Ukraine Stops RUS’ New Northern Attack Before it Starts!

did Ukraine already repel another planned Russian offensive in the north and is Putin’s strategy going to take not just months but years I’m Paul US Army Combat veteran let’s talk about it okay so this I thought was really interesting um that the biggest update is that Russian forces have been driven out of SAT stat nitzki uh kachak and what’s interesting about this is you can see that it is a uh it has kind of a offensive kind of vibe to it where uh it looks like some sort of small Russian contingent conducted some kind of crossborder operation and you may recall when the uh Russian har offensive began last month it looked a lot like this let’s see if we can actually find this here uh where the initial Russian uh Invasion Force initially just sort of came over the border near plina and near plona uh but this sort of effort has oh here we go here we go here we go we’re we’re there Takes a Minute two months ago jeez time flies you can see here right this is it went from the 9th to the 10th you can see just small kind of bridge heads the region listed as contested finally getting declared Russian occupied and then stalling out entirely right so I say this uh because the this offensive seemed like it may have taken on a similar character right but in fact when you look at this you see that it just ended up being repelled just way way more quickly and I think this is probably I suspect on one hand this may have been just a cross raid conducted by Russian forces similar to what the freedom of Russia Legion was doing into Bel godod but I think it’s also possible that this might have been part of some other um Russian plan possibly to provide a level of tactical relief or possibly even cover for these other Russian units as they conduct their withdrawal from vens um but this was likely this operation was likely shut down fairly quickly uh in large part I suspect because Western weapons are now able to strike Russian forces as they prepare to attack in this har region so when you see Russian forces moving into this area um Gathering to prepare uh offensive actions they’re already getting taken out so all that I think is a fairly straightforward uh story but there’s a a little bit more of a of a deeper shift here and before of course I talk about that I did did want to mention strike gum if you guys haven’t picked up your strike gum I don’t know what’s stopping you uh this is the zero sugar energy drink alternative 90 milligrams of caffeine in every piece that’s as much as a Red Bull as much as an amp Energy Zero sugar and best of all made in the USA veteran-owned using natural ingredients like natural caffeine right none of the lab grown stuff so check us out strike gum.com or you can go on Amazon and just search strike gum okay so this is what I thought was actually more interesting is that Russia has been conducting this kind of gradual grindy advance in the direction of Tourette this is south of chavar and north of abiva and what’s interesting is that Russia has allocated a fairly sizable but not overwhelmingly large um tactical Force to try to uh beat back the ukrainians right and but this is sort of reflective of what a lot of people are saying is Putin’s overall strategy right Putin has himself said that he’s going to be Russian forces are going to be able to continue gradual creeping advances potentially indefinitely preventing Ukraine from conducting any major operationally significant counter offensives and will simply win a war of attrition against Ukrainian forces right now the current rate of Russian Advance as isw points out suggests that Russian forces May pursue these uh operationally significant objectives which is code for um chasing down objectives that don’t really have strategic significance right like like taking CH ofar while bad while bad news or taking Tourette right even betteramp example think the town of tetk would be bad but ultimately like in the grand scheme of things it’s not going to be some kind of big GameChanger right and this kind the only thing that’s that’s a GameChanger is a trting your enemy forces and Putin’s willingness to fight for years he recognizes that democracies have this this this pesky weakness where elections keep happening and it means that there’s a pretty good chance that the West uh will lose kind of their appetite to support Ukraine if Putin plans on fighting for years and years and years right and the idea is that eventually Ukraine will run out of people or support before Russia runs out of the will to fight because obviously Russia it doesn’t is is is a autocracy um and the fact is that Putin just doesn’t aspire to get these kind kind of of big sweeping offensives uh that kind of Define uh things like airand battle right kind of Western NATO militaries he’s just willing to sit there and go listen I’m going to take chunk by chunk and I actually think that isw is missing a key aspect here which is that that Putin’s own self-imposed Victory conditions are likely um the occupation of the zapia uh luhansk and denet OB BL and when he reaches the administrative borders of those regions I suspect that he may uh kind of unilaterally declare himself uh declare Victory if not declare Victory then uh dig in and slow his offensive Tempo uh creating something that looks more like kind of an entrenched stalemate or like a demilitarized zone like a North and South Korea situation instead of what we see now so anyway that’s kind of my theories on this guys uh a huge thank you to the colonel tier members of combat news.com huge thank you to the lieutenant tier members could not do this without you guys and I will see you guys in the next one cheers

