How The Russia-Ukraine War Will End

[Music] after nearly 2 years of war in Ukraine the northeast of Ukraine is being pounded by Russian missiles and bombs dangerous new levels as Vladimir Putin orders Russian troops to begin tactical new [Music] drills February 24th 2022 Russia invades Ukraine by launching a full-scale offensive strategically important areas such as keev power plants and other major infrastructure are attacked with missile salvos infantry pours in from the north east and south including amphibious Landings in the critical port cities of Odessa and maripo Russia’s overwhelming numbers and Superior Firepower LED most observers to predict that Ukraine would fall within just a few weeks however much to everyone’s surprise Ukraine not only survived the initial Onslaught they pushed most Russian forces back to their own borders except in the donbas where the two strongest Russian Allied separatist groups operate despite this initial success and notable instances of Ukraine achieving gains thought impossible such as sinking several major Russian naval ships and hitting targets inside Russia Ukraine has been on the back foot suffering military defeats shortages of critical supplies and Munitions political instability and the increasingly falter ing United States is Ukraine on the verge of defeat but before we answer that question I’d like to take a quick moment to thank our Channel sponsor AA as you all know we make political content here and on our other channels unfortunately that means some people don’t like us very much these days a quick Google search is all it takes to find someone’s personal information data Brokers sell your information to scammers spammers and anyone else who may want to Target you your full name email home address health records your relatives it’s all readily available for those who want to find it that’s why I’ve been using Aura to help keep my private details private Aura shows me which data Brokers are selling my information and automatically submits optout requests for me this not only cuts down on the amount of spam I get but also helps keep all my accounts safe from Bad actors I’ll give you a real world example AT&T recently revealed that over 73 million customer records both existing and former customers were released on the dark web they recommended that those affected change their passwords monitor account activity and consider credit freezes or fraud alerts from credit bureaus this was a huge breach but I don’t have to worry Aura does all of this for me and best of all I don’t have to download a bunch of different apps just because some company couldn’t keep my data secure I value my privacy and I’m sure you value yours you can go to aura.com slfirst thought to start your 2-e free trial no strings attached try it out and I promise you’ll appreciate the Peace of Mind support the show and protect your valuable data by signing up today at the link below first some history and clarification this war didn’t start in February of 2022 it began in the early 1990s during negotiations over the reunification of Germany when US Secretary of State James Baker and German Chancellor Helmont Cole promised Soviet president M gorbachov that NATO would not expand eastwards these discussions were revealed through Declassified documents and part of a broader diplomatic effort to integrate a unified Germany into NATO without exacerbating reasonable Soviet security concerns however these assurances were never codified by formal agreements of any kind which allowed the US to ignore their promise entirely in the late 1990s and early 2000s NATO began to admit nations from Central and Eastern Europe and now encompasses nearly all of the former Eastern block except bellus Ukraine and Georgia though not for lack of trying fast forward to 2014 in Ukraine after the orange Revolution the donbas region in eastern Ukraine characterized by a significant Russian speaking population and Industrial base perceived the outing of Russia friendly president Victor yanukovich as a direct threat to its economic and cultural interests the subsequent Russian annexation of Crimea in March 2014 following a controversial referendum further raised tensions and set the stage for a violent conflict local actors in Donas including former members of the security forces aligned with Russian interest to oppose the new Ukrainian government Russia conducted overt and covert operations aimed at destabilizing Ukraine to prevent it joining NATO and their support for the separatist in donbas included military equipment and strategic guidance Ukraine’s response to the crisis only exacerbated the issue and the state’s weakness evident in its inability to integrate diverse Regional interests particularly those of the East significantly worsened the conflict Ukraine began receiving warnings from the US about a Russian invasion in November of 2021 reports emerged of significant Russian military buildups near Ukraine’s border which led the US to significantly increase its intelligent sharing and consultations with allies the NATO Secretary General asked Russia to clarify its military activities near Ukraine’s border pointing to an abnormal concentration of approximately 90,000 troops a number that Rose to roughly 100,000 by early February in late January the US cautioned bis against supporting any Russian military initiatives since Bellis was hosting a separate large contingent of 127,000 Russian troops for so-called military exercises despite these forboding signs of Al looming Invasion there remained understandable skepticism based on previous instances where similar Russian military buildup did not lead to open conflict to add to the confusion the US track record of lying about intelligence to further a policy agenda isn’t great to put