A few charts regarding voting results and trends in US Presidential elections over the last few decades.
Tools: Python, Excel
Calculations:
1. “Did Not Vote” counts were estimated using reported vote counts and participation rates
2. The 2024 results were estimated using current vote share and state level reporting rates via AP News. Assumes that remaining votes will split for each candidate using the current state level voting share.
3. 2024 “Did Not Vote” counts were calculated using estimated 2024 voting population and the estimated total vote projections from above.
Sources:
Participation Rates: Michael McDonald. 2023. “National Voting Eligible Population Turnout Rates, 1789-Present”
Historical Voting Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, 2017, “U.S. President 1976–2020”
This is one of the saddest charts I’ve ever seen. Not the visual design, but the implications.
A better illustration would have all 3 side by side for each year. This is basically 3 separate graphs as is (slide 1)
Now do miderms and primaries.
This dispels the myth that one party wins all the high turnout elections. The split is almost perfect between the parties.
I’ve had enough election stuff for a bit
Who was the popular “other” in 1992?
How you blame non voters without blaming non voters.
Nothing but respect for MY president
Nothing gets democrats to vote like having a Republican incumbent president…
Why not do this as a 100% stacked bar?
good stuff!
next time maybe distinguish between eligible voters and voting age.
voter registration is relatively high in the US but it lags enough behind total voting age adults that it’s worth noting. a further distinction can be made between those who are registered, eligible to register but not (including non-registration by reason), and those who cannot legally register (some felons, noncitizens, territorial residents) but are voting age adults. wouldnt hurt to show everyone who is not voting age (children) as well.
Can you make graph 3 but involving “did not vote”, i.e. including all registered voters? It would also be interesting to see numbers for “eligible to register but did not” – i.e. are voter suppression tactics paying off in red states?
People have died for this democracy and so many people can’t be bothered to vote
14 comments
A few charts regarding voting results and trends in US Presidential elections over the last few decades.
Tools: Python, Excel
Calculations:
1. “Did Not Vote” counts were estimated using reported vote counts and participation rates
2. The 2024 results were estimated using current vote share and state level reporting rates via AP News. Assumes that remaining votes will split for each candidate using the current state level voting share.
3. 2024 “Did Not Vote” counts were calculated using estimated 2024 voting population and the estimated total vote projections from above.
Sources:
Participation Rates: Michael McDonald. 2023. “National Voting Eligible Population Turnout Rates, 1789-Present”
Historical Voting Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, 2017, “U.S. President 1976–2020”
2024 Results: AP News
2024 Eligible Voter Population: [https://bipartisanpolicy.org](https://bipartisanpolicy.org)
This is one of the saddest charts I’ve ever seen. Not the visual design, but the implications.
A better illustration would have all 3 side by side for each year. This is basically 3 separate graphs as is (slide 1)
Now do miderms and primaries.
This dispels the myth that one party wins all the high turnout elections. The split is almost perfect between the parties.
I’ve had enough election stuff for a bit
Who was the popular “other” in 1992?
How you blame non voters without blaming non voters.
Nothing but respect for MY president
Nothing gets democrats to vote like having a Republican incumbent president…
Why not do this as a 100% stacked bar?
good stuff!
next time maybe distinguish between eligible voters and voting age.
voter registration is relatively high in the US but it lags enough behind total voting age adults that it’s worth noting. a further distinction can be made between those who are registered, eligible to register but not (including non-registration by reason), and those who cannot legally register (some felons, noncitizens, territorial residents) but are voting age adults. wouldnt hurt to show everyone who is not voting age (children) as well.
Can you make graph 3 but involving “did not vote”, i.e. including all registered voters? It would also be interesting to see numbers for “eligible to register but did not” – i.e. are voter suppression tactics paying off in red states?
People have died for this democracy and so many people can’t be bothered to vote
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