Developing Encirclement, Trading Land For Time – NATO vs Soviet Tactics – Ukraine Map Update News

Developing Encirclement, Trading Land For Time – NATO vs Soviet Tactics – Ukraine Map Update News

G Legends I hope that you’re having a fantastic day you’ve had a fantastic weekend now I’m still here in Israel I think there’s a bit of confusion about what I’m doing I’m not here to specifically report on what is happening I’m here in case things kick off and there’s wider conflict in the Middle East that then I will be in location because I’d say that a lot of the flights would be grounded so I’m continuing on this stuff and being in place in case things happen but there will be some bits and pieces of reporting some interviews and trying to do what I then can so today what we’re going to do if I’m looking down I’m not texting I’m looking at notes on my phone but we’re going to look at the maps we’ll look at the UK and Ukraine and I want to talk then about maneuver defense Warfare fighting in defense tactical withdrawals strategic withdrawals this sort of thing and what’s happening and we’ll look then of course at what is changing on the maps defensive works and this and that so look I’m just going to have a quick look at my note so a lot of people are suggesting and we have suggested the same that the best way for Ukraine at the moment with the ammunition shortage that’s still causing issues as well as they don’t have the numerical numbers is to trade land for time although we have said that there may be some problems with this because of the Optics of losing ground that Ukraine may not want to do this but people are now stting to suggest in the Pro Ukraine side I’m seeing a lot that no no no Ukraine is trading this red we keep see popping up on the map day today today what they’re doing is they’re trading land for time while wearing bounds and are trting down the Russians and I see this spoken about now that we start from months on end to see the red move now we have said that that is probably then the best tactic is exactly this happening well we don’t know this is what Ukraine should be doing and should have been doing for a while but what with some concerns here is fighting in urban centers and we’ll look at maneuver defense the doctrine from Russia as well as my experience in this but I’m not convinced this is exactly what is happening at least broad spectrum everywhere on the front line and this is purely due to a few reasons one how quickly some areas have fallen and Fallen a long way behind other defensive lines fairly uh then quickly as well as then the lack of defensive works and this is the thing if you are looking to do this you’re looking for this fighting withdrawal this maneuver defense no one likes to say retreat but it’s a it’s a tactical Retreat if that makes sense is to hit and Scoot rews but to good defensive lines and it shouldn’t be 20 30 km in then the weeks or 5 10ks in some periods of weeks or then days and what we have seen as well is of course the redeployment of troops off other areas of the front and reserves as well and what I’m talking about and a perfect example of this is save of chance so we’ll come down onto the maps here now we know the defensive Works in here were just they existed we know some mines and stuff existed but Russia was able to go a long way in here now what has happened is the the Russians have got behind some of the previous was said to be built up defensive Works into then Urban centers and Ukraine has forced them to redeploy serves off other areas into here and then you are treating the enemy in an urban environment that is not the place you want to be doing it you want to treating them in land of your choosing that’s best for them yourself now there’s a few assumptions we make in this as well for those saying that the that Ukraine is just treating down the Russians in maneuver Doctrine rewards that the main one I see and this is uh an assumption that is being made is that the Russian losses are less sustainable than the Ukrainian losses now remember UK Russia is a much larger population and this this is something we take into account now the numbers the people are using these are the M mod numbers and this is both ways and I will say through off the bat I don’t take into account those numbers and this is something of which isn’t unknown in this but is a huge factor is if you’re taking those numbers and using that to then base your uh your thinking your Strate strategy off that I think that could be a problem as well but that is the question whose losses are less sustainable or who are more sustainable Russia most likely has much higher losses but to what factor does it need to be higher to be less sustainable does that make sense same as they’re using a lot more artillery a lot more tanks and a lot more this and that but what factor is that not sustainable and the numbers well it’s hard to get an absolute like pin on this now of course Russia is making ground in the hundreds of square kilometers in the past few months and they coming question in this and this pushing on the front trying to get ground I believe and I spoke about this after the presidential debate is if there is an Administration change in