Three leading climate scientists have combined insights from 10 global climate models and, with the help of AI, conclude that most of the world will see temperatures rise to 3°C much faster than previously expected.

https://phys.org/news/2024-12-ai-world-temperatures-3c-faster.html

by The_Weekend_Baker

5 comments

  1. Can we not just switch the default setting to “Scientists have been surprised by how many scientists are still surprised it is worse than previously thought” or something.

    This institutional conservatism in science grinds my gears, as does the idea that the majority of earth scientists think they inherently have valid opinions on how to achieve the social license to do what is necessary just because they know a bit about greenhouse gases – most of them are fairly clueless about the social science of large-scale political change in my experience as a campaigner, and they’ve been following the failures of the status quo for 30 years. It is just totally demoralising.

  2. At this point I’m basically a climate denier, in the sense that most things mainstream climate scientists are saying sound to me like either hopium or uninformed BS.

    I mean why are we still talking about 1.5 by 2040? Why even waste the empty space on the page writing that sentence? We’re at sustained 1.6 right now. Today. It’s 2C by 2030, 3C by 2040, and in all likelihood Venus by Tuesday.

  3. The scene that comes to mind is the whiteboard at the beginning of Don’t Look Up.

    Only scientists in the room.

    Only some data on the board.

    And the lead scientist sees the math and gulps.

    Let’s all go home. We’ll double check this in the morning.

    That look of resignation. Like we know EXACTLY what it means the numbers have already been checked over three times.

    All the “science” the last 10 years has not been to prove a hypothesis. It’s been to disprove an old one. And the scientific community keeps reporting back after each analysis of the data.

    “Ugh, we were right. It’s worse than we thought. But we have a new hypothesis about where we might have been wrong”

    Each hypothesis is to try to disprove that the end is coming. And we keep looking at the whiteboard like we missed something.

    We desperately want to have missed something.

  4. So the land around James bay is going to skyrocket 

  5. I plugged it in to my AI and got the exact opposite.

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