China sends officials to study effects of sanctions on Russia as it eyes up Taiwan invasion
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/12/01/china-russia-central-bank-ukraine-taiwan-us-sanctions/
China sends officials to study effects of sanctions on Russia as it eyes up Taiwan invasion
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/12/01/china-russia-central-bank-ukraine-taiwan-us-sanctions/
27 comments
**From The Telegraph’s Wiliam Yang in Taipei:**
China has [sent officials to the Russian central bank](https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/06/25/russia-china-trade-direct-central-asia/) to study the effects of Western sanctions for a better understanding of how it would be affected if it were to invade Taiwan.
Beijing had already set up a task force months after Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, which was tasked with producing reports about the impacts of Western sanctions on the Russian economy.
China is [“very interested” in “practically everything”](https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/05/19/russia-china-ties-direct-threat-to-democracy-says-shapps/) about the sanctions, including potentially positive effects on domestic production, a person with knowledge of the specialist task force told the Wall Street Journal.
Meanwhile, China vowed “resolute countermeasures” on Sunday after the US approved an [arms shipment to Taiwan](https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/11/07/china-navy-new-amphibious-ship-possible-invasion-taiwan/).
In addition to reports produced through the inter-agency, Chinese officials have been sent on recurring trips to Moscow’s central bank, ministry of finance and other government agencies that deal with Western sanctions.
“For the Chinese, [Russia is really a sandbox](https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/09/04/putin-is-xis-puppet-he-just-doesnt-realise-it-yet/) on how sanctions work and how to manage them. They know that if there is a Taiwan contingency, the tool kit that will be applied against them will be similar,” said Alexander Gabuev, director of Carnegie Russia Eurasia Centre.
Russia’s economy defied expectations after Western sanctions were imposed, with consumer confidence increasing and wages growing in the months after the invasion.
However, the Kremlin was recently forced to reassure Russians who feared they would be significantly impacted by the sudden collapse of the rouble, which plunged to its lowest level since the invasion began.
The creation of a task force reflects deepening relations between Beijing and Moscow. Chinese companies are believed to be [playing a pivotal role](https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/comment/2024/11/26/xi-jinping-already-outmanoeuvred-donald-trump-tariff-war/) in the supply of weapons used by Russia in Ukraine.
It also reflects concerns in Beijing over the $3.3 trillion it holds in foreign-exchange reserves – the largest in the world.
Officials in China have therefore been tasked with [diversifying away from dollar-denominated assets](https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/12/24/xi-jinping-china-dollar-dominance-saudi-arabia-deal/), including American treasury bonds.
Western sanctions on China triggered by an invasion of Taiwan could put $3.7 trillion in Chinese [overseas bank assets and reserves at risk](https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/05/12/china-fortifying-economy-war-with-west/), according to a report by the Atlantic Council and Rhodium Group .
One lesson China has learnt from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is preparation, according to analysts, after watching how Russia diversified foreign reserves and de-dollarised its economy in the months before February 2022.
**Article Link:** [https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/12/01/china-russia-central-bank-ukraine-taiwan-us-sanctions/](https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/12/01/china-russia-central-bank-ukraine-taiwan-us-sanctions/)
Oh the sanctions on Russia are going to be trivial compare to the sanctions on China for invading the semiconductor manufacturer for the world.
And the conclusion is that it works, not to the extends it was intended but Russia having to get so many middlemen to circumvent the sanctions shows that it was far from useless or empowering like Russia wanted people to believe.
More reason for China to support Russia and US war efforts against each other. To see what the end game is, while China remains unscathed.
Any chance the ccp is gonna get an honest report on that?
Their findings? It took a while but it eventually destroyed their economy. Ruble began free-falling on the open market a few days ago forcing Russia to halt trading y till the new year.
Taiwan is the definition of “be irreplaceable at your job” because of semiconductors.
The economic impact of the war in Ukraine is *nothing* compared to what a potential Taiwan invasion would bring. I doubt China is dumb enough to think anything worthwhile regarding Taiwan could be learned from the situation in Ukraine, at least economically.
Maybe they might look at Ukraine and see if you invade a neighbour and threaten nukes occasionally then the West will keep folding and eventually reward you for it.
