Why the Ukraine War Will Break Europe FOREVER!

Why the Ukraine War Will Break Europe FOREVER!

Vladimir Putin just gave the West an ultimatum to end the war in Ukraine and if the US walks away from this deal it could not only result in an absolute disaster for Ukraine but it could lead to the very downfall of Europe now you might think that’s an exaggeration but if you know your history you’ll know that this is the fifth time since 2008 that Russia has proposed to negotiate a settlement over Ukraine the US government rejected the previous four proposals Because deep down our politicians have only one clear objective in Ukraine and no it’s not not establishing peace the US wants to weaken and dismember Russia and ultimately force a regime change but here we are in July 2024 and US tactics have failed disastrously devastating Ukraine in the process and endangering the whole world but Europeans have had enough and have proved they are ready to go to the extreme just look at the first round results of the French election far rate political leader Marine Leen is now leading 51% of the seats with the second round of voting taking place this Sunday if Leen wins and forms a majority government it would be the first time the far right has governed France since World War II and as I’ll explain later in today’s video the final result of this election could be a disaster for Ukraine Europe has descended into chaos their budgets are drowning in debt the economy is in shambles and the vast majority of Europeans no longer support this war in Ukraine this was highlighted in a recent survey from The Institute for Global Affairs which revealed an incredible 88% of Western Europeans want NATO to push for a negotiated settlement for the war in Ukraine but here is where things get interesting a few weeks ago over a 100 delegations of countries and organizations met in Switzerland for the summit on peace in Ukraine with one simple goal in mind bring the world together and agree on the terms that will end this brutal war between Russia and Ukraine of the 92 countries invited to the summit only 77 signed the final agreement with major International Players like India Mexico Saudi Arabia South Africa Thailand Indonesia Asia and the United Arab Emirates all refusing to sign the joint communic Brazil attended as an observer but ultimately chose not to back the agreement China full out refused to attend the summit and Russia by far the most important country that needed to be in attendance was not even invited I mean how else are you going to end the war with Russia than actually discussing things with the Russians but something much bigger is going on behind the scenes and a larger problem has just been exposed I think it was basically a failure and one could argue even that it backf fired on the ukrainians who were pushing it very hard they thought that they could hold this conference and invite pretty much every country in the world except Russia uh and they could reach some sort of meaningful consensus this was delusional almost everybody I think understood that from the beginning even before the Conference was held and if you look at the final communic it was really watered down from what the ukrainians really wanted and didn’t say much of all so the end result is that this just doesn’t add up to much and if anything exposes how weak uh the Western and Ukraine Ian position is at this point in time this clip is from Professor John mimer who first correctly predicted Ukraine’s fate back in 2015 and isn’t afraid to speak the truth on what’s really happening in Ukraine Mir shimer is an important figure to study in modern-day Politics as he is best known for developing the theory of offensive realism which describes that all great Powers will strive to achieve a level of hegemony to dominate their peers and influence their world the United States has been the largest global heden for decades but did you notice the common theme among the countries who chose not to agree to these terms now the 10 countries I previously mentioned all of them are either full members of the brics organization or are planning to join brics in the near future once again this is the new multi-polar world we live in and a strong line is being drawn in the sand between the US and its allies and the global South who are shifting away and building a new more balanced world the West is in trouble democracies are fighting for their survival and no better example of this can be found in the turmoil that is going down with the French elections that could change the entire future of Europe a few weeks ago French president macron warned French citizens that two far right and left policies in France could lead the country to a civil war it of course was widely covered by the media but to be honest I started this YouTube channel because I lost trust in the media every news outlet has a political bias and social media often compounds the problems so I quickly want to show you this on ground news today’s video sponsor because it’s a tool that I literally use every single s Le Day of My Life as a geopolitical YouTuber using their app and website I can quickly compare coverage from all the different outlets around the world and get a much better view of what the story actually is you can check them out at ground. news/ Cirus or scan the QR code on screen on ground news I can see more than 80 articles were published worldwide about macron’s warning and depending on where you get your information you could have a very different perspective for example this French government funded publication headlines that he’s under fire while this one references far right and