[OC] Profitability of Betting on Goals Under 3.5 in the English Premier League (Current Season)

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1. I analysed the *Goals Under 3.5* betting market for all 130 English Premier League matches this season. The question: would you have made a consistent profit by betting on this market every game?

   Here’s what the data says:

   * **Total Matches:** 130
   * **Winning Bets:** 89
   * **Winning Percentage:** 68.46%
   * **Total Profit (Avg Odds):** $99.60

   *For this analysis, I compiled average odds from 19 bookmakers and used a standard 1-unit stake size ($10 per match).*

   Interestingly, before their match against Everton this weekend, Manchester United was the only team to have Under 3.5 goals in all of their first 12 matches of the season. They exceeded the Over 3.5 goal mark for the first time just this weekend. Will this trend continue under Ruben Amorim?

   Betting on this market has been profitable overall, but it’s a reminder that past results don’t guarantee future success.

   What other markets or leagues would you like to see me analyse? I have odds and in-game statistics data for 50 domestic leagues around the world.

   *A bit of a self-plug: I’m also reachable on* [Threads](https://www.threads.net/@cassarpacerobert)*,* %5BX%5D(https://x.com/RCassarPace) *and* %5BLinkedIn%5D(https://www.linkedin.com/in/cassarpacerobert/)*.*

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