At this point FF and FG might be able to form the next government with support from a few independents.
Sinn Féin has fallen to its lowest poll ranking since the beginning of 2020, with the party falling four points to 18pc in the Sunday Independent/Ireland Thinks series.
The largest opposition party was at 37pc in the same poll series in October 2022, but its support has nosedived in recent months.
Fine Gael is six points ahead of Sinn Féin and up 2pc on the previous poll as the ‘Harris hop’ continues to yield positive polling results.
Sinn Féin has now even fallen behind Fianna Fáil, which is up 3pc to 20pc.
The disappointing result comes despite Sinn Fein having a good weekend and coming in as the largest party in Northern Ireland in the UK elections.
The current state of the parties according to the latest poll sees Fine Gael up to 2 points to 24 pc, Sinn Féin down 4 points to 18pc, Fianna Fáil up 3 to 20pc and the Green Party remain the same as last month at 4pc. There was no change for Labour either who remain at 3pc, while the Social Democrats dropped 1 point to 4pc.
Aontú are up 1 point to 4 pc, Solidarity-PBP are also up 1 point to 3pc while the Independents/Other have dropped 3 to 20 pc.
Taoiseach Simon Harris is also expected by 44pc of poll respondents to remain as the leader of the country after the next general election. When the same question was asked a month ago, only 30pc expected Harris to continue as Taoiseach after the election.
Expectations that Mary Lou McDonald could become the first female taoiseach after the country goes to the plls have waned considerably. Only 20pc now believe that will happen, a significant fall from 32pc in the June poll and down from a high of 57pcin September 2022.
Some 20pc said they thought Tánaiste Micheál Martin would be the next Taoiseach, up from 15pc in the previous poll.
In September 2022, only 6pc of the public polled expected Martin to get a second stint as taoiseach.
The vast majority of the public also agrees with the decision of the Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP) to appeal the suspended sentence given to soldier Cathal Crotty, according to the poll, with 81pc approving.
Crotty received the suspended sentence last month after pleading guilty to the assault of Natasha O’Brien in Limerick.
Ms O’Brien has become a household name in recent weeks in speaking out about the assault and campaigning for improvements in the justice system.
It turns out when you try to appeal to everybody and no-one it particular it backfires
There’s a polarisation right now: people who hate the government and are really suffering from its failings, and people doing reasonably to quite well and not wanting to rock the boat. The economy is flying, all things considered, and if you have a job and secure housing etc…
They’ve shown their true colours and have abandoned the working class. Goodbye and don’t bother coming back.
Mark it down amongst things you absolutely love to see. Long may their decline continue.
While I understand SF is not everyone’s first choice the idea that FF or FG can be anyone’s choice for the next GE is beyond me.
FG and FF have the seats in government right? How is SF getting the blame for the ongoing issues?
Hahaha between this and the British elections, the centrist dads are actually so back.
Mary Poo McScaldy shat the bed, big time. Perhaps she’s not the only one at the top of SF responsible, but she’s the leader so the mucky buck stops with her.
She was great as second fiddle to aul’ Gerry. But maybe second fiddle is all she’s cut out for.
Sinn Fein’s continued and sustained shitting of the bed under Mary Poo’s leadership has to go down as one of Ireland’s greatest missed opportunities in politics. The goal was wide open. And she didn’t just miss it, she scored a hat-trick of own goals instead.
Sinn Fein were at their highest when Mary Lou was ill and Pearse and Louise were acting as sort of co leaders with a very strong presence on the media. They have been in freefall since Mary-Lou came back and resumed the leadership. She is nearly as invisible now as she was when she was on leave.
She has to go now or Sinn Fein won’t even hold the seats they have in the next election.
– Fine Gael 24 (+2 in a month)
– Fianna Fáil 20 (+3)
– Sinn Féin 18 (-4)
– Social Democrats 4 (-1)
– Greens 4
– Aontú 4 (+1)
– Labour 3
-PBP-Solidarity 3 (+1)
– Independents/others 20 (-3)
Time for new leadership, it’s been low energy populist and just anti whatever the government is doing for too long.
I’d be one of them.
Aside from a couple of tds who I know the lustre of sinn Fein has definitely left me. I was all for them in 2020 and they had greatish success and then they just seemed to sit back and do nothing.
Mary Lou needs to step down and it needs to happen ASAP for there to be any chance of recovery for them. Terrible leader and the party at odds with itself. Both anti and pro immigration. Flip flops constantly and supports policies that it immediately steps back on when it fails. Even the referendums they supported despite not actually liking it. Baffling.
16 comments
At this point FF and FG might be able to form the next government with support from a few independents.