it lightly concurrent with all this the US escalated its own military presence in Eastern Europe by deploying an additional 1,000 troops and several fighter jets to enhance its air defenses in Romania and Poland aside from bolstering the defenses of neighboring NATO allies the US of course stepped in to supply Ukraine with the arms it needed to resist the invasion once it began we can’t give you an exhaustive list of everything the US has pledged or sent to Ukraine but here’s just a sample of what was included in the $800 million package from March 2022 800 Stinger anti-aircraft systems 2,000 Javelin and 1,000 light anti-armor weapons over 20 million rounds of small arms ammunition drones grenade launchers rifles pistols machine guns and shotguns body armor and helmets and Myriad other pieces of equipment another Security package worth 250 million included high impact military equipment such as air defense systems artillery and anti-tank weapons but these packages worth over a billion dollars combined are just a drop in the bucket direct Aid aimed at assisting Ukraine tops $17 billion and the total figure of congressionally approved Aid since February 2022 is around 175 billion non-military financial support has also been crucial with Western governments and international institutions like the World Bank providing significant economic assistance for example the World Bank committee $1 13 billion to stabilize Ukraine’s economy and support reconstruction efforts however as with all such help it comes with the catch of Western neoliberal reforms and anti-corruption measures supposedly meant to address long-term economic challenges initial us support for Ukraine against Russian aggression emphasized quote the preservation of global democracy and a rules-based international order one major reason for the enthusiasm early in the war was Ukraine’s significant progress in resisting Russian advances using Western military Aid suggesting this was a viable strategy for Western Powers unfortunately for Ukraine this overwhelming support would begin to fade on October 7th 2023 for some reason anyway since whatever happened on that date Western governments have displayed significant apprehension with numerous instances of delays and even reversals of Aid pledges reflecting serious uncertainty about Ukraine’s prospects for total Victory a completely unified Ukraine Western Nations have struggled to maintain consistent aid for example the European Union promised to deliver 1 million shells by March 2024 and fell short only delivering 30% of that the Biden regime went from indefinite support to suggesting that the US will provide assistance as long as we can and in a report titled scenarios on the Russian war in Ukraine for 2024 and 2025 they outline scenarios where Western fatigue leads to a negotiated settlement with Western Partners pushing Ukraine towards a compromis due to a lack of visible military breakthrough Slovakia while advocating for Ukraine’s EU membership and recently witnessing an attempted assassination of their prime minister has shown hesitance in fully supporting sanctions against Russia due to its dependence on Russian energy France has sent weapons to Ukraine but has been non-committal about an energy embargo and has kept the details of its military aid opaque Germany heavily reliant on Russian gas reversed its ban on weapons transfers but continues to avoid an eu-wide oil and gas embargo in a bid to safeguard future Aid Western allies are considering moving the us-led Ukraine defense contact group under NATO control to ensure a steady flow of arms irrespective of political changes within individual Nations to add to this uncertainty a severe lack of timely and adequate shipments of Weaponry have significantly impacted Ukraine’s ability to counter Russian advances effectively crucial systems like F-16 fighter jets that were needed in 20123 will only become operational in 2024 by which time Ukrainian officials say Russia will have adapted its strategies to counter them Western failures such as the shortage of ammunition and delayed support have directly contributed to Ukrainian military setbacks Ukrainian military officials estimate that an additional quar million shells per month are needed just to keep Pace with Russian forces so overall Ukraine’s prospects aren’t looking good and the West is at risk of losing yet another War here are just a few of the problems they face the hotk region has been a recent focal point of Russian advances despite Fierce resistance Ukrainian forces have struggled to hold their positions notable Russian advances have occurred near crina and borova where Ukraine was unable to Halt the momentum of the Russian 20th combined arms Army and other units intense bombardments including a significant increase in Glide bomb strikes further crippled Ukrainian defenses in harak oblast the battle for bakut presents one of the most intense and costly for Ukrainian forces elements of the seventh reconnaissance and assault Brigade and the 331st vdv regiment have been particularly active in attempting to advance towards kinva Northeast of bakut the sustained Russian assaults have led to incremental territorial gains for Russia in the region Ukraine has also faced severe shortages of Personnel in the southern region Russian forces have advanced in doneto Blast capturing key positions West and Northwest of bakut including banka and parts of chuar a major defensive stronghold due to its elevation elements of the Russian 998th Airborne Division supported by the 11th separate vdv Brigade and 150th motorized rifle division have been particularly aggressive in their attacks near Ivanka and east of chuar the Ukrainian military has also faced severe shortages of personnel efforts to staff new units have been hampered