China-India ties to be more resilient in the Trump 2.0 era

2 comments

1. SS: Writing for the Lowy Institute, Daniel Balazs highlights recent signs of rapprochement between China and India, but the implications for India-U.S. relations cast a troubling shadow. Despite decades of U.S. support to counterbalance China, recent developments, such as a border patrol agreement between Beijing and New Delhi, suggest a potential erosion of Washington’s influence in the region. While Balazs underscores the economic pragmatism driving India to recalibrate its ties with China, it is hard to overlook how this shift may strain its strategic partnership with the United States. As Beijing seizes the opportunity to exploit India’s vulnerabilities and foster economic interdependence, the trust underpinning India-U.S. relations could falter. The incoming Trump administration, with its history of punitive tariffs and transactional policies, may exacerbate these tensions, pushing New Delhi further toward Beijing. While Balazs stops short of painting a grim picture, it is my view that such developments signal a precarious future for India-U.S. ties, threatening to upend decades of careful collaboration and leaving Washington scrambling to regain its foothold in the region.

2. India will be throwing away a huge chance to take advantage of American technology sharing, defence cooperation and investments which is key for India’s manufacturing dreams if they get cozy up with China. India should take advantage of US-China brewing rivalry and strengthen their inventory.

   But US has to take one step towards improving relations too. If Washington throws tantrums and tariffs at India then it doesn’t help either of the countries.

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