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Original Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ltEGuoF3tKA&ab_channel=TheSun

https://deepstatemap.live/#10/50.1563/36.5534
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates

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Original Video:
https://deepstatemap.live/#10/50.1563/36.5534
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates

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25 comments

  2. You know what's a game changer Paul, those 3000 pound glide booms, that no one in the west seems to want to talk about, neither is anyone talking about the 100.000 soilders sat in Belarus waiting to be called up on…

  8. Freind: You know whats going on in Ukraine?
    Me: Yeah im following this veteran guy on YT
    Freind: So whats his take?
    Me: 90 mg of caffine in every piece
    Freind: What?
    Me: Strikegum!

  10. Strikegum, wasn't sure I'd be able to get it across the border to Norway ('cause of the caffeine count), Norway's not EU => slightly stricter import rules.

    🙂 Still my first tray is on the way, I hope I'll get to try Strikegum this Monday (1st of July)

  11. Ok so lets say russia after a million casulties declares victory. Then what? Ukraine still gonna drone them everyday and patisans are gonns keep fighting. What would the point of declaring victory even be

  12. If democrats want to beat trump they need to find a new candidate that can string coherent sentences together and doesn't trip over their own shoelaces.

  13. 1. your theory is sound.
    2. the current Russian offensive is similar to how the conflict tapered off in Korea with exceptions that are important.
    3. in the Korean War, despite Soviet pilots operating from the Soviet Union flying planes with NK designations, the US did not attack facilities in Russia. In the Korean War, despite the intervention of Chinese troops, US active fighting and bombing Chinese logistics lines in China did not happen. In the Vietnam War, the US did not react to Russian arms shipped across China by rail toNorth Vietnam.
    4. Basically, the gloves are off the UA to use American equipment up to Belgorod which is 25 miles. Effectively, given time, the demilitarized zone will be 25 miles deep. in the north. Essentially, Belarus has already become a dmz as well.
    5. the next step will be an approved UA effort to create a dmz west of Rostov-on-Don. That objective can be achieved.

  16. Putin has to accomplish all his wishes sooner, rather then later, as the Russians economy's inflation rate is running at 16%. And inflation can only get worse . Making life harder and harder for Russians.

  17. Instead of clicking back one day at the time, you've got a calendar slightly to the right of the date. 🙂 My pleasure!

  19. You are too young to be a veteran- retired military soldier yes but anything under 12 years is not a veteran sorry but too many retired or short term military personnel say they are veterans but technically you’re not

  20. Putin is just trying to stay in a solid position, slowly gain a little territory, and hope Trump wins and makes Ukraine give up land for peace or stop sending them weapon and equipment… which he said last night was a non starter for Putin… russia cant sustain the losses they've been incurring and continue to last into next year after the inauguration without Ukraine starting to gain ground back imo… if the US sends more Bradleys, those 8 patriot batteries from Israel get to Ukraine, and they begin to receive F-16s… Ukraine will be in a position to have air support, the Pac-2 Patriots will be capable of taking out aircraft dropping glide bombs, and Ukraine will have the ability to have very successful offensives… but.. Ukraine has to keep the pressure on, has to keep destroying equipment, and make russia keep sending it in rather than stocking up any new productions/refits, etc

  21. It won't take years it will literally be months after Trump is elected President. He already has said they he will no longer support Ukraine if Zelensky doesn't negotiate. All you youtubers capitalising off this war's finances will also dry up

  25. Didn't Putain do exactly what you said in 2014 with Crimea and Donetsk?
    If he declares victory in the 4 oblasts he stole this time, we can be assured it's not going to be a relatively stable DMZ for decades, but simply 5 or 10 years before he takes the next steps. Europe has (mostly) figured this out.

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