Submission Statement: “Russia is preparing for war in the Baltic.” Russia’s plans to target NATO next after Ukraine, likely focusing on the Baltic states, as revealed through investigations by journalists in Poland, Lithuania, and Estonia. Edward Lucas describes how Russia is reconstituting its forces near the Baltic states while also using Kaliningrad as a base to facilitate sabotage and perpetrate attacks on infrastructure similar to those already used in Lithuania in 2015. Russia aims to pose strategic dilemmas to NATO with sub-threshold attacks and that NATO’s limited responses so far have weakened its credibility, meaning even a small unpunished attack on its territory would end the alliance. Therefore, these frontline states must develop strong defense and deterrence or risk jeopardizing Europe’s safety and freedom.
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Submission Statement: “Russia is preparing for war in the Baltic.” Russia’s plans to target NATO next after Ukraine, likely focusing on the Baltic states, as revealed through investigations by journalists in Poland, Lithuania, and Estonia. Edward Lucas describes how Russia is reconstituting its forces near the Baltic states while also using Kaliningrad as a base to facilitate sabotage and perpetrate attacks on infrastructure similar to those already used in Lithuania in 2015. Russia aims to pose strategic dilemmas to NATO with sub-threshold attacks and that NATO’s limited responses so far have weakened its credibility, meaning even a small unpunished attack on its territory would end the alliance. Therefore, these frontline states must develop strong defense and deterrence or risk jeopardizing Europe’s safety and freedom.
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