The five signs China is preparing to invade Taiwan

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2025/01/22/five-signs-china-invasion-taiwan/

Posted by That_Sweet_Science

13 comments

  1. With a new and unpredictable US president in the Oval Office and increased signs of China’s belligerence in the Taiwan Strait, fears are growing that Beijing is accelerating plans to invade Taiwan, the island democracy that the Communist superpower regards as a renegade province.

    Alarm bells rang on Wednesday with news that undersea cables connecting Taiwan with the Matsu Islands had been damaged. Taiwanese authorities said the incident may have resulted from natural decay. But already this month, Taiwanese authorities said a Chinese-owned vessel had damaged an undersea internet cable to the north-east of the island, even as Beijing’s jets and warships continue to circle the island of 23 million people.

    US intelligence suggests Xi Jinping has instructed his military to be prepared to make a move by 2027. And Xi, the most powerful Chinese leader since Mao Zedong, views retaking Taiwan as part of his political destiny. As such, many observers think it is a question of “when” not “if” he makes his move.

  3. If he wants to do it he will do it soon. He knows that Trump isolationist and may not intervene. If the USA doesn’t intervene it will be the end of the post WW2 international order and a return to entangled alliances with the USA mostly staying isolationist (pre-WW1). Until a dictatorship does something stupid and kills a bunch of Americans, then all bets are off.

    Taiwan could possibly be so brutal, so Pyrrhic that it leads to the collapse of the Communist government. Once he starts he can’t back down and the war could chew up a whole generation of only child families. That is if Taiwan is properly defended. In theory it can be with jungle and impossible beaches, but it doesn’t have depth like Ukraine and it’s possible a lightning strike that seizes a city in the first 30 days could force a surrender. 

  4. They have been saying that for years , I am sure one of these days it might be right… Shit journalists writing click bait.

  5. I feel for the people of Taiwan, but with the US threatening my region, I don’t think we can afford to help

  6. Paywalled.

    Is it “Thirty years of focused, dedicated, committed investment in ships, aircraft, and armed units with a laser-like focus on invading Taiwan?”

    Is it that?

  7. Invading Taiwan would require manpower bigger than that of the Normandy landings on D-Day. China would have to use all sorts of civilian shipping. Chinese invasion of Taiwan will be the largest amphibious operation in history and they don’t have 2 years to mount that, with or without US intervention. The Taiwanese prepared 70+ years for that to turn their island into a fortress.

  8. I don’t see how the US could not intervene. Cutting off chips from tsmc would completely kneecap the fledgling ai industry and would make tech stocks collapse overnight, tipping off a brutal recession.

  10. I don’t see the Taiwanese putting up a fight – they have too much to lose and US is too weak. Taiwan submission will be the end of US supremacy and the beginning of Chinese dominance of Asia.

  12. That’s just fear mongering. Also it’s their own territory, even the USA recognized it.

  13. Ok, hear me out. What if they attempt an operation like Russia did on Hostemel Airport i Ukraine, only instead of getting their ass handed to them, they succeed in decapitating the political & military leadership of Taiwan, say, within 2-4 days. I don’t know how they would do it, but the “what if?” should be considered. You should never underestimate your opponent.

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