Kamala Harris may be the first Democratic presidential nominee to win seniors since Al Gore

https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/29/politics/kamala-harris-senior-voters-election-analysis/index.html

29 comments

  1. Trump plans on bankrupting the government with all the tax cuts. Guess the programs taking the biggest hits? If seniors vote for Trump, they’re cutting their own throats.

  3. To increase her chances of winning, Kamala should focus on PA, MI, and WI.

    However, this is an interesting demographic shift, and we are seeing the Florida polls come in closer that expected. It will be interesting to see how that works out. That said, Harris supporters budget will still likely have a bigger impact elsewhere (PA).

  5. Not surprising considering:
    – GOP position is typically toxic toward social security and Medicaid
    – Seniors remember when both party nominees actually acted at least vaguely “presidential”

  6. In 2020 polls massively overestimated Biden’s support from seniors. That might have come from liberal seniors staying home due to COVID, but in general I’d say seniors are the biggest reason to be skeptical of the polls.

  7. without seniors what possible demographic could trump have left?

  8. I can only really throw my experience in on this. My grandma has, to my knowledge, always leaned right (center right at the very least). I was recently talking about the news with her and she was disgusted by Trump/Vance’s comments about Haitians and called them assholes. She’s not the type to swear but she did in this case.

    I wouldn’t say to extrapolate that to all seniors, but I know she’s not the only one turned off by it.

  9. The seniors now, were in their 40s when gore ran for office, and he won that group. It makes sense they, now in their 60s and 70s, would be voting for Kamala.

  10. If Harris wins the 65+ age group this election won’t be even close. I’m not sure it will happen, but they’re too big and too important for the GOP. Democrats also have an unbroken 20 year track record of absolutely crushing it on among Millenials and Gen Z. I don’t believe for a second any poll that suggests otherwise.

  11. Geezer here, she’s got my vote.

    Also don’t forget that a crap ton of older folks took retirement during COVID, and those folks are now super-aware of any threat to Social Security or Medicare, which the Repubs promise to cut. So assuming at least a percentage of those people are paying attention…

  14. Because the Greatest Generation and Baby Boomers are more Democratic than the Silent Generation.

  15. I was driving through one of the poshy senior living golf course developments in the next, very red, county over from me yesterday and there were a ton of Harris/Walz signs out on lawns— more than I ever expected to see. And not a single Trump sign anywhere. It gives me hope.

  16. If she wins a majority of seniors, this election is going to be a landslide. Trump is winning young men by a large margin, but they are the least likely to vote. Dude, I totally meant to vote but had a bitchin’ hangoverQ

  18. Yeah not suprising, she also has negative favorably with young people which hasn’t happened in decades. She is essentially running as mitt romney

  19. I mean that’s great and all. But how did that turn out for Al Gore?

  21. Don’t get complacent! Please make sure to check your registration and vote! Also please consider volunteering to help get the vote out!!

  22. And some of us remember Al Gore didn’t win. So she has support from the group that lost.

  24. Im cautious, but I don’t trust the media and their polls. The media likes the rat race and I don’t believe it’s as close as they say it is. I’ve been burned before, so I might be wrong, but I don’t think Trump has any chance.

  25. Among all the age groups, seniors turnout to vote in the highest percentage, by far

  26. If she wins seniors I don’t understand how any of the polls are tied

  27. I’ve been spending too much time working. I read this as AI Gore. As in there is some artificial intelligence/LLM called Gore. 

  29. What would seniors possibly have against a nominee like Donald Trump who spectacularly failed to prevent excess COVID deaths that hit seniors the hardest, leading a Republican party that repeatedly talks about gutting social security?

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