farle policies and the upcoming elections even Chinese and Russian Publications picked up on the story this exists on ground news for all of the major news stories happening right now to be honest France election problems sound very similar to The Great political divide we have in the United States as well and as we enter our own election season critical thinking and access to diverse news coverage will be more crucial than ever so simply go to ground. news/ Cyrus or scan this QR code if you Subs subscribe through my link this month you’ll get 40% off unlimited access which is what I use every day for my analysis guys supporting my sponsor supports my work and you know I only partner with Brands I vet first so I can highly recommend using ground news but now let’s get back to the story of Ukraine and the battle for the future of Europe because during the Ukraine peace Summit US Secretary of State Anthony blinkin and Ukraine president zalinski both promoted the idea of using this peace Summit as a bridge and I want to underline that word a a bridge for Ukraine joining NATO once again just listen to the wy’s words of John mimer who explains what will happen next this is guaranteed to enrage the Russians and guaranteed to make sure that this war goes on forever and ever you don’t take steps like this if you have any interest in trying to reach some sort of compromise agreement with the Russians the Russians have made it manifestly clear since April 2008 that NATO expansion into Ukraine is categorically unacceptable many people in the west don’t like that argument but the fact that is what the Russians believe and every time we double down and talk about bringing Ukraine into NATO it just gives the Russians an even greater incentive to number one take more territory and number two make sure that they do everything to wreck Ukraine so I think the United States and its allies in the west live under the illusion that they’re helping Ukraine that they’re going to make Ukraine’s situation at the bargaining table down the road better than it is today this is simply wrong in my opinion and in fact what we are doing is guaranteeing that Ukraine is wrecked uh and that this conflict goes on for as far as the eye can see the reality is the war in Ukraine will continue for many years to come and in typical fashion Western leaders refuse to accept any responsibility for their actions and instead are now Shifting the blame of the conflict to the other side of the world just take a look at this direct quote from NATO Secretary General Yen Stenberg who claims China is instigating the biggest conflict in Europe since World War 2 it’s astonishing that the NATO Secretary General would come out of nowhere and shift the blame for this war in Ukraine to to China but we live in a world where if anything goes wrong you can just blame China of course US Secretary of State Anthony blinkin doubled down on these comments and said that China was helping fuel the biggest security threat since the end of the Cold War but once again we see the complete irresponsibility of NATO and the United States who refuse to acknowledge any responsibility for their actions that sparked this war in the first place to shift the blame of the Ukraine war to China is both insane and irresponsible especially when you consider that China submitted a peace plan last year that included Ukraine’s territorial Integrity as the first point at the time the US and NATO immediately rejected China’s peace plan most likely because it simply came from China but here is the remarkable thing remember the summit on peace in Ukraine I mentioned earlier in today’s video at the conclusion of the event the US and its Western allies came up with their own proposal for peace and remarkably it was just a water down version of the exact same peace plan that China submitted back in February 2023 I mean you seriously can’t make this stuff up this fact of course was never covered by mainstream media but was brilliantly broken down by French geopolitical analyst ano betron who made this graph showing the original 12-point peace plan submitted by China on the left and how the US and its allies copied and pasted six of the 12 points into a new proposal and submitted this as the future Pathway to establishing peace in Ukraine what’s funny here is that we often criticize China CH for IP theft and plagiarism but it looks like China’s peace plan which don’t forget was submitted 17 months ago wasn’t so bad after all but now we need to discuss the reality of the war in Ukraine and why this conflict will shift into being America’s Next Forever War at the start of today’s video I mentioned that Russia has submitted not one not two but five proposals for a negotiated settlement with Ukraine since 2008 and every one of them have been rejected by the US government at this stage we are very unlikely to see Putin offer another peace settlement in the future and once again John Mir shimer explains why the Russians believe that they’re winning the war they believe that the balance of power especially on the battlefield has shifted and if you project out over the next year or two it will continue to shift in their direction of course the West isn’t going to accept this deal the ukrainians are not going to accept this deal but we’re going to basically force it down their throat we’re going to conquer more territory uh we’re going to do more to wreck Ukraine and ultimately they’re going to have to accept something along Ong the lines that we described uh in this peace proposal or you’ll have a frozen conflict in which we are sitting in a very excellent position unfortunately the West is caught