Potential To Jeopardize Everything | Reality Check On F-16’s – Ukraine Map Analysis & News Update

Potential To Jeopardize Everything | Reality Check On F-16’s – Ukraine Map Analysis & News Update

G Legends I hope that you’re having a fantastic day and importantly it is the weekend so I hope that you’re having a fantastic weekend now today as always we have a lot to go over come and join the telegram if you’d like or come and pick up sub merch before the end of the financial year now today we need to have a look at the maps is there is a lot of changes being shown on the map we need to have a look at some strikes and some geolocations as well and some claims some very large claims about strikes as well we’re going to look at what Denmark is said about the f-16s some of the problems and when will we actually then see these come into play on the battlefield now yesterday we saw of course the Biden and Trump debate I released a full video of how I think that will affect the war not only now but then into the future go and watch that I don’t want to spoil myself a view but basically what it all boils down to is if it is looking like Trump is set to negotiate a deal then we may see some big moves on the battlefield to try recover or take as much ground as possible in the next few months before winter sets in while Ukraine is trying to secure then funding promises that go then beyond the election and today then I saw exactly this come out from the Deputy Prime Minister for European and Euro Atlantic integration has said on Ukrainian television at the NATO summit we’re working to secure a guaranteed Financial commitment on military aid so we are not dependent on the political processes in the US or any other Allied country although this has run into a lot of problems previously for this 43 billion but that is basically what the video boiled down to but we make a few assumptions there we don’t know exactly the status of the Russian forces we don’t know exactly how the economy is looking we don’t know exactly the strength of the forces we don’t know exactly the strength of the industry and all the previous uh forecast of this has been well most of it has been incorrect from claims about when things will then run out we don’t know exactly that who does know that is Putin now of course a negotiation requires zalinski and Putin now the US can change this entire War for Ukraine it’s got it by the balls for funding zinsky himself has said that this could not continue without us funding but on the other hand with Russia we don’t know exactly how that is sitting we are assuming that Putin would be interested in that deal now I believe he probably would be from what we have seen the messaging recently but again the war ends and it would be along whatever line is sitting at that time that’s why over the next few months before then winter hits before if Trump wins we may see some very large efforts to try and take back the issue with desperate attacks is if you’re not not ready it could jeopardize everything as sunzo says to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy itself now I need to talk about some strikes and then we’ll look at these f-16s and will we actually then see the f-16s participate because some of the time frames we’re getting well if this if Trump wants to end the war we may not see them participate much or if at all but let’s have a look at some strikes first because I know I got to keep you guys interested now there’s a lot of claims going around that Ukraine has destroyed the newly deployed Russian S500 system of course A system that came after the s300 200 300 400 500 system we know there’s two types of S500 short range like medium range and long range as well and they’re on deployment down in Crimea at some are saying 600 million that would be for the entire battery but we have no official confirmation yet although all the Ukrainian bloggers are reporting it uh and we don’t have any photographs yet so with any claims even official claims whether it’s Russian mad Ukrainian wait for photographs uh or satellite imagery of this now we have some footage inside of the thermal power plant in aano France KK as well said that it is destroyed and cannot be restored of course this is a ongoing problem Ukraine is going to be facing and the IC has seen this of the energy crisis that we’ll be heading into then the end of the year and things like this will play into then negotiations if that then takes place we have seen as well then Russia is saying that they have taken out then a m270 now an m270 is basically just a track highas same rockets on the back of it here with an i scander but there is some doubt on this so we see this this to me an m270 moving down the road and then we have a cut in the footage and then this vehicle entering then this warehouse now what we do see here is it switches over to Thermal and we do see and I scanned a mute and I scanned a strike here and then we do see what look like then secondaries in this uh fire explosion that has then occurred in here so oh sorry right there you can see then more explosions but people have pointed out that this isn’t an m270 in the beginning yeah this looks like it but this looks like a significant different vehicle maybe a fuel truck maybe that is then the secondaries taking place there but you’re hitting a warehouse we don’t know what is in that but again this is why we critique and look at footage and go what is this actually shown but we do have footage here that you that Russia has released of then s300 system being taken out now I can’t remember exactly what this system is called but this apparently takes multiple hours to both put up and take down and that it is in a position where Ukraine is willing to have that out but from the Drone for this s300 for this radar UB system then has been spotted and taken out with a our scander missile as well in the tree line here the bloody drone operator must have Bloody Michael J fox and thumbs and you can see that this has then been destroyed there too like with those scaners and I actually have a video coming up with an electrical engineer PhD I the kill chain of the On Target from the Drone to something dropping has increased dramatically I think there may have been an improvement maybe to laser guidance on there but I’m not sure now I