Iran Begins to Evacuate Military Officials and Personnel From Syria

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/06/world/middleeast/iran-syria-evacuation.html?unlocked_article_code=1.fk4.lL4x.BLFPj62pNDzU&smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

Posted by mghicho

11 comments

  1. Assad’s regime falling wasn’t on anyone’s bingo card. 

  2. Submission Statement: is Iran completely giving up on Syria? Could this be because of reports that Assad thinking of distancing himself from Iran? Or are they seriously incapable of defending him?

  3. Man, you hate to see the bad guys win… but at the same time, you love to see the bad guys lose.

    Welcome to the middle east, right?

  4. >“Iran is starting to evacuate its forces and military personnel because we cannot fight as an advisory and support force if Syria’s army itself does not want to fight,” Mehdi Rahmati, a prominent Iranian analyst who advises officials on regional strategy, said in a telephone interview.

    Is there any analysis into why the Syrian military is unwilling to fight ?

  5. Pro irgc twitter basically turned on him, saying he refused to open a Golan front in support of gaza with Iraqi militias.

    Assad seems done for, the only LONG shot is Egypt sending boots on the ground with KSA/uae funding, both already support him and everyone is uneasy with a Turkish/western back until yesterday terrorist taking over a founding member of the arab league.

    Bashar is hafez’s son and both assads, too dictatorial, cruel and backstabbing, even in the middl5 east, but that seat means something, it shouldn’t go to a guy with alqaeda (2003-2016) on his allegiance page…

  6. Who would have thought that sinwar would bring down the Iranian allied axis of states and militias. Hamas isn’t a major regional player and Gaza is just designed to be ignored. I guess that was the fatal flaw in everyone’s strategy.

    If Iran knew what it knows now, I bet they’d warn Israel of the impending attack. It does not feel like any of this played out to their advantage.

  8. What would Syria falling mean for Israel, Iran and Saudi, respectively?

  11. So what are the betting odds for where Assad is going to flee to? Iran? Russia? Switzerland? Make a last stand in Damascus?

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