Will Assad’s defeat be Putin’s Waterloo? The narrative of Russia’s ascendancy in 2024 is beginning to look like more fiction than fact.

https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2024/12/will-assads-defeat-be-russias-waterloo/401551/?oref=d1-homepage-top-story

by MaryADraper

10 comments

  1. No? Waterloo was the defining battle of Napoleon’s return to France after being exiled. Putin has never been exiled. He isn’t making some notorious do or die gamble to return to power in Russia against an overwhelming coalition army. What a nonsensical comparison.

  2. “Will Assad’s defeat be Putin’s waterloo?”

    We’d all like putin to GDIAF, but betteridge’s law clearly applies. the headline is so cringey awful i’m surprised a us army war college professor had anything to do with it.

    if assad’s defeat was putin’s waterloo, we’d see putin right now struggling to get duma support for further action in ukraine. we are, unfortunately, far from this.

    Slava Ukraini!

  3. What “narrative of Russian ascendancy” is that? There is no such narrative.

  4. If only. I wish we could exile Putin to an island with stomach cancer like the other short guy.

  5. Syria bears some resemblance to Napoleon’s Spanish Campaign of 1808-1814. Essentially, it was a wasted effort that sucked in a lot of men, money, and resources for zero return.

  6. He still won an election in the US so on balance he’s probably fine losing Assad. It’s going to hurt him in the short term, but that new government is going to need money and Russia still has some left so maybe he’ll win the bidding war.

  7. “Beginning to look?”

    No.

    It has always looked like fiction.

    It’s just that it’s increasingly impossible for the press to ignore it. Assad’s demise has really rubbed their nose in reality.

  8. If Putin meets his end it will likely be through a thousand cuts bleeding him out. He may progress in the ground right Ukraine right up to the last day. Internal pressures, other ex-Soviet states emboldened by Ukraine and Syria taking their chance. Perhaps internal discord over the dead and wounded, 28% inflation, etc.

  9. waterloo? no obviously not. napoleon went were his troops went. putin does not.

  10. He’ll find a new backwards country to influence, and I have a strong feeling he’s gonna try Afghanistan because he’s already getting something started there

Comments are closed.