Nate Silver: Democrats more than doubled their chance of winning overnight

39 comments

1. It’s weird, but I hope it stays “slight.” People can’t get complacent, everyone has to keep their foot on the gas.

2. I’m torn. I like the hot take but I hate Nate Silver.

3. Advisor: The good news is that we just tripled our chance of winning, sir!

   Trump: So what’s the bad news?

   Advisor: We had a 0% chance of winning.

4. Nate Silver on Monday released an updated forecast for the presidential election, and he has Kamala Harris as a slight favorite over Donald Trump. Silver joins Morning Joe to discuss 2024 and his new book ‘On the Edge’.
     
   That’s it.  That’s the entire “article”

5. Make plans to vote.

6. When Nate speaks, I listen.

7. Trump’s ceiling is dropping.

   He is shook. The sky is falling.

8. https://www.usa.gov/register-to-vote

   • ⁠Check your registration here as well. Some states have purged voter rolls and you may need to register again.
   • ⁠Some states require you to register 30 days before the election you wish to vote in.
   • ⁠If you have questions check with your local election officials.

9. Volunteer. Donate. Vote.

10. Wearing a hat on national TV isn’t fooling anyone Nate. I say this as someone who understands your struggle. Just shave your head already.

11. Nothing happens unless you actually vote

12. Is there a link to the forecast or this just an article talking about the forecast while not giving any actual details of it.

    Edit. There is a video. Could not tell on mobile.

13. I want POTUS, house, and senate!!!!

    VOTE

14. I’m not sure what a doubled chance is supposed to mean? She already had just over a 50% chance, and obviously you can’t double that. It seems he means the difference between her chance and Trump’s chance has doubled. But, it’s really only a very small increase in her chance of winning.

15. It’s crazy to think America will end up voting for a black woman, never thought it was possible (I know the race ain’t over yet). But then again, I never thought Obama would win.

    Every once in a while, America pleasantly surprises me 🙂

16. Do not get complacent. Vote, vote, vote.

17. There’s no James Comey this time.

18. I’m not holding my breath. I keep thinking about Nate’s call in 2016.

    If there is a big turnout, the chance is strong. However if people assume it’s a done deal, which I hope doesn’t happen, and turnout is low, we will see the Republicans winning.

19. If you’re 30 or under and haven’t voted before or haven’t consistently, make a point to vote this time and show the rest of us that you value your citizenship.

20. The nazi hornets nest is wild on twitter the last couple days. I have never seen them go so hard attacking people. They are definitely worried and, of course, the ultranationalists believe that being even more aggressively hateful is what will bring people to their side.

21. What’s bigger than a wave?

22. Still a toss up election. What we really want to do is completely dominate it so that there’s no space for Trump to launch his rigged election campaign.

23. I’m excited to get out and vote. I thought 2020 was the end, I’ve been waiting 4 fucking years!

24. Trump should do more high profile interviews lol

25. Please don’t repeat 2016 ya’ll. Tell your friends and family members to go out and vote.

26. Vote

27. Any day, Fox will showcase a caravan of immigrant militants careening to the border

28. Did he get paid by the GOP to say this in an effort to suppress dem turnout? Trust no one. Vote.

29. Nate silver is such a genius. He had this as a toss up a week ago

30. He’s annoying

31. idc what Nate Silver says. He also said that Hillary had a 80% chance of defeating Trump.

    VOTE!

32. Let’s run up the score on these weirdos.

33. To keep that momentum, the Dems need a good convention and then a solid strategy for all the down ballet candidates going forward.

34. I don’t care if Harris is up 30% in every poll on earth.

    VOTE! GO OUT AND VOTE. BRING YOUR FRIENDS TO VOTE.

35. Register to vote, fools!

36. remember they said Trump had a 29 percent chance to win in 2016 over. get out and vote regardless of what the polls say

37. Don’t care, act like we’re down 20, make it such a large margin that the orange tumor on the colon of democracy can’t cry foul

38. So, fun fact. I’ve somehow voted for every winning President all the way back to Bush in 2000. I’ll be voting for Harris.

39. The only way Democrats can win is by people going out and voting for them. So go out and vote Democrat this November.