Der neue iranische Präsident kämpft gegen die Revolutionsgarde, um einen umfassenden Krieg mit Israel zu verhindern

25 comments

1. **From The Telegraph:**

   Iran’s new president is battling against the hardline Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in an attempt to prevent all-out war with Israel, The Telegraph has learned.

   Tehran’s authorities are divided over how to respond to the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, the Hamas leader, in the Iranian capital on July 31.

   Top generals within the IRGC are insisting on a direct strike on Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities, focusing on military bases to avoid civilian casualties.

   But Masoud Pezeshkian, the newly elected president and a comparative moderate who defeated the IRGC’s candidate in elections last month, has suggested targeting secret Israeli bases in Iran’s neighbouring countries.

   Iran has previously targeted what it refers to as “spy bases” of Mossad, the Israeli intelligence agency, in Iraqi Kurdistan.

   The IRGC has been trying to undermine Mr Pezeshkian in its pursuit of a more aggressive retaliation against Israel, aides of the president told The Telegraph.

   Founded after the 1979 Islamic Revolution to protect the new regime from domestic dissent, the IRGC has evolved into a sprawling organisation with significant influence over Iran’s military, economy and broader society.

   The ultimate responsibility for deciding how Iran will respond rests with Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the supreme leader.

   “Mr Pezeshkian fears that any direct attack on Israel would have serious consequences,” said a close aide to the president.

   “He mentioned that we were lucky that Iran did not go to an all-out war with Israel last time and maybe not this time,” they added, referring to the April 13 attack when Iran fired more than 300 suicide drones and missiles at Israel.

   Tehran’s attack came after a suspected Israeli strike on Iran’s Damascus consulate on April 1 killed seven high-ranking members of the IRGC.

   On July 31 the tensions between the two arch-enemies escalated once again when Haniyeh, the leader of Hamas’s political office, was assassinated in Tehran while attending Mr Pezeshkian’s inauguration.

   The IRGC’s insistence on targeting Israel is “more about undermining his week-long presidency rather than covering the humiliation they have suffered,” said the presidential aide who spoke to The Telegraph from Tehran.

   The New York Times first reported that Mossad planted bombs in the IRGC guesthouse where Haniyeh was staying to carry out the assassination.

   Khamenei has threatened Israel with “severe punishment”.

   On Thursday morning, a bout of gun-firing on Iran’s western border prompted Egyptian and British airlines to suspend flights over the country.

   It sparked fears an attack could be coming in that time window.

   “These recent exercises in the country’s western border are just to intimidate Mr Pezeshkian. Sepah [the IRGC] is very insistent on targeting Israel and they think it is easy,” a second aide to Mr Pezeshkian told The Telegraph.

   “He has suggested targeting somewhere related to Israel in the Republic of Azerbaijan or [Iraqi] Kurdistan and let these countries know before that and get done with the whole drama.”

   The president “does not feel humiliated as it happened hours after he was sworn in”.

   He has also suggested arming the Lebanese Hezbollah with more sophisticated weapons and “letting them fight” with Iran’s intensified support.

2. Imagine having the mandate from fresh elections and still not having enough clout to act as “commander in chief”. Did the Iranian president win executive power or a popularity contest?

3. Iran is scared shitless.

   If they attack Israel, their oil fields and terminals will be burning within hours, their entire economy will tank, and the Islamic regime will collapse.

4. This is the best tl;dr I could make, [original](https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/08/09/iran-president-masoud-pezeshkian-israel-revolutionary-guard/) reduced by 90%. (I’m a bot)
   *****
   > Iran's new president is battling against the hardline Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in an attempt to prevent all-out war with Israel, The Telegraph has learned.

   > "He mentioned that we were lucky that Iran did not go to an all-out war with Israel last time and maybe not this time," they added, referring to the April 13 attack when Iran fired more than 300 suicide drones and missiles at Israel.

   > The New York Times first reported that Mossad planted bombs in the IRGC guesthouse where Haniyeh was staying to carry out the assassination.

