Donald Trump’s chances of winning election suddenly slide

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-joe-biden-presidential-election-polls-1914684

49 comments

  1. I can’t seem to recall ever reading an Economist article that made a correct prediction.

    Edit: I’m also going to say this, regarding Kennedy… His numbers now won’t hold, especially given that he won’t make the debate next week. In every election since 1992, independent candidates’ poll numbers have vastly outperformed their actual vote totals come November. A recent example is Gary Johnson, the LIbertarian nominee in 2012 and 2016. Several polls in 2016 placed him in double digits, and even warranted him a primetime forum on CNN. His final result was less than 4%. Numbers right now are fluid, though definitely trending in Biden’s direction.

  5. Don’t believe any poll anywhere, at any time. Just get out and vote against the greatest threat to American democracy in our lifetimes. Remember, Putin isn’t resting in his Irregular Warfare where he’s using proxies, yes you Republicans and MAGA cultists to defeat America. Add in the countless billions of dollars that are being spent by the nation’s richest people and other interested parties overseas, and we are very close to losing our American democracy.

  6. The media underestimated 2 things: That not all R voters are MAGA-nuts, and for many people in that group a candidate being a convicted felon is a considerable issue.

    Biden will win with either the same or slightly larger lead as last time.

  7. Vote. Remember 2016? I remember the same things being said.

    Just vote.

  8. I still find it utterly surreal that this conniving , traitorous grifter, the man who caused a violent attempt to overthrow the peaceful transition of power, is even being fucking considered. Seriously, WTF?

  9. I don’t believe anything that comes out from newsweek anymore. This is by far the worst source of information full of click baits and for some reason the mods here are fine with it.

  11. Newsweek is weak news, but if Trumps numbers drop and he gets jail time at his hearing, they better watch him like a hawk so no Epstein shit happens. I would rather see him as a live loser than a dead Martyr. With no VP having been chosen and the conspiracy wackos losing their shit I could see Mike Johnson getting the nomination at the convention and the Federalists backing him the whole way.

  12. Nah. Don’t get overconfident. Get everyone you know out to vote the right way and for the right candidate.

  13. This is the beginning of the end.

    For Trump.

    For his allies and cohorts.

    For all those responsible for putting him in power illegitimately.

  14. Who gives a shit about polls. They should come with response rate warnings because nobody answers these except people who are extremely eager to express their opinion

  15. Don’t listen to the noise on the right. Organise and Vote.

  16. He was never planning on “winning” they ARE planning on stealing. 

    As per Roger Stone, Bannon and Lara Trump. 

    They are going to sue, cheat, steal and fix everything they can to draw this out and sabotage America. 

  17. Every day there are conflicting poll articles constantly being posted here.

    Believe nothing. Vote against the orange bigot.

  20. the propaganda from the right is going to be cranked to 11 in the coming months. if you think its bad now, just wait until we’re a month away from election and they’re backed into a corner. all their projections about ‘false flag’ operations are going to come true as the dirtiest tricks used to sway a people are used.

  21. I’ll believe it on Nov 6 if the headlines say he lost. And even still we’ll have months & years of legal and other BS trying to overturn the election.

  23. i believe in one poll and one poll only: the election day.

    he may win? he may. if so: god have mercy on our souls.

    he may not win? he may not. if so: we got live for a little longer.

  24. I don’t think he ever had a chance to begin with. He manipulates the polling just like everything else. He is a two time popular vote loser BEFORE he threw a coup and became a 34x felon. But you know the MAGA vote can’t be swayed by indecency, they live in that galaxy. Get out and vote and flush the turd for good.

  25. Joe Biden will win in November. Mark my words!

    I believe that more than 50% of Americans are not crazy people.

  26. The fact he has any supporters blows my mind, these are the biggest morons in the country and it’s not close.

  27. I’m done with Newsweek articles. They are so full of ads it locks the Reddit app.

  29. I still can’t believe that there’s genuine people out there across the pond that idolise this man.. the fact that people drive around with their political beliefs plastered all over their car is a surreal thing to see for us Brits.

  31. 2024 is going to look like 2020, just worse for trump. It has always been that way.

    But the BIG difference will be down-ballot. Since Roe was overturned Democrats have been energized. And with reproductive rights in the ballot in so many states Democrats are going to be showing up strong.

  32. A candidate in decline. It’s unlike anything anyone has ever seen before.

  34. What an absolute trash headline. It basically says one model from the Economist said it was 3/4 chance Trump wins now it’s 2/3? Biden is losing in both. What a fucking trash headline.

  35. He went from 75% chance of winning to 66%…. according to one model.

  36. Their plan is not to win. It is to create chaos. A hundred thousand poll watchers, each reporting or concocting every “fishy” thing they saw, or every way they were barred from “fairly” monitoring the election. Followed by frivolous lawsuits in all of the swing states, anywhere they can raise a question. Republicans in Congress will give this “legitimacy” by going to media and by declaring on the House and Senate floors that there needs to be an investigation. The suits will get to the SCOTUS, who will toss it to the House to decide. They will do a state by state vote. Republicans have more states in Congress, so they will vote Trump and he will win. That’s their plan. They don’t have to win. They have to put on a really big show.

    The best hope we have is to not have close votes in swing states. I don’t know how to make that clear and urgent enough to the people in these states, but that’s what needs to happen.

  37. Thats fine. By election time he’ll be drooling and in a wheelchair

  38. I dunno about other states, but in my hellhole of a state, I would estimate that 70-80% of (white) people are voting for Trump. They’re well aware of all his bad behavior – they just don’t care. To them, whatever Trump has done, “the libs” and “the Dems” are 100000000x worse because of what Faux News and Facebook Bob tell them.

  39. Good. Vote bluer harder until it’s a landslide they can’t even cheat about.

  41. Cool. So this d bag went from 75% chance of winning to 66%? What the fuck is wrong with people?

  42. ive seen a concerning amount of news with headlines like “trump numbers are down and he wont win election” theyre trying to trick us to not vote because they want us to think were in the clear and he wont win no matter what. GO VOTE dont listen to these headlines this is their tactic to keep people from voting that think everything is under control.

  43. it doesn’t matter – register to vote and vote. that is all that matters

  44. Click bait, says polls are still 47 and 48% neck and neck.

    Then errors in information. Economist says Trump 2 in 3 chances of winning while biden has 1 in 3 chances of winning. That means Biden is far behind Trump. So this info seems to contradict itself.

  45. WTF most polls still show trump WINNING?!?? How is that even possible?? He got beat so bad last election.

  46. They were saying the same crap in 2016. Stop this stupid narrative! It’s only an attempt to get less people to go out and vote Democrat! Go out and vote no matter what anyone says!

  47. I remember seeing headlines like this in 2015.  I know things are diffrent now, but I ain’t gonna be lulled into a false sense of “relax, he isn’t gonna win, everything will be fine” again.

  48. We’re still almost 5 months out, and literally *anything* can still happen. Polls right now are almost meaningless, and they’ll keep swinging back and forth. Pay attention, but don’t get complacent and/or discouraged.

    VOTE!

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