Breaking: There are reports from Russian sources that the AFU is advancing on #KromskieByki, DPRK (#Kursk), Russia which is 20-km inside RF territory. From there, the obvious objective is to continue north in the direction of, and to capture, #Lgov.

15 comments

1. It seems residents are fleeing Lgov btw

2. What’s in Lgov that makes it valuable? Is this just rapid expansion of territory control along highways, or is there something more?

3. Take some things with pinches of salt.

   The difference between in control and deep recon groups in situ for ambushes and engaging russians is completely different.

   The towns/villages in control is not this far, but the firefights are spreading as recon groups run riot behind the lines.

4. It’s still unclear to me whether Russia has any regular army formations in the area. All I’m seeing are border patrol and security troops, who are no match for heavy Ukrainian Mech brigades. The ‘party line’ was that there are only trip wire light forces on the border and that the real defensive line was 5-7 kilos back, with anti vehicle trenches, ect. but Ukraine has already blown past this as well, finding it largely empty. My speculation is that as the Kharkiv offensive bogged down, it has sucked in local organized forces facing Sumy (where Russia was rumored to be building up 75,000 troops to take a swing at Sumy, but apparently not).

   I doubt Ukraine is serious about taking and holding Lgov- They would outrun logistics support to do so, but there doesn’t appear to be any organized forces preventing it, so what do I know? At the least, I would expect Ukraine to try and get lighter forces into the rail yards and mess it up.

   I would expect Ukraine’s primary short term goals would be further east- securing Sudza and moving east to Belitzna, creating a pocket for more Russian border troops and getting light forces into the area north of Belgorod, but hey, I’m not running this war.

5. Remember guys, the situation is unclear. They could be rumors are don’t mean anything. Still if its true then its huge.

6. While they are there, if they have the resources, I hope they have a list of war crime suspects from the area and go hunting door to door for them. I am sure if they throw some locals a few $$ their locations will be known pretty quickly.

7. Does anyone know the goal beyond pulling resources from the front to stop this assault?

8. They now need to widen the mouth of the invasion

9. Lol. Looks like Russia’s strategy of “don’t leave any defensive troops in Russia because we Ukraine will never advance into our territory” is backfiring a little bit.

10. It has been a good week I tell you what.

11. 12.4 miles for my fellow km-illiterate Americans.

12. One problem… and I will probably get downvoted for this, but please understand that I am concerned about the Ukrainian side:

    Can Putin now call upon countries that had defensive pacts with it, like Belarus, China and North Korea, to send troops to “defend” Russia ? It’s different from how defensive alliances work in the West….. but they are not the West.

13. So if they take it they get to rename it to L’giv?

14. So if they take it they get to rename it to L’giv?

15. Ukraine should start holding fake referendums to claim the occupied land. Surely they’ll get 9058765% of the population voting to succeed from Russia