the US and the war gets Frozen gets halted it would be suicide for Ukraine to continue if the US starts pulling back any support the US is giving if probably not even the amount that they need but like right on any less it would start moving very quickly not in the best Direction uh but what I’m saying what I’m getting at is it’s in the best interest of Russia right now to try and gain as much ground as possible before that not only for if the Border then gets Frozen and they hold more ground but as a trading tool the more ground they can get then it will be used if the war gets Frozen that’s a large if underline that put it in italics all of this but then they can use that as a trading tool to trade back as well okay we’ll give you this part of land that we took if then you are neutral I don’t know regardless of how the the fin points will look but what I’ve talked about and and you can look this up there’s receipts of it from my videos for months now are that Ukraine is too concerned with the Optics of wanting to lose ground not wanting to lose ground and hold ground rather than this trading uh land for time and my people I speak to these aren’t Twitter Warriors these are legitimate warriors with legitimate training in this telling me this and suggesting this to me that that this is the main problem that they then see so I’m not convinced when someone is saying this is exactly what is happening of this falling back now what we’re going to do is I actually want to show you some of this maneuver defense and I’ll show you some of the Russian Doctrine on this as well now let me just show you like really really quickly at like an infantry level uh like basic basic what this may look like now I was an Australian military Soldier so I’ve done this a lot in uh exercising training of this fighting withdrawal maneuver rearwards all of this maneuver right maneuver left all of all of this now why is the Australian military very good at this well the Australian military is very very small in a very very large country and our neighbors of people that may invade have massive massive populations so any Force we encounter is going to be much much larger so a withdrawal like this is absolutely critical to this now I was never in Recon but Recon guys when they’re operating in small teams or snipers they are the ones probably the Recon probably a bit more over this that are absolute subject matter expert in small team then withdrawal under heavy fire there’s a really good us video of a Recon team doing this just blasting rounds but what you’re trying to do is you’re trying to then get out of that engagement Zone and or lead your enemy into more advantageous terrain for yourself and this is one of the problems in a div we’re told Ukraine is moving to more advantageous positions they moved to those advantageous positions and then within a few days those looked like they then weeks at least they look like they fell again and I question what positions are more advanc agous then then behind that as the ground is flattening them out but I will say as I show you my experience uh is in very very small teams four eight maybe platoon maybe 25 but you’ll get an idea I’ve done this very largely but I’ve never been like I’m just a one little element in the whole Cog of what is happening but look let’s say that we have moved up and there’s say four of us operating like this and we get hit by an enemy really hard in this direction large enemy we then can’t move we we can’t go forward it wouldn’t be good for us well there’s a few different ways of doing this but you always will need to move under Fire so multiple ways of doing this but you always need fire and you want to move in teams and going moving firing just you know speaking then to each other so what this may then look like is just really simple these two guys may then move back as these two continue then firing now this can be done in a lot of different patterns these two will then get to here of course they will then be firing in this direction now of course under large fire as these two move then behind then their position and then they will you know announce that they are then firing and of course then these guys will move rearwards now you say well this is very simple it’s very small that said these tactics can be scaled up scaled down as much as you would want and you could just imagine that if we go back to where these guys are firing that okay just just change that out for not being an individual troop firing this way that’s a mortar team firing this way as this platoon then moves rearwards and another platoon is then in support somewhere else that’s what you want you want to have always support and this is no different too if you’re moving then left or right so if you’ve got your troops out here and you want to then shift in this say straight up from the screen this guy pick up and he would move back down to here as they’re firing in whatever Direction you’d always want your maximum amount of guns facing that way so if you get contacted from here you’re either going to you know this guy move up to here or then it’ll withdraw but does that make some level of sense and that’s what I’m talking about is you always want facing