want to talk about f-16s released by then Danish media here now let’s have a look over this article I think this is very telling and it’s very honest now this is from then Jane Dam or Janam the head of the Air Force 19 Danish F16 aircraft with the most secret military operations in Denmark now the head of the Air Force Jan dam is lifting a little more of the veil off the mission which is expected with great excitement in Ukraine saying it can take months and years before they create a decisive operational effect and this right here from the head of the Air Force is what we have been saying the whole time there are very high expectations for these fter airplanes fighter planes and we probably have to be more realistic there F6 will certainly have an impact but it won’t be a game changer neither this month nor the coming months my recommendation to the ukrainians is to become really good at using these planes before they carry out risky missions and I’m talking to the head of the Ukrainian Air Force about that the fighter planes will especially give the ukrainians a morale boost and the new parts will have fundamental skills to conduct aerial combat and make missile attacks against the ground but we have spoken about the expectations on these planes and I get comments of this every day wait till the f-16s there blah blah blah we saw the same with the the leopards the Challis the Abrams to their no real effect and I think this is so much is hang so many people hanging their hat on this F16 to change everything and I’ll talk about in reflection what may have been a better decision here and what if if General Willie was there what I would have been looking at it usually takes three or four years to become an F16 part compared to the ukrainians the training is impressed to 6 to 8 months this is what speak about at the beginning to get more experience on it before those risky missions this is incredibly incredibly compressed down uh it emerged that 20 Ukrainian Parts have been trained by the end of the year this from the numbers I’m looking at will be enough for about 10 aircraft in the air in addition 100 ukrainians being trained for support tasks such as mechanics weapon specials we know for each plane you stood in a hell of a lot of support stuff this actually was a lot less than I thought it would be I thought it was going to probably be in than the hundreds but I guess if you’ve got 10 to 20 planes you got 10 to 20 guys per aircraft anyway now we’ve completed the first 50 so only 50 of those 100 Engineers mechanics most of which have gone home to prepare for the first combat aircraft right after the summer holidays we will tackle the next 50 so summer holidays the Army going holidays too and then they’ll do the next 50 the first batch of parts has not yet been fully trained so training has not done officially it sounds like the first 19 Danish F16 aircraft will be delivered to Ukraine during the summer so any day now but we don’t know official dates but even if F-16 aircraft are also delivered from the Netherlands and other countries the ukrainians will still be far from having full control over their air space much more is needed to gain Air Supremacy over Ukraine air defense its aircraft it’s awax it’s multi-layered it’s all of this and you also need numerical figures there Russia put of course f-16s is the highest priorities therefore where and how the ukra will place the new fighter jets is so far shrouded in secrecy well we’ll skip to then number four here and this is what we’re seeing the map of where Russian missiles are going for all of the last attacks to here what it’s here an Air Force Base now we don’t get any satellite imagery over Ukraine anymore but I dare say we would have seen maybe air um Runway upgrades hanger upgrades here yes people will say they can land on highways yes that is true how many highways like the quality of Highways exists to do that it will be limited people point at Switzerland people point at Switzerland for a whole bunch of things from gun control to highways to tunnels to Bridges Switzerland is a very different country to the compared countries we use this for you’re not conducting maintenance at the serice station on the side of the road you’re not rearming these on the side of the road you’re not refueling them like that yes they can land and take off on runways yes Switzerland has tunnels fully prepared for this but the overall maintenance the hours of Maintenance that these need for their flight time needs to be done still in lock I think realistically we’re going to see them there or fly in from Europe maybe touch and go not sure it’ll be a huge strategic for victory the Russians to shoot them down of course I’ll be very sorry if one of them was shot down I think for the Russians here not only will be taking out one of those planes but it would be a huge propaganda informational Victory there too like say Ukraine then taking out a sue 57 how much involvement really was taking out that Su 57 how involved was it probably very little how much of an informational propaganda win was it massive we need to look at this too for the cultural differences originally the plan was for the Danish F16 aircraft to be delivered in January but the task turned out to be bigger than expected we had to change and adapt our training program several times partly because the Pilot’s English schools were worse than expected therefore some Ukrainian parts were initially sent on a language course in the USA in addition there have been major cultural differences in retraining parts from Mig aircraft to American produce F16 and Western combat techniques when the training of Ukrainian Pilots is scheduled to end this year there’s a prospect that Denmark will continue to contribute to build up the Ukrainian Air Force so there’s potential for it meanwhile the Norwegian Air Force must next year use its efforts to phase in the new F35 of the Norwegians are getting rid of those and bring in the f-35s and won’t be able to conduct then that training so f-16s I don’t know I was concerned when it came in with the the amount of people the amount of money when I think in reflection on this war we will see that some of these expensive super expensive systems huge time consumption systems may have been a mistake when there’s a finite amount of