by the need for extensive Western military assistance to train new recruits meanwhile there’s strong pressure from Russian advances which necessitate continuous replenishment of Manpower and material something Ukraine just cannot balance at the moment to address this Ukraine passed a new draft law on April 11th 2024 that aims to address the urgent need for more soldiers the new law mandates that all eligible men aged 18 to 60 register for military service it removes defined service terms that is limiting service to a defined time period And it increases compensation for volunteers the law also includes Provisions allowing individuals with certain criminal convictions to serve and mandates local government and police support in the conscription process these changes have sparked significant public opposition due to concerns over indefinite duration of service human rights and the psychological iCal impact on conscripts and their families Russian missile and drone strikes have targeted Ukraine’s energy infrastructure significantly disrupting the country’s thermal power plants and leading to widespread power outages Russian forces have damaged or disrupted roughly 80% of electricity generation at these plants exploiting the degraded Ukrainian air defense umbrella to collapse the country’s energy grid this has further strained Ukraine’s military logistics and overall war effort as the energy Grid’s degradation has compounded operational difficulties and disrupted civilian life all in all Ukraine’s prospects don’t look good it appears the West is willing to sell it for parts of peace and allow Russia to keep the land they took during their military operation so [Music] appeasement French president Emanuel macron has indicated the possibility of deploying French troops to Ukraine this potential deployment includes several scenarios aimed at bolstering Ukrainian defenses and deterring further Russian advances one scenario involves defending strategic locations like Odessa in the event of significant Russian advances a strong French contingent could be deployed to secure the Strategic Port City ensuring Ukraine’s access to the Sea another scenario considers establishing safe zones along Ukraine’s border with Bellis securing critical areas and freeing Ukrainian troops for combat operations in the East thus preventing new Russian offensives one question we should address is if Russian troops were to kill French troops in the Ukrainian theater of war would that automatically trigger Article 5 thankfully no and the key word here is automatically first French troops deployed in Ukraine without NATO’s collective decision would not automatically trigger Article 5 France would need to convince other NATO members that the attack constituted an attack on NATO itself second since Article 5 requires a consensus among NATO members each member would need to agree that the circumstances warrant a collective response and given the divided political stances within NATO achieving such consensus is unlikely especially for a deployment not officially sanctioned by NATO and third historically NATO has been cautious about direct military involvement in non-member countries to avoid escalation with Russia so even if French troops were attacked NATO might respond with non-military measures such as more sanctions rather than direct military retaliation Ukraine’s plate and likely eventual loss in this war marks another chapter in the decline of Western hegemonic power despite some surprising victories early in the conflict Ukraine’s chances of overcoming Russia’s relent advances now appear slim the West’s support while substantial has faltered key military aid arrives late or not at all and vital support systems are either inadequate or delayed leaving Ukraine to fend off a superior force with inferior dwindling resources while NATO’s Eastward expansion despite assurances to the contrary sowed the seeds of this conflict we want to be clear that this does not justify Russia’s Invasion it’s simply the explanation given by Russia and it’s our job to report that regardless the initial shock of Russia’s invasion was met with global condemnation and a rush of military aid to Ukraine but as the conflict dragged on and successes became fewer and farther between enthusiasm began to wne this shift became starkly evident after October 7th 2023 when the West’s Focus suddenly diverted for no conceivable reason causing Aid and support to Ukraine to become inconsistent meanwhile Ukrainian Ground Forces faced severe shortages of Manpower and ammunition compounded by Relentless Russian bombardments targeting critical infrastructure cities like har and regions in donet oblast have seen Fierce battles with Ukrainian defenses crumbling under sustained Russian pressure the war has also taken a toll on Ukraine’s economy and civilian infrastructure leading to widespread power outages and further complicating their defense efforts the promises of unyielding support from the West the US in particular have proven empty as always with key allies showing reluctance to fully commit to Mere sanctions it’s looking increasingly likely that Ukraine and the West will have to negotiate a set M that seeds territory to Russia only time will tell the specifics but what is now abundantly clear is that the United States Promises of total Victory will not come to fruition episodes like this one are made possible thanks to our generous patrons on patreon if you’d like to help support the show and get some great perks while you’re at it consider becoming a patron perks include access to our Discord server Early Access to videos adree episodes and more you can can help us keep the channel afloat by becoming a patron at patreon.com first thought thanks for watching and we’ll see you next time