forward going and you see this in a lot of the Russian defense tactics and Doctrine which you can look up online and you’ll see imagine these are large then defensive works that if this one gets hit out here and let’s say then this is artillery positions and there’s some more positions in here that this one is not meant to stay and fight it is to then delay and these will move back into then rearward positions here people will move rearwards whether this is armor or infantry or whatever as these positions are mutually supporting on here there there’s a really really good breakdown of this then happening but I just cannot find it now of course this is much larger exp or go around here now it’s doesn’t work like that but you’re going to be in advantageous terrain and positions for yourself as well now let’s just have a look at then some of this maneuver defense Doctrine and this is actually then of Russian maneuver defense remember that Ukraine is really in this hybrid between NATO and Russian Doctrine which I actually think in an traditional War like this is something people really need to look at don’t discount Russian Doctrine Soviet Doctrine I should say that can withhold far more losses than NATO Doctrine but you’ve got lesser trained guys the whole point of it the the biggest difference between these two doctrines NATO Doctrine is so heavily reliant on ncos non-commissioned Officers Training 8 20 M so leading 82 guys the problem is it takes go elite soldiers the problem is it takes in the Australian Army minimum four to six years to become in that first level of that so if that guy gets killed you’ve lost a massive amount of experience and then that training on the ground where the Russians don’t have that the Soviets don’t have that so to speak other than you know your more SF type elements but forget about that but the thing is it can then sustain larger losses and the experience is gained through Frontline combat and large losses but it can actually sustain larger losses it knows it’s going to take more but can sustain more as well and I think we need to look at the doctrine and maybe have a bit of a hybrid because where a lot of our is so focused on a symmetrical uh Warfare Vietnam Afghanistan Iraq we haven’t fought in a conventional war with massive losses for a long time and like the Australian army with the losses we’ve seen this w we would be combat effective for like 3 days anyway let’s just have a look over some of this now this is maybe a better element graph that I then I drew but we’ll read through but I can’t draw on this I don’t think no damn H but so you see this element out here these are not to hold they get hit from a west to east position here then these guys will hold then they’ll move back into some more of these positions and you can see that these positions are then all then supporting itself as they hit reserves combine arm reserves so these may move up to support elements as other elements are then falling and then you’ve got positions in depth to supply fire support so these can supply fire support on the flanks as well as outer positions here they can fire through the middle as well as then scouts out who can see what is coming for uh like early warning um Italian is facing enemy attack from the west and a reconnaissance forward Patrol you can see that in then these elements here uh the Battalion is a shallow security Zone consisting two motorized Ro brigades but again it’s just it’s just that what we showed on my shitty drawing just in much larger but this is what we need to talk about the companies do not become decisively engaged but withdraw under covering fire of their rear platoon so you don’t want to become decisively engaged have to win that fight as that that graph I showed with the first guys up and moving rearwards pepper potting rearwards you don’t want to become decisively engaged you want to be able to still withdraw undercovering fire from that rear go high or rear tank element or artillery element whatever it then may be now one thing you’re not allowed to suggesting this not allowed to suggest this don’t suggest that is this not exactly what Russia did in robot in Ukraine’s 2023 counter offensive offensive area how do I turn up defensive lines that withdraw through some of these positions give up positions provide Mutual fire support from others it’d be good to have a look at if we get a really good idea of Ukrainian defensive works but if you just look at like this element right here with these ones and if we can bring up this graph again now these of course are more complete positions rather than little bits and pieces but you can see this may withdraw into areas as there is then fire support from areas like this and then you’ve got larger Works back here that can also provide support if these areas are then given up you don’t want to become then decisively engaged this is what I talk about inol CH if you’re doing this you’re retreating down the enemy you don’t want to become decisively engaged in especially an urban environment you want to be doing this under artillery at length the enemy advances Advance encounters a line of six platoon that cause the enemy to deploy and slow down while being hit with