I had the sentiment that NATO involvement would mean nuclear war, but why should it? NATO planes shooting down Russian planes over Ukrainian territory, when Ukraine permits NATO to enter is justified. By ruling out no-fly zones and any sort of involvement we’re playing right into his hand.
If we let him hold Ukraine hostage with the threat of nuclear he will do the same to other countries and there’s no guarantee that he won’t do the same with NATO countries. Slow escalation is his modus operandi and he will escalate as far as he is allowed to. A fighter might accidentally end up in NATO airspace, a false flag operation here, just pushing the limits and border kilometer-by-kilometer. Will NATO risk nuclear war for a Romanian flagged ship getting shot? Will NATO risk nuclear war for a tiny corridor to Kaliningrad? This argument can be used to postpone action for a long time. Will we say the same for Taiwan?
Ultimately whether nuclear bombs are used is not up to NATO, it’s up to Putin. There’s really two main options: 1. he’s bluffing, 2. he’s insane and would use nuclear for attack, not just defense.
* If it’s number 1, the sooner the bluff is called the fewer innocent people die and fewer cities are bombed to the ground.
* If it’s number 2, then our only option to avoid nuclear war is to let him take all the territory he wants until he dies.
So, with the exception of a coup in Russia, whether there’s nuclear war is not up to us, that decision has already been made in Putin’s head. The only thing we control is when it is, if there is one.
1 comment
I had the sentiment that NATO involvement would mean nuclear war, but why should it? NATO planes shooting down Russian planes over Ukrainian territory, when Ukraine permits NATO to enter is justified. By ruling out no-fly zones and any sort of involvement we’re playing right into his hand.
If we let him hold Ukraine hostage with the threat of nuclear he will do the same to other countries and there’s no guarantee that he won’t do the same with NATO countries. Slow escalation is his modus operandi and he will escalate as far as he is allowed to. A fighter might accidentally end up in NATO airspace, a false flag operation here, just pushing the limits and border kilometer-by-kilometer. Will NATO risk nuclear war for a Romanian flagged ship getting shot? Will NATO risk nuclear war for a tiny corridor to Kaliningrad? This argument can be used to postpone action for a long time. Will we say the same for Taiwan?
Ultimately whether nuclear bombs are used is not up to NATO, it’s up to Putin. There’s really two main options: 1. he’s bluffing, 2. he’s insane and would use nuclear for attack, not just defense.
* If it’s number 1, the sooner the bluff is called the fewer innocent people die and fewer cities are bombed to the ground.
* If it’s number 2, then our only option to avoid nuclear war is to let him take all the territory he wants until he dies.
So, with the exception of a coup in Russia, whether there’s nuclear war is not up to us, that decision has already been made in Putin’s head. The only thing we control is when it is, if there is one.