Joe Biden favored to beat Donald Trump in 538 election forecast

https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-beat-donald-trump-538-forecast-election-2024-1911231

27 comments
  1. Doesn’t matter, vote. A poll showing a Biden victory should not affect you in any meaningful way or give you a sense of safety. Vote, because we cannot allow Sundown Donnie back into the White House

  2. There’s another story about 3 posts down that says they are tied.

  3. We need to shoot for Biden to get to 55%.

    A clear, unambiguous repudiation of the MAGA Insurrection from which it will never recover.

  4. The fact that a character like ‘Trump’ is even being considered by anyone should be a grave cause for concern.

  5. I just want this election to be over and hopefully be rid of trump forever. I know his maga goons will still be in congress but I’ll take being rid of dear leader for good.

  6. Everyone just needs to vote. Republicans are doing everything in their power to take away voting rights, but the answer is getting as many people to vote as possible.

  7. The GOP needs to be absolutely destroyed if America is to survive

  8. Do not get complacent. Vote. Tell everyone you know to vote.

  9. Vote for Biden, because if America elects Trump, he will pardon himself of the crimes he committed and throw out what little rule of law applies to the elite.

    I’d say this election is even more serious than the last. It’s a disaster that Musk’s takeover of Twitter is now pushing extreme hard right and anti-Biden narratives all over Twitter now, as a default.

  10. I swear to God they just said the opposite. This shit is all static and click-farming, nobody fucking knows.

  11. Fuck those pols. Vote and make your voice hears. Vote like your life depends on it

  12. Reminder that after layoffs and departures, 538 is now effectively run by 1 guy and that guy is not Nate Silver.

  13. 53 out of 100 times is way too close for my comfort level.

    Also, wtf is wrong with this country that this is even a topic for debate?

  14. trump has zero platform. I can’t believe it’s even close.

  15. A convicted felon rapist who tried to over throw our government while spending the entirety of his presidency golfing and enriching himself and his buyers or Biden the boring candidate repairing the damage from Trump and the GOP. It’s should be a landslide victory but sadly it’s not. Get out and vote, bring friends and family and/or ensure your mail in ballot was received and counted.

  16. eh I’ll stick with Allan Lichtman and his 13 Keys to the Whitehouse. He hasn’t made his prediction yet but he’s leaning strongly towards Biden. The horserace idea is so ingrained that it’s hard to see it as a structural contest hinging on the performance of the incumbent.

    Biden has a great record and Trump is a psycho. By the end of the Summer, after the conventions, it will be apparent that Trump’s support along with the GOP is receding, they are literally too toxic.

  17. HOW THE FUCK IS IT EVEN CLOSE!!!! What the fuck is wrong with this country. It’s doomed

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