The Arctic Could Be Functionally Ice-Free in Just a Few Years

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-arctic-could-be-functionally-ice-free-in-just-a-few-years/

by handuder

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  1. >The research — which relies on climate models simulating trends in global temperatures and Arctic sea ice concentrations — warns the only way to avoid an ice-free day within the next few years is to cut emissions fast enough to stay consistent with the Paris Agreement’s most ambitious goal, capping global warming at 1.5 degrees Celsius.

    >Yet experts agree the world is all but certain to blow past that target, with current global climate pledges putting the planet on track for more than 2.6 C of warming by the end of the century.

    >That means the Arctic’s first ice-free day is likely to occur within two decades, the new study finds. But if the right conditions line up, it could happen within three to six years.

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