The article doesn’t translate this into seats, but on these numbers I’m curious if the Tories would keep any seats in Wales at all as a rise in the Lib Dem vote could see them winning in Brecon and even the Montgomeryshire seat could be vulnerable on these numbers.
Plaid are also a weird one to predict as their headline number is pretty low but they’re focusing pretty much all their resources on 4 constituencies so could work out well for them in terms of seats.
Seeing Reform establish themselves as the 2nd place party is depressing though.
They should include the intention to not vote in these – apathy and disengagement will be the big winner on July 4th
3 comments
* Labour 46% (+1)
* Reform UK 17% (-1)
* Conservatives 15% (-3)
* Plaid Cymru 10% (-1)
* Liberal Democrat 7% (+2)
* Green 4% (–)
* Other 1% (+1)
Changes from 5–7 June
The article doesn’t translate this into seats, but on these numbers I’m curious if the Tories would keep any seats in Wales at all as a rise in the Lib Dem vote could see them winning in Brecon and even the Montgomeryshire seat could be vulnerable on these numbers.
Plaid are also a weird one to predict as their headline number is pretty low but they’re focusing pretty much all their resources on 4 constituencies so could work out well for them in terms of seats.
Seeing Reform establish themselves as the 2nd place party is depressing though.
They should include the intention to not vote in these – apathy and disengagement will be the big winner on July 4th