UK MoD: RUS Lost “Astronomical” 70,000 Soldiers in May & June

UK MoD: RUS Lost “Astronomical” 70,000 Soldiers in May & June

over the last 2 months Russian losses across the front line may have exceeded even the highest analyst expectations this is according to the UK Ministry of Defense intelligence agency so we are going to talk about just what this means for the front line why Putin is willing to lose just so many soldiers and if this is a sign that the Russian war machine might actually be losing steam I’m Paul US Army Combat veteran let’s talk about it okay so this is really interesting this is the defense intelligence update from yesterday from again the UK’s Ministry of Defense so this is a really credible Source uh the UK works really hard to put out what in their assessment is the correct things correct statements um and this is discussing the level of Russian casualties in May and June 2024 right the killed and wounded uh numbers are absolutely staggeringly High in total they assess Russia likely lost either either had killed or wounded in excess SE of 70,000 Personnel over the last two months now this is a really important metric and the reason it’s so important is because it’s 35,000 a month because we know that Russian recruitment efforts currently pedal to the metal as high as they can generate troops are burning 20 are bringing in 25,000 troops a month that means that they are having almost 50% more casualties than they can sustain and for Ukraine that is core to their strategy at some point Russia will run out of Russians that is fundamental to the idea and again Putin is unwilling to do a general mobilization um so he relies on kind of coercing conscripts recruiting foreign Nationals uh recruiting from prisons and so the result is a very low caliber of Russian soldier but it also means that they are that those are very limited pipelines that they can draw in and we’ve seen it we’ve seen the average Russian soldier uh looking older uh I don’t want to say more decrepit but uh they certainly often have the appearance of soldiers who might have substance use issues or severe mental illnesses people who just aren’t are already on the margins of Russian Society and so the longer this goes on it it sometimes is referred to as a organizational death spiral right this is where you have a role in which there is attrition but performing the role requires extensive training Pilots are the classic example but light infantry forces are another great example right up here you have an experienced seasoned NATO trained like a US caliber infantry Squad right well let’s say say that Squad experiences a high attrition rate and The Replacements are trained to a high standard but they don’t quite drawn the same amount of experience what happens well that Squad is going to have to go through that learning curve in combat and that means they’re going to incur casualties at an even greater rate so now you have this third generation of soldiers and they had to get fielded even faster so maybe they cut a few weeks off their training well that infantry squad has even less Battlefield survivability so they get at Tred and now you see how as the cycle goes on and on and on what you end up with is this race to the bottom in which infantry units right I’m using a squad but companies brigades are so poorly trained they incur casualties at such a high rate that the that the again you basically end up with the way Russia’s running this war extremely extremely poor quality fighting men they’re all they’re all men basically extremely limited training and extremely high casualty rates and almost no acred experience right if you have a mission with 80% casualties statistically there is a less than 1% chance that you’re going to survive four missions and so that means no one in the Russian military has any experience um below probably the uh company Commander or Battalion Commander level at least again in the light infantry roles specialist roles like artillery Crews and drone operators it seems like Russia is is is works hard to keep those soldiers more protected because they’re more professional they’re literally better trained um but for Ukraine this is an again represents an opportunity if they can keep this kill rate up then they will force Russia again to to field ever more lowquality troops but this comes with a price and before we talk about it if you’re interested in seeing kind of the uncensored raw combat footage of showing just how F far the Russian military has fallen you want to become a member of combat vet news this is the way to support the channel you guys know uh YouTube not the biggest fan of War content but I believe this is important for you guys to know so I’m going to do it no matter what but I rely on you guys to support me so if you want access to the twice a week we go in we find the viral combat videos uh that have dropped in the last week sometimes they’re as little as 48 Hours old and we do a deep dive analysis of the units the tactics who’s doing it where why and when and it’s really great insight and remember if you become a member you get access yeah to the new drops but you also get access to the archive drops you almost a year of twice weekly videos where you can literally see as the videos progress the Russian military becoming steadily less and less capable but in but also at the same time time adapting to kind of the the The Madness of this drone heavy Battlefield so if you want to support us right the specialist here get you access to those members only uh combat videos but if you join the lieutenant here you get access to that plus the weekly Q&A you can ask questions and you get the shout outs at the end of videos and if you really want to support what I do if you really appreciate it and you’ve got the spare spare cash to do it you can become a carel tier get the members only video the weekly Q&A video the shout outs by name and the golden recognition at the end videos anyway let’s talk about what Russia is getting with 70,000 troops killed or wounded by you the answer is actually quite a bit right sure in the last 24 hours we’ve seen the r the ukrainians kick uh the Russians out of this uh satety kak CH and that’s great but this is never really more than a border incursion the real problem is that Russian forces are advancing slowly steadily amid tremendous casualties across the front line you can see them making again not tons of progress but in the denet region every day they make a little bit of progress again a few dozen Russian soldiers were killed or had life altering injuries to get this three you know what what maybe 100 meters of forest but it moved them ever closer right and you see this is the case across the front line again here we have uh Novo salifa persa you can see Russian forces again advancing toward the town you know a a few hundred meters uh not really a GameChanger in the grand scheme of things but it still is driving the Ukrainian forces back further and further and this is sort of the core strategy that Russia’s pursuing now is these kind of gradual pushes wherever they can do it uh reportedly some of the toughest fighting where Russia’s pushing the hard is near shumi tetk and newor New York and I think this is part of a Russian sort of pincer effort maybe to kind of put pressure in on touret from two different directions but it’s a really tough situation to be fighting in and you can see that uh it’s it’s part of this Russian strategy but look at the gra we’re working backwards in time see how gradual Russian forces are making these advances and they’re just sort of taking what they can here and there grabbing it right there was a little bit of a of a breakthrough here near yurka uh but it looks like Ukraine sort of stabilized that but this is how they’re fighting in these gradual little peac meal advances again at tremendous cost but they are the ones advancing again are they going to seize a m are they going to take harke no unlikely they’re going to they’re going to take some Open Fields some Forest some little towns that have been obliterated but that’s all can potentially add up and and again for Putin it gives it by Putin’s own metrics of Victory he is winning 70,000 people to take a couple of villages in the East is a great deal if you’re someone like Putin um and so by that metric he considers himself to be winning which is one of the reasons he really does not want to negotiate for peace right now but the Department of Defense US Department of Defense announced uh two days ago military aid package for Ukraine 225 million this is think of this as a a sort of um packing up uh piece by piece the uh Aid package that was passed uh a couple months ago so this isn’t on top of that 60 billion this is just another tranch right and it includes of course a patriot air defense battery Munitions for the National surfaced Air missile system Stinger missiles High Mobility High Mars ammunition 155 and 105 Arty rounds tow missiles and tow equipment and missiles so uh certainly going to be inflicting some pain on the uh Russian armored forces for sure uh but again uh that’s supposedly According to some analysis been actually one of Putin’s biggest liabilities is not his ability to get troops it’s his ability to get vehicles because again right now they are refurbishing Soviet stock still but it’s not clear how much longer they can do that and once they’re out of Soviet stock they’re going to have to find a way to build tanks in APC sees from scratch and that is a tall order for a country like Russia anyway guys that’s all I had thank you to our Colonel tier members including uh Bill Kier Robin curn gu’s man Waring Eugene oesta Chris Gorsuch and Frank zakarius Fran zarius excuse me plus all our Lieutenant here members be sure to become a member link is in the description if you want to check us out at combet news and join us over there thanks cheers

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Original Video:
https://deepstatemap.live/#10/50.1563/36.5534
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates

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Original Video:
https://deepstatemap.live/#10/50.1563/36.5534
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates

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