Analysis Episode #14 – Russia/Ukraine

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47 comments

  1. Just would like to mention that, if you were to do a long-form video on this topic that included the internal politics of the involved parties, I don't think anyone would complain.

  2. I’m not against helping Ukraine, but it’s such bs that the American government can come up with all this money for them, yet can’t (WON’T) abolish homelessness.

  4. I can see what happen, when given the choice between supporting an genocidal conflict of an ally or Ukraine's attempt to remain independent, the west again sold them out because helping people retain their right to be sovereign over their land, is hard and actually costs something and requires the west to do things correctly while supporting the genocide is acting like it doesn't exist, I wouldn't be shocked if in time the west starts calling Russia an ally, seems to align with the US' interest, not that different from Israel really, atleast when it comes to war

  5. Why the frick can’t nations be run entirely by working class people for working class people and just frigging work together?! I hate this world of crapitalist shiitake.

  6. I write this comment to promote this amazing and important content through algorithm. A lot of people (especially in US and Canada) should see this, coz this channel is a Voice of Reason in our Mad World

  10. could you please start again those weekly newsreels that asserted the most important things that happened that week? I personally think that for this in-depth analysis you should use second thought…

  11. Good video, but the title is kind of click bait.
    Only about the last minute of the video is about how the war will likely end. I knew all of the other stuff already, since I'm an avid viewer

  13. Ukraine certainly isn't in a comfortable spot, but for better in-depth analysis of the russian invasion of ukraine specifically, I think I'll stick with Perun AU for analysis.

  15. Hopefully the Taiwanese people see Western support as the cynical political act that it is, especially after Ukraine. Their only use to the US is their ability to fight China and manufacture microchips. Western leaders don't give a damn about "democracy" or "authoritarian regimes", just hegemony.

  16. As a Russian, I have to say that this war is a complete disgrace. This is just a hypocritical big business scheming. Our gas still flows to Europe via country we at war with, and other alternative route was conviniently destroyed. Besides, this war allowed West to seize the Russian govt assets counted in billions, which our liberal capitalist govt put in their banks in the first place. But those at the top are benefiting alot from it and while common people can't present united mass action against them, I doubt anything else would bring a positive change.

  21. This should not be called the Russia-Ukraine war. It should be called PUTINS WAR. If the citizens of Russia had a say before the war, most of them would have opposed it. It is because they live under a totalitarian dictator (Putin) that their voices were silenced.

  23. Why do you hate on Russia so much, condemning its SMO in Ukraine?

    This war has been going on since at least 2014 and Zelensky stated before the SMO in 2022 at the MSC he's considering getting nukes.

    Russia is literally one of the central pieces of fighting the Western imperialist world order. They're not one of the closest partners of China for nothing.

    Of course we need Socialism/Communism, but every blow to the imperialists is strengthening the forces of resistance everywhere, whether that is Cuba, Venezuela, North Korea, China, Iran etc.

  25. The US wanted to carry out another Zbigniew Brzezinski plan like they did in the 70s-80s -see Rand Corporation Report RR3063 from 2019 to see the exact planning that went into this. It, thus far, has not had the effect that these planners expected wrt Russia, but to the authors' credit in that Rand corporation report, they warned that their plans go awry and include direct intervention by Russia and additional loss of territory by Ukraine.

    Keep that in mind for any "end game" regarding Ukraine and its western masters-the goal is to "extend" Russia, with a primary objective to replacing the leadership of Russia with a western puppet (e.g. Yeltsin) and a stretch goal of breaking up Russia into ethnostates (hence the support of the rabid racist Navalny, when many non-vile individuals could have been promoted).

  26. The fighting will continue as long as it is profitable for China and the US, but exactly until the main war between the US and China starts. It would be good for them to keep half to two thirds of Ukraine and give the rest to Russia. It would be desirable even so that there were no clearly fixed borders, so that Russia would always have such a convenient lever of pressure and headache to keep Russia away from the squabbles of the big players.

  27. There should have also been a statement at the end of the video of full condemnation of the totalitarian and delusional dictator Putins ruthless opression of the opposition. Also the sham election that was held to. Putins delusions and meglomania is the main factor in the continuation of the war. Russia needs more voices. 16:23

  28. The virgin: "i wont try to pronounce this" and pronounces everything incorrectly without effort to know how to
    Vs
    Chad JT approach: Use international friends to teach you

  31. My bet is that NATO and Russian forces will meet in either Kyiv or Odessa. There will be a lot of fear-mongering about nuclear war, but it will end with peace, and the second act will be in the Middle East. As a result, Russia will gain new lands, and BlackRock will acquire new assets. Those who were successfully provoked to violence will be the losers on all sides.

