EXCLUSIVE SURVEY. Emmanuel Macron widens the gap, Anne Hidalgo hits rock bottom/SONDAGE EXCLUSIF. Emmanuel Macron creuse l’écart, Anne Hidalgo touche le fond

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  1. Everything is going well for the almost candidate. With his head occupied internationally by the tensions in Ukraine, Emmanuel Macron retains a fairly large lead in the polls for the presidential election. In the first round, which will take place in less than 60 days, the head of state is credited with 26% of voting intentions, reports the latest Elabe poll for L’Express and BFM TV, in partnership with SFR*. That’s a small point gain over the week, and 3.5 over the whole month.
    Behind, the battle rages on. The gap is narrowing between Marine Le Pen’s RN (15.5%, -1 pt over the week), Valérie Pécresse (LR, 15%, -1) and Eric Zemmour (Reconquests, 13%, +0.5), dropping from 5.5 points (on 26 January) to 2.5 points today. The result of a good dynamic set in motion by Eric Zemmour these last two weeks, who is gaining ground (+1.5 points), unlike the two representatives of the right and the extreme right, Valérie Pécresse (-2) and Marine Le Pen (-1). The first, in particular, reaches limits in terms of vote carryover: a quarter of François Fillon’s voters in 2017 run to Emmanuel Macron, when Valérie Pécresse manages to convince only one in ten Macron voters of the last election.
    On the left, the balance of power is clearer. Jean-Luc Mélenchon (LFI) stands out in the lead, at 10% (+0.5 over one week, +1 over two weeks). All the other candidates are below the 5% mark. The biggest drop is due to Christiane Taubira with 3.5% (PRG-PS, -2.5 pt over one week), which leads Anne Hidalgo (PS) in her fall. The mayor of Paris passed under 2% (1.5%). The communist Fabien Roussel confirms his momentum of the last few days, and is now at 4% of the expressed voting intentions.
    Macron still wins in the second round
    Status quo for the second round, which will take place on Sunday, April 24. Emmanuel Macron wins in all configurations considered plausible, against Marine Le Pen, Valérie Pécresse and Eric Zemmour. The gap is less important than in 2017 in case of a new duel against the president of the National Rally (56%- 44%).
    On the other hand, it is significantly higher in the event of the accession of the polemicist Eric Zemmour to the second round (64%-36%). Emmanuel Macron would benefit in this configuration of a good mobilization of the voters of the left and Valerie Pécresse, judges the pollster Elabe. Zemmour would not have elsewhere that a partial mobilization of voters of 1st round of Marine Le Pen (48%). The media rise of the far-right candidate, leader of the Reconquests movement, does not tend to improve his image, far from it. Almost eight out of ten French people do not appreciate his personality (84% among women).
    The tightest battle remains the one between the outgoing president and Valérie Pécresse. However, Emmanuel Macron still has a comfortable lead (54%, -1.5) in this configuration, despite a slight increase in the LR candidate’s lead (46%, +1.5), due to a better transfer of votes from Marine Le Pen voters in the first round.
    Translated with http://www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)

  3. Bizarre. Si on va sur Twitter & cie, on lit que Macron est le pire président de la Ve République et qu’il humilie la France a l’étranger.

    M’aurait-on menti alors ?

    Edit: typo

  7. >The media rise of the far-right candidate, leader of the Reconquests movement, does not tend to improve his image, far from it. Almost eight out of ten French people do not appreciate his personality (84% among women).

    What a weiner party.

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