He’s right. The *”Russia as a world superpower can’t be beaten, so Ukraine must give up fighting, enter peace talks and cede territories to russia”* narrative has never really gone away in Germany.
Russia will beat itself with the good help of the Ukrainian nation and it’s supporters. It is overdue.
The brain in the head is dead, we are just waiting for the body to fall.
It’s general problem created by misinterpretation of data by so called experts.
E.g. some time ago Breugel institute, which generally provides good analysis for many fields stated that russian tanks production is hugher than NATOs. Which media reported, because why wouldn’t they? It was overall from credible source. With this numbers it was estimated that in 5 years russia will be capable of attacking Europe…
So where’s the catch? Analysis compared production in NATO with… production AND refurbishment for russia. So, what it really did show is that russia is running out of it’s stocks of old equipment in absurdally high pace. But a) original author was blindsided to this when presenting the news; b) only few outlets actually took it into consideration. And why is it important? Well Economist calculated, that taking rate of losses and pace of refurbishment into account by the second half of the 2025 russia will start running out of tanks, as their old stocks will become tottaly depleted and actual production isn’t that big.
And why would russian data be misrepresented? One: fearmongering sells, so media had more motivations to present misinterpretated data rather than correct ones. Two: military industry propagands. E.g. Breugel article wasn’t of the type “russia stronk surrender” but “russia stronk buy more guns, plox”.
So yeah, combination of military industry complex propaganda, with poor understanding of data and click-based news economy makes it so that russia doesn’t even have to push it propaganda. Paradoxically ones that are kind of against it do it for them.
No, it’s not overhyped. It’s not being discussed at all in Germany. People in Germany tend to think that you can’t win against Russia, period. If we would really discuss the state of the Russian army, we would come to entirely different conclusions.
Maybe it was more a declaration to wake up germany population and political classes to rebuilt it’s military than actually be a Kremlin usefull idiot ?
My German perspective: we kind of need that, it creates the incentive to get our asses up and face the problem. Otherwise it’ll be more of the old “eh, maybe, not really our problem” that seems to be the thought process of most people here. Change takes a long time here, a mild panic can do wonders.
The lies of russian propaganda need to be exposed as lies. The russian military and economy and infrastructure and etc. are all falling apart and putin’s focus on Ukraine is the catalyst of their demise. (their kleptocracy isn’t helping either) we must help russia must find a way to withdraw and reform. If they do not, they will fail as a nation. It may already be to late for them. We, the free west, must not allow russia to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. We must do everything we can to support Ukraine in their war against the moscowite horde.
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He’s right. The *”Russia as a world superpower can’t be beaten, so Ukraine must give up fighting, enter peace talks and cede territories to russia”* narrative has never really gone away in Germany.
Russia will beat itself with the good help of the Ukrainian nation and it’s supporters. It is overdue.
The brain in the head is dead, we are just waiting for the body to fall.
It’s general problem created by misinterpretation of data by so called experts.
E.g. some time ago Breugel institute, which generally provides good analysis for many fields stated that russian tanks production is hugher than NATOs. Which media reported, because why wouldn’t they? It was overall from credible source. With this numbers it was estimated that in 5 years russia will be capable of attacking Europe…
So where’s the catch? Analysis compared production in NATO with… production AND refurbishment for russia. So, what it really did show is that russia is running out of it’s stocks of old equipment in absurdally high pace. But a) original author was blindsided to this when presenting the news; b) only few outlets actually took it into consideration. And why is it important? Well Economist calculated, that taking rate of losses and pace of refurbishment into account by the second half of the 2025 russia will start running out of tanks, as their old stocks will become tottaly depleted and actual production isn’t that big.
And why would russian data be misrepresented? One: fearmongering sells, so media had more motivations to present misinterpretated data rather than correct ones. Two: military industry propagands. E.g. Breugel article wasn’t of the type “russia stronk surrender” but “russia stronk buy more guns, plox”.
So yeah, combination of military industry complex propaganda, with poor understanding of data and click-based news economy makes it so that russia doesn’t even have to push it propaganda. Paradoxically ones that are kind of against it do it for them.
No, it’s not overhyped. It’s not being discussed at all in Germany. People in Germany tend to think that you can’t win against Russia, period. If we would really discuss the state of the Russian army, we would come to entirely different conclusions.
Maybe it was more a declaration to wake up germany population and political classes to rebuilt it’s military than actually be a Kremlin usefull idiot ?
My German perspective: we kind of need that, it creates the incentive to get our asses up and face the problem. Otherwise it’ll be more of the old “eh, maybe, not really our problem” that seems to be the thought process of most people here. Change takes a long time here, a mild panic can do wonders.
The lies of russian propaganda need to be exposed as lies. The russian military and economy and infrastructure and etc. are all falling apart and putin’s focus on Ukraine is the catalyst of their demise. (their kleptocracy isn’t helping either) we must help russia must find a way to withdraw and reform. If they do not, they will fail as a nation. It may already be to late for them. We, the free west, must not allow russia to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. We must do everything we can to support Ukraine in their war against the moscowite horde.
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