    I think many people don't understand that nationality means nothing to psychopaths. It is only used as a narrative to manipulate people through their tribal instincts.

  33. This was not very well done. I'm sorry, you need to do more research. Love ya, but this wasn't your best work.

  34. It’s sad how the west has never considered actually negotiating with Russia over Ukraine, and instead insists on sacrificing Ukrainian people because they can’t admit that they lost. They still insist on Ukraine joining Nato, even as Russia destroys Ukraine because of that.

  35. Is that possible that France being evicted from his neo colonies in Africa tries to redeploy the French army in the east for a future neo colonial policy in a destroyed Ukraine ?

  38. There’s some real conversation to be had about how groups of politically aligned individuals in a concentrated geographic area can exercise some right of self determination to form an autonomous regional government or be annexed into a different geopolitical entity, but that doesn’t change the fact that Russia is launching missiles at civilian targets in Ukraine, attacking vital civilian infrastructure, and altering the demographics of russian controlled areas in internationally recognized Ukranian territory via forced deportation. Russia is not an innocent party here, and if they were simply liberators of the Donbass and protectors of ethnic Russians, they why did they blitz for Kyiv at the outset of the war?

  39. There’s some real conversation to be had about how groups of politically aligned individuals in a concentrated geographic area can exercise some right of self determination to form an autonomous regional government or be annexed into a different geopolitical entity, but that doesn’t change the fact that Russia is launching missiles at civilian targets in Ukraine, attacking vital civilian infrastructure, and altering the demographics of russian controlled areas in internationally recognized Ukranian territory via forced deportation. Russia is not an innocent party here, and if they were simply liberators of the Donbass and protectors of ethnic Russians, they why did they blitz for Kyiv at the outset of the war?

  40. Back when the war began I thought the world was gonna get in a nuclear war any day from then so I stayed indoors for like 8 months. Made me flunk my college course because of this, i hope putin looses it because of it.

  41. Man, if only there was another People Republic that defeats both the Russian and Ukrainian State, and the workers of both those countries re-organizes into the Neo-Soviet Union.

    Yeah right, fat chances.

    Apology, but just like the Spanish Civil Wars, Western Leftist of all forms, rely on the Soviet Union to do every thing, while blaming the Soviet Union for doing anything you Western Leftist don't supports, like the re-organizes of workers owns productions back into state production (temporarily) to boost for maximize productions of small arms, ammunition, artillery, armored vehicles, uniforms, foods, medicines ETC under a very plans and thus very tops down highly organize effort, and that effort won WW2, but at the cost of temporarily cut down on luxury or basic economy goods, as well a level of freedom, and workers autonomy from the state. This was done, because the Soviet Union leader, Stalin Administration see the experiences during their aids to the PSOE and PCE, that with the Worker autonomy model + hand off from the state in ownership and management of production + Soviet Union was still very under develops. They conclude with the level of production output of arms and subsistent mean, they would not even last the invasion of the Axis power. Thus they re-organizes productions to a highly state plans models to even have a chances at fighting and lasting. But what they receives from the very peoples they are helping? Complaining, to literal sabotage from the Western Leftist.

    Now the same is happening.

    Western Leftist constantly complains about Russia, yet they themselves did not literally overthrow their own government and the business class, whom are attempts to start another wars against Russia Federation and the many small enclaves of Soviet scatters in the former Soviet Union, like Donbas, like Odessa, like Transnistria. Honestly why is it, that the Western Left expect the Eastern and Southern Left to do literally everything, while constantly complain and harass the Eastern and Southern Left because: 1# Some of them takes compromise with the current governing powers, because they are weak on their own. 2# Some of them reduces themselves to Welfare state supporter, because they are too weak to advocate and fight for a worker state, as a formations of the working population owns and ran their own state and all it's modes of production?

    I mean Leftist as in Red or Black/Red, not those Roses double agents of the Business interest.

  43. since western (mainly colonialist british) banks bought ukrainian debt aka lost territory & industry assets from fleeing rich people (just after the russian revolution)and will refuse to write this loss off instead taking out new loans for a new – bigger – attempt at reconquest (just like when the internationalist white army was set up, and after its defeat – the nazi) of their illegitimately achieved assets (soviet collevtive property privatized and sold by corrupt oligarchs, tsarist farmland in the 20s), because the alternative would mean endlessly bleeding interest or defaulting (as after the white army was beaten, after the tsarist forces were beaten, after the nazis were beaten). so europe will be lobbied and mobbed into a new fascist militarism (as in the 30s) to reconquer the assets in said banks. or have to rely on food, coal, steel and gas imports other than from "the breadbasket of europe/russia", aka galicia/donbas, aka ukraine, an invention of the habsburgian/Prussians/EU to carve out traditionally russian affiliated territories into their sphere of influence.

