Oldest living person’s age should not be interpolated as a continuous line. Downward slope on that line makes no physical sense.
It’s going to be an interesting time when these lines eventually cross.
If both trend lines continue, at what age will average life expectancy become roughly the same as that of the oldest living person, and how far into the future will this occur?
What strikes me first is you can see the effects of the 1959-1962 Great Leap Forward; 1970-71 Bangladesh cyclone, famine and genocide; & 2020 COVID pandemic on life expectancy.
So fucking little I’m crying
It would be interesting to add a line removing infant/child mortality data.
It’s time to mention the 2024 Ig Nobel Prize in Demography, which was awarded to Saul Justin Newman for discovering that a disproportionate number of the world’s longest-lived people come from regions with poor record-keeping and generous old-age pensions.
This is a great illustration to show the whackadoodles who look at the red graph and think unlimited lifespans are right around the corner. When in reality we are curing diseases that kill people before old age but have made very little progress on curing old age itself.
Reminds me of Chris Traeger from Parks and Rec:
“Scientists believe that the first human to live to 150 has already been born.. I believe I am that human”
Infant mortality often provides very misleading data on life expectancy
So it looks like the ceiling ‘maximum’ human age hasn’t changed much at all but overall many more people live longer in general
Jeanne Calment (122 yo) really stands out as an anomaly.
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SOURCES USED:
[https://ourworldindata.org/life-expectancy](https://ourworldindata.org/life-expectancy)
[https://gerontology.fandom.com/wiki/Oldest_people_ever](https://gerontology.fandom.com/wiki/Oldest_people_ever)
[https://gerontology.fandom.com/wiki/World%27s_Oldest_Person_titleholders](https://gerontology.fandom.com/wiki/World%27s_Oldest_Person_titleholders)
TOOLS USED:
EXCEL
Oldest living person’s age should not be interpolated as a continuous line. Downward slope on that line makes no physical sense.
It’s going to be an interesting time when these lines eventually cross.
If both trend lines continue, at what age will average life expectancy become roughly the same as that of the oldest living person, and how far into the future will this occur?
What strikes me first is you can see the effects of the 1959-1962 Great Leap Forward; 1970-71 Bangladesh cyclone, famine and genocide; & 2020 COVID pandemic on life expectancy.
So fucking little I’m crying
It would be interesting to add a line removing infant/child mortality data.
It’s time to mention the 2024 Ig Nobel Prize in Demography, which was awarded to Saul Justin Newman for discovering that a disproportionate number of the world’s longest-lived people come from regions with poor record-keeping and generous old-age pensions.
https://jheor.org/post/2682-ig-nobel-prize-winning-research-longevity-claims-may-reflect-lousy-birth-and-death-recordkeeping-more-than-accurate-human-lifespans
This is a great illustration to show the whackadoodles who look at the red graph and think unlimited lifespans are right around the corner. When in reality we are curing diseases that kill people before old age but have made very little progress on curing old age itself.
Reminds me of Chris Traeger from Parks and Rec:
“Scientists believe that the first human to live to 150 has already been born.. I believe I am that human”
Infant mortality often provides very misleading data on life expectancy
So it looks like the ceiling ‘maximum’ human age hasn’t changed much at all but overall many more people live longer in general
Jeanne Calment (122 yo) really stands out as an anomaly.
Also [this](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeanne_Calment):
>In 1965, aged 90 and with no heirs left, Calment signed a life estate contract on her apartment with civil law notary André-François Raffray, selling the property in exchange for a right of occupancy and a monthly revenue of 2,500 francs (€380) until her death. Raffray died on 25 December 1995, by which time Calment had received more than double the apartment’s value from him, and his family had to continue making payments. She commented on the situation by saying, “in life, one sometimes makes bad deals”.
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