artillery Aviation Str so they hit that first line massive artillery all Russian maneuver whether it is maneuver forward to maneuver rearwards whatever is specifically in the doctrine dared the massive amounts of artillery uh the line does not become to S engagement but withdrawals behind the two companies now on the alternate line in order positions in combine arms reserve and anti-tank Landing reserve the enemy attack is slowed and punished then the line withdrawals with EAS position for the Battalion so you get an idea that you’re moving rearwards but you’re under that fire continuously delaying than the enemy moving forward maneuver defense defending troops displac from lined both deliberately when forced the enemy organizes shoot the interdiction of roots withdraw attacks flanks and rear so drawing the enemy into areas that you want to fight them as well you want to be choosing you want to be fighting in the ground of your choosing that uh then plays onto your strength that Russia’s strength in this war is numbers and artillery they want to be in areas where they can be dropping Fabs have their armor and have a lot of guys in trenches open ground closed terrain say like Kar is spe we’ve seen you can have more success but Urban environments like like anywhere is a huge huge problem when our Russia is dropping Fabs and leveling that as well in conventional man War uh sorry a skill Manu defense is designed to destroy enemy systems at long range and then withdrawing without becoming decisive engage so hit them with an artillery and then move reals like we’ve been saying a key Target for both Aviation and artillery is mobile enemy air defense so you one of the biggest Parts in this is getting then your air in play and hitting with air then behind the line and air defense is incredibly important in this and this is the biggest failure of the the entire Russian invasion every the everything the biggest failure has been the air especially on those initial weeks and months that was why the huge huge losses were taken the air is um a lot better than then but still nowhere near the power the power the Russian Air Force has in terms of equipment and techn sorry technology and equipment compared to how it’s performing is greatly greatly under and it it’s I’d say down to the command structure there as well long work down a system canect destroy high priority Targets in real time so trying to keep those centers of gravity as well so I just thought i’ would show that I I think it’s interesting I think a lot of people are talking like now oh no no this is what’s happening but before now we’re holding in place to do this it’s hard to know in different areas of the front line Russia’s doing it Ukraine is doing it now Russia is on the advance and same as when we talk about attritional Warfare that you open many different fronts at many different times if you of course are the side with the numerical numbers and that’s exactly what we have seen Russia do but don’t base all your tactics off numbers that are unconfirmed or that you can’t confirm but it will be interesting to see what continues to happen in the future and will we see that Russia is a Tred and that it will collapse the thing is I think one of the biggest dangers in this is actually if Russia then go back into defense that if Russia just go okay we’re not moving and they just have this massive defensive work and do that to Ukraine I think that would be you I think R Ukraine need to keep Russia moving somewhere rather than if they just hold in place sit on their bums in these positions Ukraine’s going to have to then push through those now of course here is Ukraine the center the capital of ke red areas occupied 22 purple since 2014 sorry this video is getting on now I forgot to have a look at this the other day but of course there’s this other Front Line open so you’ve got the these two Northerns and then you’ve got this one up here now we haven’t seen this move for a while but it is interesting it is shown that Russia do occupy some position a third position up in the north here now I do have a folder here from suriak showing this position here and he’s actually saying they might be another one but I’ve looked it’s not shown on Deep’s date situation nor front the recent days Russian di so this is um like a reconnaissance um uh what’s the term I’m looking for um oh my God I’ll put the word on the screen here if I can think of it has increased markedly on the border between belgrad and Sumi uh this is happening at the same time when Ukraine Army has managed to hold the front north of harive and has started to recover lost ground following the arrivals of numerous units even more important the arrival of new war material from abroad so drawing that stuff in it is still premature to speak about the opening of a new FR Sumi but the aim of the Russian forces is to still create a buffer zone around belgar and this includes this Ukrainian all blast uh a new front that would divert even more Ukrainian resources from the the Eastern fronts contributing to the instability of this one which continues increasing breaches and lack of personnel Progressive escalation is looming in the north and I agree with this Russia is