time and funding the billions that have been spent on Western tanks fter aircraft along with the thousands and thousands of manh hours into this personally I think this effort would have been more effective to train thousands of more drone operators and hundreds of thousands more drones or shells for the same effort and same cost I said this in the very beginning I’ve been saying it throughout and I still think it would make a huge difference if you gave me some of the funding to what should be funded in Ukraine to make a huge difference the first thing I would do is I’d give every Ukrainian Soldier a really good pair of boots good night vision and pel tors now if you don’t know what pel tors are this is active hearing protection so what it does is it raises voices and footsteps you can hear that better than your ears and it really takes away any sound of weapon systems firing well it DS down weapon systems firing and artillery protecting your ears too but it also can connect to Communications devices so you have better coms on the front line while protecting your hearing and hearing things better now even at like cost price what the military will pay or using secondhand stuff from Western militaries pelor say $500 good night vision say $3500 boots let’s go 300 so we’re talking you know $4,300 by $ 100,000 soldiers for arming guys on the front we’re talking 430 million give or take some you know paying off someone there let’s go half a billion dollars I think that would have made a huge huge contribution to the front line and that is significantly less than some of these systems which we haven’t seen make too much of a difference I can’t see any excuse that NATO can make that every soldier in Ukraine doesn’t have good boots good night vision good hearing protection good helmet good body armor but we still see that while the focus is on all these other Gucci systems that may win brownie points now let’s have then a look at the maps some geolocations as well course here we have Ukraine the center the capital of ke the red areas occupied since 22 the purple since 14 the green here areas that Russia has been and has either been pushed out or withdrawn from that are older than two weeks the blue is that but then within two weeks so let’s start north to south and we’ll jump in up at the top here at this V chance axis now nothing has changed up here on this map for now some time still showing this disconnection between the Russian forces up here I know Forbes are reporting some stuff I know there’s a lot of claims about what’s Happening Here truthfully from all the stuff I’ve seen it’s very hard to get an idea exactly what is happening here now what we do know for a fact is that the Russian advancement in here has been halted and we know that Ukraine has deployed many units both out of Reserve but also of other areas of the front into here to try and stop this advancement and we have spoken about the Strategic and tactical decision to do that and was it right or wrong in some other videos of this but then we do have a Surak map updates in the center here so let’s Zoom down in on V chance now as you can see straight off the bat this part of gray zone is now being shown as then blue you can see this but not showing the level of Disconnect out to here and you can see that the Ukrainian control area and Gray Zone has increase into the center of vul Chunk more than the Ukraine’s own map is then showing here this area is just being ignored on this map I don’t know why from CH of AIS the rotations allowed Ukrainian Army to re-enter the positions on this street involved chance the the fighting with Russian army continues throughout the city with great intensity we know Ukraine has many many more units in here than Russia does now let’s come across we don’t see any updates on then the siniva Axis or then the better stove axis but we’ll move our way down a little bit and this blue we saw the other day towards turny but just to the north of here then we see towards neki that Russia has made some ground then in here today with this step up through here now that isn’t reflected across then the suriak maps but if the Ukrainian map is showing a Russian update then we’ll take that I guess at face value now we come down krar forest in here we’ have seen that Ukraine has made on this map some ground back in here but we do have some interesting footage here too that I hadn’t seen before now I’ll show this on the telegram because I can’t show it here but we can see a Ukrainian speedboat down here and then it is struck with a Russian Lancer drone and this is in a very interesting area so we see that this then the cerski dones River here and let’s jump back across onto this map and that it is in just the river just about here so you can see the problem that gets created for infantry when you have something like a Waterway here and what we can see here too in this direction is that Russia has made some ground over the past 24 hours in this direction bivar no changes being shown we’ll continue our way down to the South and then we get to Bak mood chassi yah front now what we can see here is just an increase in the gray Zone around this micro District in chiv y now we do have some updates showing some interesting bits and pieces then here so let’s have a look we do have this video here again can’t show you on YouTube but you can go and have a look on then the telegram these are Russian soldiers both here then they get hit with drone Munitions but the geolocation on this is interesting so let’s have a look so we see the canal District so we’re talking just about here is where those Russians are I believe they’re rotating in an out of defensive positions here if they’re Manning defensive positions then the Red Zone should be moved up to here what we haven’t seen yet is any successful Cross of then this Reservoir system across into chassa itself that will be the big move here if and when that can occur let’s look at then the suriak map now he shows there has been reflecting on the gray Zone on the Deep state map he shows as red Russian movement in through this District here captur new buildings in ches ofas plant in Canal marker District as well as entering the forest South and you can see by that footage the entry or at least rotation on defensive Works in that southern Forest