
People have talked about it a little on here, but I want to know what the REAL threat is and how worried we should actually be.
What is your take?
Ignore the link.
https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-wins-second-term-policies-de3dcf0f173b42602b258042fd7aaafb
Posted by Prisoner8621
9 comments
What’s the chance of a nuclear war not happening in the next 30 years? Probably zero. So why does it matter if it happens in the next 4 years?
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All out global nuclear wars probably less than 5%.
But small area tactical nuclear strikes and wars ? Most then likely 30%.
What would be the global effects of small, tactical, nuclear strikes?
All I know is that it’s supposedly the biggest threat to Michigan manufacturing
Yall need to give madman theory more credit.
Honestly, I think trump reduces the risk of nuclear war. The Chinese are less likely to push for Taiwan. And he’s more likely to let the Chinese have it.
The risk of a nuclear escalation in Ukraine dropped when the Russians gained the upper hand in the conflict
Russia need at least 2-3 years building Avangard missiles before all-out war can take place. It is more likely that tactical weapons will be used first, especially if Ukraine is lucky enough to hit a very high value target or kills a lot of civilians. There are plenty of hard-liners in Russia that will demand it. The only thing that is holding them back is Putin.
I don’t think it’d be very high. The ground on which a nuclear war is to be presupposed would be a global war. And though Trump’s administration might severely botch several diplomatic endeavours, I doubt it itself would see the ignition of an international inferno if it positions itself as isolationist as Trump says it would be. On the other hand, it might just create an instable enough international space, resulting in the proliferation of nuclear weaponry among nations that feel either emboldened or threatened by the instability. And that could generate the prerequisites of a nuclear inferno and the consequent nuclear frost. The memory of Hiroshima seems to have thawed in the minds of those behind the offices and in the podiums.
So, during the Trump administration? I think it’s just very unlikely. But in the wake of the waste that it’d leave behind? Who knows, potentially.
Realistically if you factor in any nations natural instinct of self preservation, nuclear war is not an option ever.
Plus Russia won’t use it because of China (amongst many other reasons) and China wouldn’t use it because that wouldn’t be in their best interests.
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