Submission Statement: “Rebel advances through the cities and hinterland of Syria reveal a Russia that’s strong on rhetoric and short of hard power.” Benjamin Dubow discusses how recent rebel advances in Syria, particularly the fall of Aleppo, highlight Russia’s diminishing influence and military power in the region. Despite its historical role as a key security guarantor, Russia’s response has been minimal, reflecting a broader pattern of weakened support for its allies amid the ongoing war in Ukraine. Former allies, like Armenia and Central Asian states, are seeking alternative security arrangements, providing further evidence of a decline in Russia’s geopolitical standing.
Yeah, these are some great developments. Thanks Ukraine!
If you think Russia is weak because a proxy loses to Turkey’s invasion, what do you think of US getting its arse kicked by a bunch of “mud hut dwellers” not once but every time since 1953?
Once Syria completely collapses and becomes a vacuum filled by terrorism and other shenanigans does the West claim victory and welcome all the refugees. It’s a proxy war without any real end point; just a proxy war to have a proxy war.
I think Putin just found one of his old toys though, so I his focus might have been elsewhere
The triumphalism annoys me a little bit. Russia has been exposed in Ukraine to a significant extent, but maybe we hold off on dancing on its grave? They may still win in Ukraine, and might eventually bounce back in Syria too
Syria won’t be collapsing anytime soon. It is ridiculous to think otherwise. A lot of people hate Assad but that doesn’t mean they will back jihadists instead. Especially not ones that choose to go up against both Iran and Russia’s interests. A long term conflict in Syria helps no one except maybe Israel at the expense of everyone else. Europe would get more refugees, US and Gulf State oil would be put into jeopardy.
Despite this temporary distraction, the end result will most likely be a deeper entrenched Iran in Syria since they will be doing most of the heavy lifting, which also benefits Russia in the end.
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Submission Statement: “Rebel advances through the cities and hinterland of Syria reveal a Russia that’s strong on rhetoric and short of hard power.” Benjamin Dubow discusses how recent rebel advances in Syria, particularly the fall of Aleppo, highlight Russia’s diminishing influence and military power in the region. Despite its historical role as a key security guarantor, Russia’s response has been minimal, reflecting a broader pattern of weakened support for its allies amid the ongoing war in Ukraine. Former allies, like Armenia and Central Asian states, are seeking alternative security arrangements, providing further evidence of a decline in Russia’s geopolitical standing.
Yeah, these are some great developments. Thanks Ukraine!
If you think Russia is weak because a proxy loses to Turkey’s invasion, what do you think of US getting its arse kicked by a bunch of “mud hut dwellers” not once but every time since 1953?
Once Syria completely collapses and becomes a vacuum filled by terrorism and other shenanigans does the West claim victory and welcome all the refugees. It’s a proxy war without any real end point; just a proxy war to have a proxy war.
I think Putin just found one of his old toys though, so I his focus might have been elsewhere
The triumphalism annoys me a little bit. Russia has been exposed in Ukraine to a significant extent, but maybe we hold off on dancing on its grave? They may still win in Ukraine, and might eventually bounce back in Syria too
Syria won’t be collapsing anytime soon. It is ridiculous to think otherwise. A lot of people hate Assad but that doesn’t mean they will back jihadists instead. Especially not ones that choose to go up against both Iran and Russia’s interests. A long term conflict in Syria helps no one except maybe Israel at the expense of everyone else. Europe would get more refugees, US and Gulf State oil would be put into jeopardy.
Despite this temporary distraction, the end result will most likely be a deeper entrenched Iran in Syria since they will be doing most of the heavy lifting, which also benefits Russia in the end.
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