    Republican Party is destroying itself with supporting a convicted felon for President