How long will it take this time?

by noble-baka

15 comments
  1. As the government formation is going badly again, I had another look at our previous track record and noticed that a big increase in the time it takes since N-VA joined the negotiation table…

    Maybe BDW isn’t as great a negotiator as he tries to make it look in the media, or at least not a speedy one.

    Of course I know all other parties are also involved, but the N-VA and thus BDW had an important role in all negotiations since he became party leader.

  2. Is there anyone who could ELI5 why it’s taking so much longer since 2007 to form a government?

  3. Surely there isn’t another omitted variable that could partly explain the increase.

  4. I see you long for simpler times and are pushing an agenda, with misinformation & misleading conclusions.

    For example.
    In 2011, De Wever had been kicked out of the negotiations, and the formation still took more than a year.
    [https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regeringsformatie_Belgi%C3%AB_2010-2011](https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regeringsformatie_Belgi%C3%AB_2010-2011)

    https://preview.redd.it/7trhg5r12i0e1.png?width=636&format=png&auto=webp&s=882b53d4326539d15f9d715350b6cb4d2cc54c0b

    What you’re actually proving is that a union-ruled nation can no longer reform.

  5. ***Cum hoc ergo propter hoc*** ([Latijn](https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Latijn): met dit, dus vanwege dit) is een [drogredenering](https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drogreden) waarbij twee gebeurtenissen die samen optreden ten onrechte worden voorgesteld als oorzaak en gevolg. Een verband ([correlatie](https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlatie)) is op zichzelf geen bewijs van een oorzakelijk verband ([causaliteit](https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oorzakelijkheid)).

    [Cum hoc ergo propter hoc – Wikipedia ](https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cum_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc)

  6. Could you add another variable? I think it would be interesting to add a line showing the results of the extreme parties (VB, pvda), as that narrows the options to form a government without the extremes.

    Not sure how it would look, but it could give some insights on whether or not those votes are impacting the duration of the formation.

  7. No, its obviously caused by the iPhone – no coincidence – also 2007!

    Thats Some good correlation!

  8. Now it’s Conner who is to blame. We already could have a government.

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