Sinn Féin has fallen to its lowest poll ranking since the beginning of 2020, with the party falling four points to 18pc in the Sunday Independent/Ireland Thinks series.
The largest opposition party was at 37pc in the same poll series in October 2022, but its support has nosedived in recent months.
Fine Gael is six points ahead of Sinn Féin and up 2pc on the previous poll as the ‘Harris hop’ continues to yield positive polling results.
Sinn Féin has now even fallen behind Fianna Fáil, which is up 3pc to 20pc.
The disappointing result comes despite Sinn Fein having a good weekend and coming in as the largest party in Northern Ireland in the UK elections.
The current state of the parties according to the latest poll sees Fine Gael up to 2 points to 24 pc, Sinn Féin down 4 points to 18pc, Fianna Fáil up 3 to 20pc and the Green Party remain the same as last month at 4pc. There was no change for Labour either who remain at 3pc, while the Social Democrats dropped 1 point to 4pc.
Aontú are up 1 point to 4 pc, Solidarity-PBP are also up 1 point to 3pc while the Independents/Other have dropped 3 to 20 pc.
Taoiseach Simon Harris is also expected by 44pc of poll respondents to remain as the leader of the country after the next general election. When the same question was asked a month ago, only 30pc expected Harris to continue as Taoiseach after the election.
Expectations that Mary Lou McDonald could become the first female taoiseach after the country goes to the plls have waned considerably. Only 20pc now believe that will happen, a significant fall from 32pc in the June poll and down from a high of 57pcin September 2022.
Some 20pc said they thought Tánaiste Micheál Martin would be the next Taoiseach, up from 15pc in the previous poll.
In September 2022, only 6pc of the public polled expected Martin to get a second stint as taoiseach.
The vast majority of the public also agrees with the decision of the Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP) to appeal the suspended sentence given to soldier Cathal Crotty, according to the poll, with 81pc approving.
Crotty received the suspended sentence last month after pleading guilty to the assault of Natasha O’Brien in Limerick.
Ms O’Brien has become a household name in recent weeks in speaking out about the assault and campaigning for improvements in the justice system.
It turns out when you try to appeal to everybody and no-one it particular it backfires
There’s a polarisation right now: people who hate the government and are really suffering from its failings, and people doing reasonably to quite well and not wanting to rock the boat. The economy is flying, all things considered, and if you have a job and secure housing etc…
They’ve shown their true colours and have abandoned the working class. Goodbye and don’t bother coming back.
Mark it down amongst things you absolutely love to see. Long may their decline continue.
While I understand SF is not everyone’s first choice the idea that FF or FG can be anyone’s choice for the next GE is beyond me.
FG and FF have the seats in government right? How is SF getting the blame for the ongoing issues?
Hahaha between this and the British elections, the centrist dads are actually so back.
Mary Poo McScaldy shat the bed, big time. Perhaps she’s not the only one at the top of SF responsible, but she’s the leader so the mucky buck stops with her.
She was great as second fiddle to aul’ Gerry. But maybe second fiddle is all she’s cut out for.
Sinn Fein’s continued and sustained shitting of the bed under Mary Poo’s leadership has to go down as one of Ireland’s greatest missed opportunities in politics. The goal was wide open. And she didn’t just miss it, she scored a hat-trick of own goals instead.
Sinn Fein were at their highest when Mary Lou was ill and Pearse and Louise were acting as sort of co leaders with a very strong presence on the media. They have been in freefall since Mary-Lou came back and resumed the leadership. She is nearly as invisible now as she was when she was on leave.
She has to go now or Sinn Fein won’t even hold the seats they have in the next election.
13 More Years! /s
POLL: Sunday Independent/Ireland Thinks
(July 4-5, MoE 2.6%)
– Fine Gael 24 (+2 in a month)
– Fianna Fáil 20 (+3)
– Sinn Féin 18 (-4)
– Social Democrats 4 (-1)
– Greens 4
– Aontú 4 (+1)
– Labour 3
-PBP-Solidarity 3 (+1)
– Independents/others 20 (-3)
Time for new leadership, it’s been low energy populist and just anti whatever the government is doing for too long.
I’d be one of them.
Aside from a couple of tds who I know the lustre of sinn Fein has definitely left me. I was all for them in 2020 and they had greatish success and then they just seemed to sit back and do nothing.
Mary Lou needs to step down and it needs to happen ASAP for there to be any chance of recovery for them. Terrible leader and the party at odds with itself. Both anti and pro immigration. Flip flops constantly and supports policies that it immediately steps back on when it fails. Even the referendums they supported despite not actually liking it. Baffling.