opening up these areas to draw forces in I thought everyone knew that but we have seen that you Ukraine has become decisively engaged in FV chance now as well we don’t know all the numbers we don’t know how it’s looking maybe that was the best decision on the ground or was it concerned the Optics of losing them that City uh di sabotage so reconnaissance sabotage that’s what I was looking for but Ukraine has made some ground so let’s just go to the east of here in the hoki and we can see oh my God how do I bring this up there is just a gray Zone shift shown on this map so no red shifted but we have a look that syrix shows that Ukraine took back some ground in here as well as Noel reports as well as with the gray zone so we will 1,000% confirm that Ukraine did make some ground in here now we come across the Vol Chans no change shown on this map today but then we bring up surric map and showing War Ukrainian gains and movements in here as well so just on the Eastern side as well as then in the center Ukraine captur new position Northeast of the town of meanwhile the center of the Northern District Russian army captured new high buildings so new high buildings in here that’s exactly the spot we saw those SF troops then cross uh in um Ukraine for new building East in the same street in addition clash between so yeah you can see Street to Street high level building fighting here high level troops both Ukrainian and Russian have deployed into here decisively engaged and this is I think the Optics problem that Ukraine because this these defensive Works weren’t built or weren’t up to satisfaction and there’s a you know City sitting here that didn’t want to lose the Optics of this trade time the ground and we don’t know what defensive Works were behind this as well we should say we’re assuming that there was uh that then now they’ve become decisively engaged here now I know this is one example of other areas which may not reflect this you can see no reports he’s also shown that um Ukraine has had this same on the East but not the same right in the center although doesn’t show the Russians on the other side of this road on his map he’s very conservative towards uh Russian gains there now let’s just move down this map a little bit now we can see this spy and this is a long Spire so we can see up to 4 km over 4ks was made in the past 24 hours by the Russians out to pishan now what I will say I don’t believe that uh well they made 4 km in the day I think it’s just been an update of ground that has been avoided for a while and now it’s moving through and this is then the same direction I believe I’ve got the right map then open uh yes I do sorry it’s just looking very different so this is better stove down in here and this is then so I’m just trying to line myself up so it actually shows a lot more on the Deep state map then it shows on sux map itself see where this Reservoir is this is this Reservoir so it’s showing way down in here so no h sorry uh SX map is a long way behind in here that’s why I was getting confused of where we are so it’s showing basically out to where his DOT is here has come then under control so if we line up Reservoir out to here so you get an idea as well this is the tree line just running down in there sorry couldn’t normally it’s not that different um as well I was strugging to then line it up now let’s come down the line just a little bit now we see in Maka that Russia made some ground in here as well in the western direction towards an OS skill River still a long way off from there no changes around turny no changes then in bka although some are saying Ukraine did make back some ground in here but not being shown on this map today now spery in here this is one of the major changes and we have seen a video evidence of this as well of then a Russian flag going up here here see this video and then this has spej located Surak has this map now let’s zoom in get an idea of where we are looking now this is not the easiest to see but you can see in then the center of spery that then Russians have made ground so couple of things to look at see these buildings up here these are said buildings we’re looking for some padic that then line up so we’re looking this padic here is then believe this padic just sorry let me try and line this up better so oh this is hard to see I wish you could see the actual roads on this so this padic right here this green one I believe is this one right here and that this dot is sitting right about here underneath see where this Greenery runs just down here this is this one this pad is just in a different season at the moment but right in here you can see see where this like small V sort of fork is this is said Fork so the Russians are right up into here shown as green zone then on this map sorry that took me then a second let’s keep moving down no changes here Buck mood and we see some of the first major changes around to the north of chass the micro District of chassa and to the South now Crossing this is going to be a nightmare trying to get over this I think we’ll see large Russian losses trying to cross this Reservoir here but I believe they will be try to envelop chasar rather than maybe a straight push in but of course we