[OC] How many times has your state had a final margin of victory of <5%, <3%, and <1% in the presidential election? (1960-present)

Posted by czarxander

19 comments

  1. Dataset: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NytnimLbKrhlJL5fjR1v9ecD0S7Tchnq2jTSKqcNSwo/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NytnimLbKrhlJL5fjR1v9ecD0S7Tchnq2jTSKqcNSwo/edit?usp=sharing&authuser=0)

    Source: [uselectionatlas.org](http://uselectionatlas.org/)

    Tools: Google Sheets and MapChart.

    Question to answer: how many times has each state finished with a margin of victory of 5%, 3%, or and 1% in the 16 presidential elections since 1960?

    **MOV <5% top 5:**
    1: WI (10 occurrences)
    =2: PA (8)
    =2: NC (8)
    =2: NV (8)
    =2: FL (8)

    **MOV <3% top 5:**
    =1: PA (6 occurrences)
    =1: NV (6)
    =1: FL (6)
    =4: WI (5)
    =4: NC (5)
    =4: OH (5)

    **MOV <1% top 5:**
    1: WI (4 occurrences)
    2: NM (3)
    =3: GA (2)
    =3: AZ (2)
    =3: NC (2)
    =3: FL (2)
    =3: IA (2)
    =3: MO (2)
    =3: OR (2)

    Re: 1960 cutoff: the 1960 US presidential election was the first to include Alaska and Hawaii, each having acquired statehood in 1959.

  2. Surprised to see Wisconsin is such an outlier! Nice post

  3. To all those people complaining: You have a map with a gradient!

  4. Why does Montana look like Stellan Skarsgard in profile.

  5. Surprised to see South Carolina had so many.

    Thanks for the info!

  6. An interesting fact about my home state of Wisconsin is that since 1988, only one candidate has gotten over 50% of the vote in the Presidential election: Barack Obama.

  8. This is interesting. I wish it was easier to see the difference between 0 occurrences and 1 occurrence on my screen. When they are right next to each other I can sorta make it out. Indiana, Vermont, and Alabama I think are each 1 occurrence but I’m not sure because they are next to dark colors and just look white. They just barely look darker than the background which they happen to touch. But I also notice that the background is slightly gray – it isn’t the same white as the 0. I would have started 1 a little darker or used a pattern background for 0 to clarify.

    Edit: oh I just realized there are three images. It’s a lot easier to tell in images 2 and 3 because of less dark colors overall!

  12. The Latino vote going for Trump in Florida is the best example of how propaganda works.

  13. My state has one total election represented here.

    How does my vote for president matter?

  14. My state? That title sounds funny for someone not living in USA.

  15. Does this chart actually reveal the states:

    Most likely to be involved in voting system “Shenanigans”?

    Because if you did a poll on Coke vs Pepsi there will be a much wider range in all the states.

    .

  16. This is like that bell curve format but for what states are important to campaign in.

  17. My state has been so Republican due to the Mormon church’s influence, and is a “winner takes all” state for the electoral college that any other vote hasn’t mattered for over 40 years for the presidential election.

  18. A French minister while commenting on Trump’s stance on NATO and Ukraine recently said “the safety of Europe shouldn’t be dependent on what people in Wisconsin vote for every four years”. Implying Europe should up its military budgets.

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