   *****
   [**Extended Summary**](http://np.reddit.com/r/autotldr/comments/1enzw4o/irans_new_president_battles_revolutionary_guard/) | [FAQ](http://np.reddit.com/r/autotldr/comments/31b9fm/faq_autotldr_bot/ “Version 2.02, ~692115 tl;drs so far.”) | [Feedback](http://np.reddit.com/message/compose?to=%23autotldr “PM’s and comments are monitored, constructive feedback is welcome.”) | *Top* *keywords*: **IRGC**^#1 **Pezeshkian**^#2 **Iran**^#3 **Israel**^#4 **Telegraph**^#5

5. It’s just a BS stage show

6. How does an ‘all out war’ between these two work? Is it just missiles flying back and forth, or are the countries in between them going to allow one of the them to amass troops? or do they just begin to march towards each other?

7. Interesting points in the article. The IRGC think attacking Israel would be easy? Maybe if they weren’t on high alert but they in the middle of shooting anything that moves in Palestine and they obviously will expect a response. 

   So either those members in IRGC are fooling themselves or maybe they want to force an attack, get slapped down and will blame the president and ayatollah? Seek to take control of Iran for themselves? That’s the problem with zealots with guns- they want to use them and if you say no, you become an enemy with dangerous ideas.

8. Yeah because they are scared. If they had to deal only with Israel Israel would still win, but they have so much of the US army surrounding then waiting for an attack, and that’s the real scary thing for them.

9. Your fucked if you do and fucked if you don’t.

10. The axis of dumb are finding themselves in the “find out stage.”

    All they have is threats.

11. Persepolis was such a good read

12. Iran does not want this conflict, and it shows. Any possible action they can take to harm Israel will be returned three-fold and they know there won’t be a damn thing they (or their proxies) can do to stop it. They’ll use infighting, political stagecraft, or a few half-heartedly lobbed drones to depart from the issue without looking weak.

13. The Iranian people deserve better than this.

    We all do.

14. “Hold me back, bro!”

15. Khomeini use his puppet “president” to chicken out of war.
    here translated it from BS to human for you

16. Imagine his speech. “Guys, you’re gonna fucking lose.”

17. “Hold me back, hold me back!”

18. Free Iran from the regressive and murderous mullahs.

19. Iran would lose. 

20. Frustrating timing for this hit. It’s made the new moderate president’s position much more difficult.

21. Iran wants out of this fight. They want to rattle their saber in Israel’s direction, but they don’t want this what comes next. This all seems far too public, like this internal disagreement between the Revolutionary Guard and the (new) more moderate President was “leaked” by the Iranian government itself.

    If they make threats and then back off too quickly, they look weak. If they pretend that the hardliners want to go ape-shit, and only the nice guy president is holding them back (but he will prevail), they can save face.

    > Masoud Pezeshkian, the newly elected president and a comparative moderate who defeated the IRGC’s candidate in elections last month, has suggested targeting secret Israeli bases in Iran’s neighbouring countries.
    >
    > Iran has previously targeted what it refers to as “spy bases” of Mossad, the Israeli intelligence agency, in Iraqi Kurdistan.

    This seems like is a signal to Israel; something along the lines of, “Get your people out of the way so we can attack these places and call it a victory without killing Israelis and escalating this shitshow we’ve created for ourselves.”

    You don’t tell your enemies where you are going to hit them unless you are merely trying to save face with what *looks* like a proportional response (but is far less) because you want the whole thing to stop.

22. Question: Iran and Israel aren’t officially at war right? So what on earth gives them the right to shoot a rocket at another nation’s capital? I am aware that they aren’t quite fond of one another. But still. This must be against quite a few laws right?. But if this escalates further there are a lot of very good people victimized. Remember that the vast majority of Israel, Palistine, Iran, north Korea or any country for that matter are good people. They don’t deserve this.

    Imagine what the response would be if for example Turkey fires a rocket on Athens because some anti Turkey rebels are hiding there. It’s completely insane if you think about it.

    For fucks sake stay sane and stop this killing. The area is big enough for all to live together in peace. These are absolutely gorgeous countries, diverse, filled with cultural heritage. There are too many conflicts raging now. We should prevent a bigger worldwide conflict. Can someone in power please be the wise one and stop it.

23. It’s a facade. Irans president is the Supreme Leaders court jester and royal fluffer.

24. They still haven’t retaliated.

25. “Top generals within the IRGC are insisting on a direct strike on Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities, focusing on military bases to avoid civilian casualties.”
    It’s ironic to hear the IRGC talk about avoiding civilian casualties. Once the military machine starts rolling, civilian lives will be the last thing on their minds.