in a difficult position because in April 2022 just two months after the most recent Russian invasion began both Ukraine and Russian Representatives sat down at the negotiating table in Istanbul in hopes of working out a peace deal under the Istanbul agreement Putin offered to give Ukraine control of 93% of its internationally Rec recognized territory accepting only Russian Crema and onethird of the long disputed dobass region but zalinski ended up refusing it because he was pressured by the American and British governments to walk away from the deal at the time the US government took a big gamble they thought Ukraine could win and with America’s help defeat the Russians at that point in time the ukrainians were doing quite well on the battlefield the Russians looked like they were having lots of trouble and furthermore at that point in time the US thought sanctions would have a devastating effect on Russia’s economy of course there was very little risk in this gamble for the US and UK governments because it wasn’t our troops on the ground doing the fighting it was the ukrainians without having to put boots on the ground in Ukraine we pushed zinsky to walk away from the 93% proposal and instead fight for the remaining 7% this decision will now haunt Ukraine for decades to come hundreds of thousands of ukrainians have lost their lives and fast forward to today and Putin is now offering Ukraine only 78% of its territory but the West is caught in a tough spot if Ukraine accepts this deal it’s a major loss for the United States and NATO who have poured hundreds of billions of dollars into this war realistically they can’t accept this deal as it would be a major loss of face and basically undermine the entire credibility of NATO so it was no surprise that the US and NATO immediately rejected Putin’s fifth proposal as soon as the Kremlin issued it so now Ukraine will fight with less Manpower and fewer resources for the remaining 22 2% of its territory but once again John mimer rejects this plan of action and argues why now Remains the best time to cut a deal this is why I’ve argued all along that now is the time to cut a deal minimize how much more territory the ukrainians lose number one and reduce the number of ukrainians who killed on the battlefield trying to keep this war going as we and the West are doing is in my opinion strategically and morally foolish the world is facing an incredible amount of uncertainty as we realistically are looking at three major conflicts that all show no sign of ending soon we’ve established why the Ukraine war is unlikely to end anytime soon but Israel’s war in Gaza of course is on a similar pathway and now tensions are ramping up in Asia and once again we see NATO expansion as an element adding fuel to the fire this was recently highlighted in this foreign policy article entitled NATO has its sights set on Asia which states that NATO is increasingly leaking transatlantic security to events in the indopacific to combat the threat posed by China’s military and economic rise it’s quite amazing that China’s economic rise is somehow being perceived as a threat to Nato and Western Nations but once again we live in a world where anything from China is now labeled as a national security threat and in this case we’re are now seeing the US and NATO scapegoat their actions in this war and shift the blame over to China but as promised I want to go back to these important elections in France and explain how they could negatively affect Ukraine in the long term while leen’s party won the first round of French elections last week the most accurate polls in France are predicting this far-right party will win between 230 and 280 of the 577 seats in the National Assembly which would put them short of the 289 seats needed to form a majority government the most likely result from this French election will be a hung Parliament which means that mcon would be a lame duck president and France which is a G7 member and permanent member of the UN security Council will be powerless and unable to make any significant moves for the next year until new elections in 2025 this would be a disaster for Ukraine as macron and the French government up until this point has been one of the biggest supporters of Ukraine with macron even promoting the idea to put NATO troops on the ground in Ukraine to fight the Russians but as this Bloomberg article States macron’s mistakes which in this case was to call a snap election will haunt France and Europe while macron made several good decisions for France early in his presidency he failed to address concerns over living cost housing affordability and Rising immigration in fact these are the exact same issues that is influencing the most important election in the world which of course is the US election this November after Biden’s horrific first debate against Trump the tide has certainly turned in favor of President Trump to win a second term and Trump has pledged to resolve the Ukraine war before he has sworn into office on January 20th 2025 whether that’s possible or not depends on the results of this election but if you were Ukraine would you want your future in the hands of macron and Trump or is it time to listen to the wise professor John mimer and cut a deal with Russia now let me know what you think Ukraine should be doing in the comments below and once again thank you for watching today’s video make sure you check out today’s video sponsor ground news by simply going to ground. news/ Cyrus to receive 40% off unlimited access to the best news platform that I literally use every single day everyone as 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