  45. COMMENT4ALGO:Following the US backed coup in 2014 (NYTIMES:the new government after the 2014 coup had the CIA on speed dial and theyve been operating in ukraine since then.), the DPR & LPR declared autonomy, as soon as they saw those swastikas waving lobotomized macaques, that the west has been arming, tearing down WW2 monuments, fellating Nazi collaborators, like genocidal maniac Stepan Bandera, and removing the Russian as an official language spoken in Eastern Ukraine.

    Russia refused to recognize the 2 republics and instead supported the Minsk accords to reintegrate them in Ukraine, but the ceasefire never materialized, the UA Nazis kept harrasing the Russian ethnicities living in those republics, shelling them cutting their water, power, natural gas, leading to the death of over 13,000 people.

    It took 8 years for Russia to recognize DPR & LPR, after everything else failed, Minsk proved to be a sham (as those slimeballs Merkel& Holland declared) and the civil war was only escalating, the UA battalions ammassed on the Donetskian front while Zelensky babbles about getting nukes.

    *The referendums conducted by the two self-proclaimed Republics of Donetsk and Lugansk in May 2014, were not referendums of “independence” (независимость), as some unscrupulous journalists have claimed, but referendums of “self-determination” or “autonomy” (самостоятельность). The qualifier “pro-Russian” suggests that Russia was a party to the conflict, which was not the case, and the term “Russian speakers” would have been more honest. Moreover, these referendums were conducted against the advice of Vladimir Putin.

    In fact, these Republics were not seeking to separate from Ukraine, but to have a status of autonomy, guaranteeing them the use of the Russian language as an official language. For the first legislative act of the new government resulting from the overthrow of President Yanukovych, was the abolition, on February 23, 2014, of the Kivalov-Kolesnichenko law of 2012 that made Russian an official language. A bit like if putschists decided that French and Italian would no longer be official languages in Switzerland.

    This decision caused a storm in the Russian-speaking population. The result was a fierce repression against the Russian-speaking regions (Odessa, Dnepropetrovsk, Kharkov, Lugansk and Donetsk) which was carried out beginning in February 2014 and led to a militarization of the situation and some massacres (in Odessa and Marioupol, for the most notable). At the end of summer 2014, only the self-proclaimed Republics of Donetsk and Lugansk remained.

    The original goal was not territory acquisition, but stability and peace; hence why Russia started peace negotiations one week after the invasion and went out its way compromising on the initial terms and have a draft signed, as Ukrainian Ambasador Alex Chaly admitted on camera.

    But that bloated clown Boris Johnson sunk it and now Ukraine lost the Donbas forever and half a million of its soldiers are dead or severly wounded, while Cocainsky & his junta siphon foreign aid to buy villas in Spain.

  46. Yes, NATO expansion DOES justify Russia's invasion. Because with expansion came American missiles. There is no reason for NATO to want Ukrainian membership except for the purpose of launching an attack on Russia. Russia is defending itself against an aggressive, expansionist alliance whose members routinely flout international law. The inly other option they have it to initiate a nuclear exchange. Russian soldiers are dying to save all our lives.

    It's not just going to be territorial concessions, because territory is not the reason for the war. Russia intends to impose a pacifist constitution on what remains of Ukraine just as the Allies did to Japan etc. after WW2.

  47. "How The Russia-Ukraine War Will End" is a title that doesn't really seem to be thought through, things can always change and they will change, no prediction is perfectly spot on, for example, i believe that the EU will be able to mobilize their economies and will be able to meet shell requirements, along with sending Ukraine other types of aid. The Ukrainians have made gains recently in the Kharkiv oblast and also some in the east, while they're rather small, keep in mind that Russia gained 20 kilometers (12 miles) of land in 7 months of fighting, all while losing tremendous amounts of equipment and men, something which isn't really easy to replace, while you can send conscripts into meat wave attacks, you can not put a 17 year old without any training into a fighter jet or a tank. Producing fighter jets and tanks is also very much expensive, especially jets. In 8 years, Russia produced less than 10 of their "stealth" SU-57 Felon fighters.

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