Constituency / Regional — changes with previous poll (30th April – 3rd May)
**SNP**: 34% (nc) / 28% (+1)
**Labour**: 32% (-1) / 27% (-1)
**Conservatives**: 16% (+2) / 16% (-1)
**Greens**: 6% (+1) / 9% (nc)
**Liberal Democrats**: 8% (-1) / 8% (nc)
**Reform UK**: [not specified] / 7% (+1)
**Alba**: [not specified] / 5% (+1)
Very interesting outcome — wonder how governance would go?
Obviously only one poll that matters etc. etc. but this is interesting to think about. I thought the islands would’ve turned from the SNP due to the ferries fiasco
This would be a very European style Parliament and would take very European style coalition negotiations to find a functioning government.
The most realistic governments would be a Lib-Lab minority coalition with an informal relationship with the Conservatives to provide it parliamentary support on key votes or a Lab-Nat pact.
Both outcomes a tough sell!
are reform uk even planning on standing in the 2026 Holyrood elections ?
The one thing I take is: it well and truly establishes that Scotland is a centre left country and it’s not falling for Farage’s propaganda like the Southern electorate, that makes me very-very proud.
I’d love to see a Labour//SNP coalition, more so than something supported by the Tories. As much as I think Labour working with the Tories would be beneficial for independence as it would piss off a lot of left leaning Labour supporters, a Lab/SNP government could hopefully put the country first versus indyref2.
6 comments
Full analysis here: https://ballotbox.scot/poll-analysis-norstat-june-2024/
The poll numbers were:
Constituency / Regional — changes with previous poll (30th April – 3rd May)
**SNP**: 34% (nc) / 28% (+1)
**Labour**: 32% (-1) / 27% (-1)
**Conservatives**: 16% (+2) / 16% (-1)
**Greens**: 6% (+1) / 9% (nc)
**Liberal Democrats**: 8% (-1) / 8% (nc)
**Reform UK**: [not specified] / 7% (+1)
**Alba**: [not specified] / 5% (+1)
Very interesting outcome — wonder how governance would go?
Obviously only one poll that matters etc. etc. but this is interesting to think about. I thought the islands would’ve turned from the SNP due to the ferries fiasco
This would be a very European style Parliament and would take very European style coalition negotiations to find a functioning government.
The most realistic governments would be a Lib-Lab minority coalition with an informal relationship with the Conservatives to provide it parliamentary support on key votes or a Lab-Nat pact.
Both outcomes a tough sell!
are reform uk even planning on standing in the 2026 Holyrood elections ?
The one thing I take is: it well and truly establishes that Scotland is a centre left country and it’s not falling for Farage’s propaganda like the Southern electorate, that makes me very-very proud.
I’d love to see a Labour//SNP coalition, more so than something supported by the Tories. As much as I think Labour working with the Tories would be beneficial for independence as it would piss off a lot of left leaning Labour supporters, a Lab/SNP government could hopefully put the country first versus indyref2.