NEW: More in Common’s MRP poll has the SNP holding 35 seats. 🟡 SNP 35 🔴 Labour 14 🟠 Lib Dem 5 🔵 Conservative 3

8 comments

1. UK-wide results [here.](https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/1797644591048585397)

   Tables [here.](https://www.moreincommon.org.uk/general-election-2024/mrp/)

2. I’m sure the comments here will be rational, civilised, and balanced.

3. LOL these polls are all over the place. Any Scotland-specific ones yet, other than just sub-samples?

4. I only look at Mega polls now.

5. Really interesting – definitely clashing with other polls. I would bet that in a result like this, especially in the central belt, those Labour flips and SNP holds would be on very small majorities!

6. [More in Common](https://www.moreincommon.org.uk/general-election-2024/mrp/) might be over-estimating the Tory vote and under-estimating Labour. They have the former on 29% nationally, when their current polling average is 23.8%, and the latter on 43% nationally when their current average is 44.7%.

   The last poll to put the Conservatives on 29% was in early February, so it’s definitely at the high end of the polls as things currently stand.

7. Damn just how good is the SNPs spacing to get so many seats with so few votes % wise? Are they holding every seat with a sub-thousand vote margin!!!

   Reform is polling at 11% and zero seats lmao.

8. The consistent thing that I like – and the only consistent thing – is that labour are in government with a decent majority and the tories are not.

   There is a huge difference between the polls though because they’re struggling to model how the reform vote will go, and what will happen to undecideds.