Scotland’s constitutional status (multi-choice), Survation 21 – 25 Jun: Independence ~ 37% Current Devolution ~ 17% Abolish Holyrood ~ 16% Further Devolution ~ 11% Wouldn’t Vote ~ 6% Don’t Know ~ 13%

9 comments

1. This has long been an issue with the Scottish constitutional debate. Quite often, what is the absolute least popular option (further devolution, but not independence) is pushed as the ideal compromise solution. But no one will really get excited for it as, on its own, it’s not really popular at all.

   Unionist voters have been opposed by a clear majority to further devolution consistently for the last decade (this shows a surprisingly high figure for reversing devo – but the other figs are broadly consistent with what we’ve end before), while enthusiasm for independence rose post-2014 to the point where very few independence supporters would change their view on the basis of a changed devolution settlement (although they wouldn’t say no if further devo was offered – allowing this option to often get a shallow and unenthusiastic majority in a forced choice vs the status quo).

   The issue with this as a compromise is it doesn’t shift the dial for anyone. The Indy camp is not any less pro-Indy or accommodated to the Union, and the Unionist camp is at best somewhat less happy with the existing settlement. It’s not the grand solution it is often touted as.

2. So, still a ‘no’ then.

3. Huh.

   After all the malarkey since 2014, brexit, covid, etc. independence plus all of “don’t know”, still doesn’t add up to more than 50% ?

   I found that a touch surprising tbh.

4. Minority of Scots support the status quo.

   So the unionist response is to bury their heads in the sand and do nothing.

5. 16% oppose Scottish Democracy.

6. I see, so 44% don’t want independence then.

7. Absolutely baffling some people support more devolution, but oppose independence.

   My brothers in Jesus, that’s the same thing but worse.

8. Take out the Don’t Knows and Wouldn’t Votes and only 21% are happy with the status quo and just under 20% want Holyrood abolished.

   On the other hand, just under 48% want full independence and 13.6% want further devolution. That makes just over 59% wanting further powers for Scotland.

   As others have suggested a ranked choice poll would be useful, but I wouldn’t be happy with these numbers if I was a unionist.

9. I just want to congratulate the SNP on that “abolish Holyrood” figure.

   Imagine being so fucking shit at it that you encourage a significant amount of people to want to shut down our parliament