let’s continue our way down no changes shown until then we get to the tetk New York front now this is a front what I said was somewhere to really keep your eye on yesterday we saw map updates down on this axis heading toward northwards towards New York over the past week we have seen then basically this area move up from here and today we’re they now seeing I’ll never miss an opportunity we’ll never then we will see this movement then here and you can see how this is looping around into these blocks of pnpi as well what will then close up this gap between pery and shumi here so this is an interesting movement if it’ll let me step forward again this is an interesting movement here we can see that Russia have had a withdrawal by this map from these blocks here maybe a push back and maybe a shift on the axis here maybe to a a better axis to push on but that is an interesting movement in here and like I said we really need to keep an eye on this front what is happening here especially with the flanks of aiva and bmot and the Russian buildup on these there now I don’t believe now I don’t have a Surak update showing this today we come down to the adiva front we are seeing then these open ground starting to close up this isn’t a surprise I think we will see this open ground and all this and this open ground eventually close up once Ukraine falls back to its third lines of Defense here the first being a diva the second being semif Bachi and then the third lines these open grounds using then the waterway that runs through here as a natural barrier so see this close out towards so kill this break in into the next areas of your ifar as well seeing more advancement here now what we have spoken about is what Russia ultimately want in here we believe is to get to this intersection or at least really good fire control on this because this real effect then Supply down into these areas of which we’re seeing then the advancement over then here now Surak Maps update shows what we’re talking about on this map so this is on zooming in correctly so this is showing movement on Surak in this direction so see this Reservoir just to push out to the north getting this padic here I think what they’ll be trying to do is push up this road expand control so don’t get cut off up then expand control that’s what we have seen happen basically from osar all the way up fattening that level of control reducing your chances your odds of then getting cut off now let’s push then a little bit further we see that movement k hika now no change shown on this map in here for a little bit of time we did see the other day the Red Zone increase in here maybe 48 72 hours ago now we didn’t see on the suriak map update an increase on some territory both on the Eastern side and on the Russia’s Northern advancement in here as well the gray Zone and some other map movements do reflect that Russia is having some advancement in CR ariva now we’ll come down now m Ina this is where these Maps show vastly different except I guess for the gray Zone in here now let’s have a look now what this map is showing at I’m not even going to try and pronounce it but this Maxi Melena okay I did try and pronounce it we are showing by suriak Map update that Russia is attempting a break in or and has had a Breakin out to here so what we’re looking at is see these buildings here these are these buildings so this map is saying that Russia is right out to where this tree line is here and this road so beyond even the gray Zone on this map we haven’t seen any Geer locations of this or at least I haven’t but that is what this map is showing today we haven’t seen any gry Zone movement there either now novaa livka down in here no changes being shown on this map but let’s then have a look and we do see that this second Reservoir it is showing that Russia have filled in near parisia have taken this Village as well as see this big Paddock here taking then this Paddock into then these tree lines this road here so basically showing that this is looking by Surak like this that this amount of ground has been taken in here further closing up and shortening the front line in this front but also ultimately putting pressure down into areas like d as well on this front and I think this front is somewhere to really keep your eyes on as well I think as divar FR Buck mut will you know this no surprises what we are seeing in here but I think we’ll see tesque and olar is where I’m keeping my eyes to see some changes pop up we haven’t seen if or where Russia’s going to put its real main effort yet but attritional Warfare does say to attack on several directions so your enemy is constantly running around trying to then plug holes even something we quoted sunzu in the beginning and he says I’ll put the quote up here I can’t remember the exact quote about that you have many different areas that you could be attacking anyway Legends look after yourselves have a fantastic weekend and I’ll speak to you tomorrow thank you bye-bye

G’day Legends, I hope you’re doing well,
Today we talk about the Russia’s offensive and look at the war map updates.

If you’re new here thanks for coming across, I served in the Australian Infantry from 2014-2021, With specialist qualifications in Heavy Weapons/Anti-Armour, Combat First Aid, With a tour to Afghanistan as a crew commander of a Armoured Mobility Vehicle.
Upon my Return I was unexpectedly diagnosed with a Incurable and Inoperable Brain tumour that is slowly killing me. I was also awarded the Queens Order of Australia Medal (OAM) hence the post nominals after my name. Then Being medically separated from the Army I flew to Ukraine in 2022 for 6.5months and now make content full time. I really appreciate you being here Thankyou

As an independent reporter you make this possible, To support the channel directly.
https://www.patreon.com/willybeatingcancer
https://www.paypal.me/MWilliams745
MERCH
https://www.willyoam.com/

Telegram:
https://t.me/Willy_OAM_REAL/469

Socials:
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/willy.beating.cancer/
Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-2451342
Telegram: https://t.me/Willy_OAM_REAL

Business Email:
williams.mattphoto@gmail.com

Spotify Podcast:

Highlights Channel:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCDachW-2tQTAIOLDvybZbRA/featured