Judging by the Livemap of Syria, rebel forces are on the outskirts of Homs, close to cutting off the M20 highway, which is the last overland supply line in Syria to the Russian controlled port of Tartus. Looks like Russia is about to lose it’s only Mediterranean port.

15 comments

1. Nice

2. I looked at the map earlier today, there is a major road from Al Qusayr south of Homs to Hadidah west of Homs that also needs to be shut off.

3. They still have the road from Al Qusair south of Homs.

4. Oh no would you look at that my sympathy cups been empty for years. Fuck Putin and his axis of evil.

5. Cutting the supply lines will be a bigger blow to Assad than Putin, at least initially– arms shipments from Russia generally came through the port en route to Syrian forces.

   Theoretically, Russia could decide to keep the base, even in a hostile environment, through seaborne resupply and threats of retribution if attacked (think about what would happen if Cuba attached Guantanamo bay). That Russia is evacuating tartus over the past couple of days suggests that Russia really is stretched so far by Ukraine that they’d be unable to respond.

   Putin tried to increase power projection back to the glorious USSR days, but the reality is he can’t. Unfortunately, if he decides to abandon Syria, it’ll free up those resources to deploy against Ukraine.

6. They already withdrew their ships from Tartus per the dec 3rd ISW report

7. Oh no what happened to your warm water port Putin?

8. DO IT

9. # The Druze in Suwayda province have taken control of the province and demand that the Assad regime forces leave the area.

   *Armed groups in Syria’s Suwayda province give Assad regime forces 24-hour ultimatum to leave*

   *Local armed groups take control of Suwayda Police Headquarters building*

   *Local armed groups in Syria’s Suwayda province, where the majority are Druze religious people, issued a 24-hour ultimatum to regime forces on Friday to leave the area and prevent bloodshed.*

   [https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/armed-groups-in-syria-s-suwayda-province-give-assad-regime-forces-24-hour-ultimatum-to-leave/3416593](https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/armed-groups-in-syria-s-suwayda-province-give-assad-regime-forces-24-hour-ultimatum-to-leave/3416593)

10. # The shia muslim fundamentalist regime in Iran is becoming increasingly concerned that sunni muslim rebels will take control of Syria and then attack shia muslims in Iraq and Iran.

    *Iran warns rebel advance in Syria poses regional threat*

    *The growing instability in Syria due to rebel advances is contributing to heightened tensions in the region. Iran’s strong stance on supporting Assad and its concerns about the consequences of a collapse in Syria reflect the broader geopolitical struggle in the Middle East.*

    *As the situation unfolds, it is crucial for international powers to assess their involvement and the potential implications for regional security. The ongoing conflict continues to impact neighboring countries, particularly Iraq, which is closely monitoring developments in Syria.*

    [https://www.khaama.com/iran-warns-rebel-advance-in-syria-poses-regional-threat/](https://www.khaama.com/iran-warns-rebel-advance-in-syria-poses-regional-threat/)

    *Iran-backed groups are moving through Iraq towards Syria to support Syrian regime forces, according to local sources on Wednesday, Anadolu has reported. The movements are said to have been ongoing for three days.*

    *The groups enter Syria through the Al-Bukamal border crossing with Iraq, with an estimated 50 vehicles crossing daily. These reinforcements are heading towards front-line areas in Hama.*

    *The groups include fighters from the Fatemiyoun and Zainabiyoun Brigades and members of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Some convoys are equipped with 23 mm anti-aircraft guns and rocket launchers. At least 400 fighters are said to be involved.*

    [https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20241205-iran-backed-groups-move-through-iraq-towards-syria-to-support-regime/](https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20241205-iran-backed-groups-move-through-iraq-towards-syria-to-support-regime/)

11. I know the runoff effects of this won’t bode well for Syria (it’s been a lose/lose for that country for a long while), but dammit all is it going to be funny when the Russians have to pull out of Tartus and Khmeimim.

12. Ports can be supplied by sea that’s kinda the whole point

    What’s more important is that Assad will lose access to potential Russian shipments

13. What is the significance of this port for Russia? Do they take weapon ships from Iran from here?

14. Aleppo is the original Bucha, complete with barrel chemical bombs supplied and dropped by the Russians.
    After 10+ years revenge is a dish best served cold. /s

15. Shit’s moving so fast

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