time will tell exactly what happens here but the main tactic is going to try and be to Constantin niia I wouldn’t be surprised if we see maybe a halt on this to try and get then the road that runs to constan niia this road here under more Fire Control first to try and liit supplies into here of course is still going to have supplies down through Kat torsk as well but if you cut out One Road you’re going to cut off at least some percentage of that because of the amount of urban centers in here that’s just my speculation now you can see an expansion into more blocks as well heading into tety here as well so more out from shumi expanding further control of the Russians there so what I’m talking about and I spoke about this in the beginning of the the uh attritional Warfare you just open many different fronts if you’ve got the numerical number and of course Ukraine has less soldiers so they’re trying to plug holes everywhere this way we could just see Russian open a completely new one up in sui somewhere now Asha that KN a diva front this is where we see some more major changes we see a lot of this and this is heading down then into tactical spots here coming down using then the reservoir as a natural barrier as well heading through Urban centers so we can see this closing up of course this is putting a lot more uh pressure on NOA Persia now of course what is happening here well you can’t swim AC cross here in a tank so you’ve got basically an area here that’s going to have to come out I don’t know how much I’d feel about going through that position the Russians have blocked off this side they’ blocked off at least up to here that I believe we will see this area fall fairly quickly from a forced Ukrainian withdrawal then through there that that’s what I believe that we will see on this map over the next coming days as well as a push winding control out on this like Northwestern uh flank here again trying trying to get I believe to this intersection here you don’t need to get there to have to be unusable you just need to have good real fire control on it by mortars by whatever else now I did Miss New York while I was in here sorry I have an update as well from Surak but on a different run we’ve talked about so we talked just up here let’s have a look at New York itself so showing just up this road here just up to about where my cursor is maybe where the gry zone is that Russia has pushed up a little bit but has then had a withdraw back during the last 3 days Russi Army continue to advance hard in New York and reached the vicinity blah blah blah the Ukraine Army launch Counterattack managed to drive the Russian troops the street towards the railway line the Russian Ukrainian positions continues in the area in cemeteries of school 18 so still pushing up here went up Counterattack moved backwards in here but we do know this is going to be a hot front we see a lot of then like Fabs getting dropped in this specific lock as well now well I’m all over the place have Diva let’s then line up this map right here so we can see this is in the exact same location so we can confirm that this is what has happened I actually think that suriak is behind on even the Deep state in this exact location in here so yeah this padic this is this padic so deep state is saying that Russian way up to here so Surak is then behind then the Deep state maps there but otherwise no changes anywhere else than on the lines I just wanted to have a look this of course newn in the UK uh pleasure to speak this is from zinsky weed positions ahead of the NATO Summit in Washington uh international events to discussed strengthen our partnership including preparation of unprecedented 100-year partnership between Ukraine and UK this is one of my concerns about and this is Ukraine ler but any like Partnership of 100 years we have no idea one how this war is going to end secondly we have no idea how the world is going to look in five or 10 years this century is probably going to belong to the South I don’t know um but but we’re affirming the UK’s principle and unwavering support for Ukraine we know the UK has had a lot of like delayed supplies to Ukraine so it will be interesting to see what and if anything changes there Legends I need to get out of this Airbnb and check out and try and check into my new one uh look after yourselves I’ll speak you tomorrow but from a different seat I’m thinking right see you bye-bye

G’day Legends, I hope you’re doing well,
Today we talk about the Russia’s offensive and look at the war map updates.

If you’re new here thanks for coming across, I served in the Australian Infantry from 2014-2021, With specialist qualifications in Heavy Weapons/Anti-Armour, Combat First Aid, With a tour to Afghanistan as a crew commander of a Armoured Mobility Vehicle.
Upon my Return I was unexpectedly diagnosed with a Incurable and Inoperable Brain tumour that is slowly killing me. I was also awarded the Queens Order of Australia Medal (OAM) hence the post nominals after my name. Then Being medically separated from the Army I flew to Ukraine in 2022 for 6.5months and now make content full time. I really appreciate you being here Thank You

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