“Hmmm Russia seems to be getting away with this invasion thing…HMMMMMMMM……HMMMMMMM”
I think this is the big mistake of the Trump administration campaigning on being the reason for peace and having no wars. It could be difficult to switch stance quickly to being a president handling two or possibly three major wars at once and I think with the cabinet positions he’s picked they could be in for a really tough. Going to war is never easy but this is the best chance that China might have.
China don’t need to worry about sanctions that take long time to work
The need to worry about that naval blockade
This news plus this
https://apnews.com/article/china-taiwan-former-president-ma-xi-jinping-beijing-meeting-1b3651e41b04dbe2fd572afbe9b17b29
Sounds terrible
They can do it for free in the next four years if they offer FailurePOTUS a t-bone and some ketchup.
China is already sanctioned without invading anything. With Trump threatening more tariffs while not even im the office, is it really that hard to come up with a reason why they might want to investigate what US sanction would do to you?
China invades Taiwan that’s WW3 not because its going to be Esspecially violent but because THE ENTIRE MODERN GLOBAL ECONOMY hinges on Taiwan exporting computer chips, the world will immediately grind to a halt to beat China into the dirt, it’ll be chaotic, violent, and probably has a higher chance of being nuclear
It makes no sense in this era to even be fighting over land. Keep the borders as they are and just trade with each other. But no we gotta have all the toys on the playground.
Report begins:
Yep it’s shit, and cold. Peasants are revolting. Recommendations: continue to attack the sea. Chat maaaaad shit (keep the peasants happy). Do not invade. Buy more properties in the west.
The threats of invasion are what’s causing Taiwan to be so separate.
If China simply sat around being rich, happy and peaceful, Taiwan would drift back into its orbit because of the force of money.
Taiwan would sell better, cheaper stuff to China, and China would sell more to Taiwan.
They’d both be better off. No one would be worse off.
War could kill many people and eliminate Taiwan’s ability to make or buy much of anything for decades. The survivors would, at best, quietly wait for a chance to rebel.
Such an illogical waste of energy, money and lives.
Sanctions would hit China a lot differently than they would Russia though. My biggest fear is the collective West being extra reluctant to impose them because they thought it was a great idea to tie their economic prosperity to China.
Listen I know dictators are surrounded only by yes men that keeps telling them what they wanna hear…. But China invading Taiwan would be 10 times worst than Ukraine in terms of military disaster.
China is looking at an amphibious landing around 3-4 times bigger than D-Day, the biggest modern military operation ever put together.
Amphibious landings are known to be the most difficult military operation out there. If you need more exemples, google Iwo Jima lol
China trying to land on Taiwan with non existent military experience is a recipe for a bloodbath, pretty much no one from foot soldiers to generals have been in combat since the Vietnam war.
It took 2 years and the entire industrial output of the USA, UK, Canada, European Allies and other to manage to have all the equipment needed. They took all the lessons they learned from 4 years of war with Germany and applied it to D-Day.
And it almost didn’t work …. What really put the Allies over the top was the element of surprise. Something China will never have thanks to satellites.
A build up to invade Taiwan will be obvious for a solid 6 months before an invasion. Then crossing the fucking strait , Taiwan having to top notch weaponry…. It’s just wow 😂
China trying to invade Taiwan would led to the death of millions of Chinese man aged between 20-35…. A demographic China cannot afford to loose.
We haven’t even mentioned a blockade of China by the USA….
ANYWAY…. The point is: China trying to invade Taiwan is like asking your 4 year old nephew to go fight Pereira lol
China hedging on the US just opting out of everything but sanctions.
Please wait another 10 years so I can be ineligible for draft. I promise I’ll make all the tanks and artillery shells I can, even with arthritis.
Just don’t do it China.. Be friendly to the West. Build good relations. What will war achieve for you and your population.
It’ll never happen. China has next to no support in Taiwan, particularly in the younger generation. They can never occupy an island of 25m people where all the fighting age men oppose them.
what good will that do them? its not like their trade patterns are even remotely similar.
and the US and the EU actually have a larger economic interest in Taiwan
China is even more vulnerable to sanctions than Russia because China is very dependent on foreign trade. Russia is more self-sufficient, on the other hand.
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